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With Russell Westbrook becoming the NBA’s all-time leader in triple-doubles, it’s fitting that he deserves top billing in this updated statistical evaluation. The Wizards went 5-3 since the last one with wins against the Los Angeles Lakers, Cleveland Cavaliers, Toronto Raptors and Indiana Pacers (x2), and losses to the Dallas Mavericks, Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks.
As you’ll in the table below, most of the rotation maintained their general level of production. Bradley Beal fluctuated within norms as did most of the rotation. The guys with noteworthy changes: Westbrook (+10 on his full-season PPA over the past 8 games), Daniel Gafford (-9), Raul Neto (+6) and Davis Bertans (-7).
PPA (short for Player Production Average) credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, play-making, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls), each in proper proportion to how much it contributes to winning or losing.
PPA is pace neutral, accounts for defense, and includes a “degree of difficulty” factor that rewards guys for playing more difficult minutes. There’s also an accounting for role/position. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better, and replacement level is 45. It usually takes a score of 200 or higher to be part of the MVP conversation.
The PPA score is not saying one player is “better” than another in terms of skill, ability, athleticism, or replaceability (if the players hypothetically switched teams or were placed on a hypothetical average team). Rather, PPA shows production so far this season in terms of doing things that help teams win NBA games.
Exposition out of the way, Westbrook’s performance the past 8 games has been at All-NBA or MVP candidate level.
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That’s not to say his performance the past several weeks merits those kinds of honors, which are awarded based on the full season of work. While Westbrook’s dedication and willingness to play through injuries is commendable, his performance did suffer. Those games count too.
That said, he’s been sensational of late. Over the past 8 games, his PPA is 218. If he’d done that over the full season, it would be the 6th best mark in the league — about the per possession performance level of Nikola Jokic and LeBron James. (He’d rank behind Jimmy Butler, Kawhi Leonard, Stephen Curry and Giannis Antetokounmpo.)
Assuming Beal’s hamstring heals in time, Westbrook’s excellence as the regular season draws to its conclusion gives the Wizard a chance to make some noise in the postseason despite roster flaws.
Player Production Average
Player Production Average (PPA) metric credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, play-making, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls), each in proper proportion to how much it contributes to winning or losing.
PPA is pace neutral, accounts for defense, and includes a “degree of difficulty” factor that rewards guys for playing more difficult minutes. There’s also an accounting for role/position. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better, and replacement level is 45. It usually takes a score of 200 or higher to be part of the MVP conversation.
The PPA score is not saying one player is “better” than another in terms of skill, ability, athleticism, or replaceability (if the players hypothetically switched teams or were placed on a hypothetical average team). Rather, PPA shows production so far this season in terms of doing things that help teams win NBA games.
Wizards PPA through May 10, 2021
WIZARDS | GMS | MPG | LAST | PPA |
---|---|---|---|---|
WIZARDS | GMS | MPG | LAST | PPA |
Bradley Beal | 59 | 35.8 | 160 | 156 |
Daniel Gafford | 20 | 17.7 | 142 | 133 |
Russell Westbrook | 62 | 36.3 | 119 | 129 |
Thomas Bryant | 10 | 27.1 | 126 | 124 |
Alex Len | 54 | 16.0 | 101 | 104 |
Raul Neto | 63 | 21.8 | 87 | 93 |
Robin Lopez | 68 | 19.2 | 86 | 86 |
Anthony Gill | 24 | 7.9 | 89 | 82 |
Rui Hachimura | 54 | 31.4 | 73 | 76 |
Dāvis Bertāns | 54 | 25.4 | 81 | 74 |
Garrison Mathews | 61 | 16.3 | 67 | 66 |
Ish Smith | 41 | 20.5 | 66 | 66 |
Cassius Winston | 21 | 4.6 | 71 | 50 |
Deni Avdija | 54 | 23.3 | 49 | 48 |
Jordan Bell | 5 | 13.4 | 40 | 40 |
Chandler Hutchison | 15 | 15.7 | 8 | 38 |
Isaac Bonga | 40 | 10.8 | 10 | 4 |
TRADED/RELEASED | ||||
Moritz Wagner | 25 | 15.0 | 81 | 81 |
Troy Brown Jr. | 21 | 13.7 | 18 | 18 |
Jerome Robinson | 17 | 17.9 | -7 | -7 |
Anžejs Pasečņiks | 1 | 6.0 | -347 | -347 |