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Accolades for the Wizards seventh consecutive win are being doled out to Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal. Deservedly in Westbrook’s case — he was terrific. Less so for Beal, although the guard did finish with 33 points.
What won the game for the Wizards was a stifling second half defense against the league’s least efficient offense.
In the first half, the Wizards were lackadaisical on defense and the 30th ranked Oklahoma City offense got an array of open looks and free runs at the basket, which they converted. At the break, the Thunder had a .577 effective field goal percentage and a 133 offensive rating (points per possession x 100).
League average is 112.1 points per 100 possessions.
Yeah. Not good.
In the second half, Washington’s defenders tightened up, executed the scheme, and held OKC to a .375 efg and an offensive rating of 76. For the game, the Thunder ended up right at their season average of 104.
With injuries to Deni Avdija and Rui Hachimura, the Wizards were forced into some lineup and rotation changes. They started the game with Isaac Bonga, who was terrible. In the second half, Anthony Gill replaced him with the starting unit and had an excellent game — 9 points on 5 field goal attempts and 10 rebounds in 20 minutes. This was easily the best game of Gill’s NBA career.
Westbrook put up another triple-double (37 points, 11 rebounds, 11 assists) with power and efficiency. He shot 14-23 from the floor, including 3-4 from the three-point line and committed just 3 turnovers.
Raul Neto was outstanding again — 15 points on 10 shots, 3-5 from three-point range, 4 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals. Neto gives up some stuff to bigger opponents, but he’s a crafty defender who’s skilled at blowing past screens and staying with his man.
Beal had a solid game — 33 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists. He shot decently — 12-24 from the floor and 4-6 from deep. He also had a steal and a couple blocks. What suppressed his overall rating? Seven turnovers.
Davis Bertans had one of those Bertans games: 4-7 from the three-point line and not a lot else. He had just 2 rebounds in 22 minutes.
Daniel Gafford wasn’t as eye-popping last night, but did collected 4 offensive rebounds in 15 minutes, as well as an assist, steal, block, turnover and foul. Solid game from the big.
Next up for the Wizards: the Cleveland Cavaliers at home on Sunday night. My prediction machine has Washington with a 67% chance of winning.
Four Factors
Below are the four factors that decide who wins and loses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).
I’ve simplified them a bit. While the factors are usually presented as percentages, that’s more useful over a full season. In a single game, the raw numbers in each category are easier to understand.
PACE is possessions per 48 minutes.
Four Factors: Wizards at Thunder
FOUR FACTORS | THUNDER | WIZARDS |
---|---|---|
FOUR FACTORS | THUNDER | WIZARDS |
EFG | 0.473 | 0.613 |
OREB | 14 | 12 |
TOV | 16 | 20 |
FTM | 21 | 15 |
PACE | 105 | |
ORTG | 104 | 122 |
Player Production Average
Below are Player Production Average (PPA) results from last night’s game. PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, play-making, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls). PPA is a per possession stat that includes accounting for defense and role. In PPA, 100 is average and higher is better.
The table below is sorted by each player’s total contributions for the game.
POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.
Wizards PPA
WIZARDS | MIN | POSS | PPA | +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|
WIZARDS | MIN | POSS | PPA | +/- |
Russell Westbrook | 37 | 81 | 292 | 16 |
Raul Neto | 34 | 74 | 193 | 14 |
Anthony Gill | 20 | 45 | 273 | 20 |
Bradley Beal | 36 | 80 | 139 | 12 |
Davis Bertans | 22 | 49 | 141 | 6 |
Daniel Gafford | 15 | 33 | 129 | -1 |
Chandler Hutchison | 9 | 21 | 162 | -1 |
Cassius Winston | 2 | 5 | 534 | 5 |
Alex Len | 14 | 30 | 7 | 9 |
Jordan Bell | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Robin Lopez | 18 | 40 | -3 | 10 |
Garrison Mathews | 3 | 6 | -68 | 1 |
Isaac Bonga | 10 | 23 | -36 | 9 |
Ish Smith | 17 | 38 | -157 | -2 |
Thunder PPA
THUNDER | MIN | POSS | PPA | +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|
THUNDER | MIN | POSS | PPA | +/- |
Darius Bazley | 32 | 71 | 221 | -17 |
Theo Maledon | 31 | 68 | 185 | -18 |
Isaiah Roby | 29 | 64 | 134 | -2 |
Luguentz Dort | 35 | 76 | 61 | -18 |
Ty Jerome | 19 | 42 | 63 | -6 |
Kenrich Williams | 25 | 55 | 32 | 2 |
Moses Brown | 7 | 15 | 35 | -8 |
Tony Bradley | 11 | 25 | 7 | -6 |
Justin Robinson | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 |
Jaylen Hoard | 1 | 3 | -249 | -5 |
Svi Mykhailiuk | 23 | 50 | -44 | -1 |
Aleksej Pokusevski | 25 | 56 | -53 | -19 |