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By the Numbers: Wizards make it 7 wins in 8 games after win over Timberwolves

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NBA: Minnesota Timberwolves at Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards guard Bradley Beal led the team to their 7th win in 8 games.
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

With the 7th win in 8 games, the Wizards are on a roll. Their only loss was as much to the schedule as it was to the Los Angeles Clippers.

Even including the defeat, Washington has a +4.6 efficiency differential over the last eight games. That’s about the same level as how the Los Angeles Lakers, Brooklyn Nets, and Denver Nuggets for the full season.

If this is the “real” Wizards and they continue playing at this level, they’d likely finish the season with a better than .500 record and homecourt advantage in the playoffs. The schedule, replete with back-to-backs, doesn’t get easier. Of course, after weeks of looking terrible against a weak schedule, the Wizards went on their winning jag against a difficult stretch of schedule.

In beating the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Wizards accomplished something of a first for them this season: a victory in a game where they were favored. The best part of winning easily was the opportunity to shave minutes for Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook.

Four Factors

Below are the four factors that decide who wins and loses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).

I’ve simplified them a bit. While the factors are usually presented as percentages, that’s more useful over a full season. In a single game, the raw numbers in each category are easier to understand.

PACE is possessions per 48 minutes.

Four Factors: Timberwolves at Wizards

FOUR FACTORS TIMBERWOLVES WIZARDS
FOUR FACTORS TIMBERWOLVES WIZARDS
EFG 0.489 0.515
OREB 12 15
TOV 18 16
FTM 19 27
PACE 112
ORTG 100 114

Player Production Average

Below are Player Production Average (PPA) results from last night’s game. PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, play-making, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls). PPA is a per possession stat that includes accounting for defense and role. In PPA, 100 is average and higher is better.

PPA is a per possession stat. The table below is sorted by each player’s total contributions for the game.

POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.

Wizards PPA

WIZARDS MIN POSS PPA +/-
WIZARDS MIN POSS PPA +/-
Bradley Beal 30 71 285 6
Davis Bertans 20 48 348 24
Garrison Mathews 28 66 244 -9
Moritz Wagner 12 28 304 4
Alex Len 19 44 97 -5
Russell Westbrook 32 74 70 16
Isaac Bonga 3 7 226 1
Robin Lopez 17 41 18 17
Raul Neto 26 60 3 9
Anthony Gill 1 2 0 -2
Rui Hachimura 26 61 -33 4
Troy Brown Jr. 4 10 -207 -2
Deni Avdija 21 49 -165 17

Timberwolves PPA

TIMBERWOLVES MIN POSS PPA +/-
TIMBERWOLVES MIN POSS PPA +/-
Jaylen Nowell 26 60 185 -15
Naz Reid 18 42 139 -5
Jarred Vanderbilt 23 54 129 -1
Josh Okogie 29 67 85 0
Anthony Edwards 32 75 62 2
Karl-Anthony Towns 32 75 33 -6
Ricky Rubio 25 59 39 -8
Juancho Hernangomez 3 7 -22 -1
Jarrett Culver 14 33 -27 -20
Jordan McLaughlin 23 53 -35 -8
Jaden McDaniels 15 35 -86 -18