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In the wildest game of the season, the Wizards rode a vintage performance from Russell Westbrook, 22 fourth quarter points from Bradley Beal, and a good Thomas Bryant impersonation from Moritz Wagner to emerge with a 149-146 victory over the Brooklyn Nets.
Washington shot well — .574 effective field goal percentage — but allowed a scorching .676 from the Nets, despite once again inducing an opponent to take lots of midrange jumpers. When those shots are getting taken by Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving, a fair amount will go in.
That Nets efg ties for the Wizards 12th worst one-game defensive efg. The five worst:
- 2021-01-06 — at Philadelphia 76ers .728
- 1986-03-04 — at New York Knicks .712
- 2010-11-17 — at Boston Celtics .711
- 2018-12-19 — at Houston Rockets .706
- 2019-02-06 — at Milwaukee Bucks .704
Allowing opponents a great shooting night is typically a way to lose. Coming into last night’s game, the Wizards were 0-32 in games where they allowed an opponent and efg of .65 or better. They were 1-99 in their 100 worst defensive efg games.
They won despite the shooting differential because they were plus-10 in turnovers and plus-4 on the offensive glass. That translated into 20 additional field goal attempts.
Westbrook — 41 points, 10 rebounds, 8 assists and just 3 turnovers — looked healthy for the first time this season. He attacked the rim repeatedly and largely eschewed the two-point jumpers that had been a staple of his offensive repertoire all season.
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Beal struggled for three quarters before transmogrifying into an unstoppable offensive weapon in the 4th quarter.
Many scoffed at Scott Brooks calling Ish Smith a “game changer” but Smith proved him right with a highly efficient 13 points and 7 assists. He also used the Speed Force to make Brooklyn’s Tyler Johnson fall down.
Ish Smith just told Tyler Johnson to take a seat pic.twitter.com/7BWp7T9RxX
— Chase Hughes (@ChaseHughesNBCS) February 1, 2021
A day after Brooks compared Wagner to Bill Laimbeer, Wagner had his best game of the season — 17 points on 8 shots, 5 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 steals in just 21 minutes. He defended instead of flopping to draw charges, and he kept the dumb fouls to a minimum.
Robin Lopez was also productive again with 10 points on 5 shots and 4 rebounds in 18 minutes.
If this kind of performance persists from Davis Bertans, it’s going to be a problem. He’s shot poorly and contributed little else (as expected) all season. If the Wizards are going to make a run at reaching the postseason, they need Bertans hitting from long range.
Four Factors
Below are the four factors that decide who wins and loses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).
I’ve decided to simplify them a bit. While the factors are usually presented as percentages, that’s more useful over a full season. In a single game, the raw numbers in each category are easier to understand.
Four Factors: Nets at Wizards
FOUR FACTORS | NETS | WIZARDS |
---|---|---|
FOUR FACTORS | NETS | WIZARDS |
EFG | 0.676 | 0.574 |
OREB | 7 | 11 |
TOV | 17 | 7 |
FTM | 27 | 25 |
PACE | 113 | 113 |
ORTG | 129 | 131 |
Player Production Average
Below are Player Production Average (PPA) results from last night’s game. PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, play-making, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls). PPA is a per possession stat that includes accounting for defense. In PPA, 100 is average and higher is better.
PPA is a per possession stat. The table below is sorted by each player’s total contributions for the game.
Wizards PPA
WIZARDS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
---|---|---|---|
WIZARDS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
Russell Westbrook | 35 | 318 | 7 |
Bradley Beal | 38 | 190 | -12 |
Ish Smith | 24 | 283 | 24 |
Moritz Wagner | 21 | 239 | 11 |
Robin Lopez | 18 | 173 | -13 |
Garrison Mathews | 26 | 89 | 8 |
Rui Hachimura | 29 | 27 | -2 |
Isaac Bonga | 0 | 2043 | 2 |
Deni Avdija | 16 | -52 | -9 |
Alex Len | 4 | -238 | -4 |
Davis Bertans | 30 | -56 | 3 |
Nets PPA
NETS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
---|---|---|---|
NETS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
Joe Harris | 32 | 304 | -2 |
Kevin Durant | 38 | 208 | 5 |
Jeff Green | 30 | 227 | -19 |
Kyrie Irving | 38 | 112 | 3 |
DeAndre Jordan | 19 | 120 | 14 |
Bruce Brown | 32 | 80 | 3 |
Landry Shamet | 20 | 118 | -7 |
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 17 | 98 | 4 |
Reggie Perry | 7 | -123 | -10 |
Tyler Johnson | 6 | -249 | -6 |