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The Wizards played some impressive basketball last night and they got their third win and first stomp of the season.
Channeling my inner Drew Gooden...What’s a stomp win? It’s a win where you stomp the opponent.
“What’s a hot player? A player on a hot streak.” — Drew Gooden pic.twitter.com/ygbKki7Jqq
— Bullets Forever (@BulletsForever) January 12, 2021
A stomp is a win by 20 or more points. They missed stomping the Minnesota Timberwolves by one point.
The Wizards were led by Bradley Beal, who had his best game of the season — 34 points, 8 rebounds, 9 assists in 35 minutes. This is close to the best I’ve seen Beal play. He was aggressive offensively, but wasn’t in gunner mode. By finding open teammates, he kept the Suns guessing and facilitated an efficient team offense for the game.
Robin Lopez performed well as a starter with 11 points and 11 rebounds in 26 minutes. He was active and effective on defense, in part due to the team playing a zone defense designed to keep him around the basket. He led the team with 18 shots defended and 15 shots contested — most of them in the paint.
Davis Bertans went supernova hitting 5 straight threes on his way to 6-9 shooting from deep.
Moritz Wagner gave the Wizards 22 productive minutes off the bench. He has the skills and agility to be a good NBA player. The injury to Thomas Bryant will give Wagner an extended audition.
It was a good win against a good team and the Wizards should avoid the temptation to read too much into it. Scott Brooks needs to go Crash Davis in their film session because while they won, there were still some familiar flaws.
For example, while fans celebrated the team’s defense, the Wizards defended well for one-and-a-half quarters. Here’s the team’s defensive rating (points allowed per possession x 100) by quarter (league average is about 110):
- 68
- 108
- 139
- 126
For the game, the Wizards had a defensive rating of 112, which is slightly worse than league average. The relatively low score (the Suns had “just” 107 points) is a reflection of an unusually slow-paced game — 95 possessions (per team), which is 11 possessions per 48 minutes slower than Washington’s average.
The Suns shot 4-27 from three-point range, but it probably wasn’t because of the Wizards defense. Washington defenders consistently ran at shooters with a hand up, but they were also consistently closing late — the bulk of Phoenix’s attempts were open or wide-open by NBA standards. Tracking data credits the Wizards with contesting 14 Suns three-point attempts last night.
The message from Brooks and the coaching staff should be that even in a stomp win, they have room to improve.
Four Factors
Below are the four factors that decide who wins and loses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounding percentage), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made divided by field goal attempts).
Four Factors: Suns at Wizards
4 FACTORS | SUNS | WIZARDS |
---|---|---|
4 FACTORS | SUNS | WIZARDS |
EFG | 0.477 | 0.603 |
OREB% | 0.152 | 0.320 |
TOV% | 0.063 | 0.074 |
FTM/FGA | 0.291 | 0.185 |
PACE | 95 | 95 |
ORTG | 112 | 134 |
Player Production Average
Below are Player Production Average (PPA) results from last night’s game. PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, play-making, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls). PPA is a per possession stat that includes accounting for defense. In PPA, 100 is average and higher is better.
PPA is a per possession stat. The table below is sorted by each player’s total contributions for the game.
Wizards PPA
WIZARDS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
---|---|---|---|
WIZARDS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
Bradley Beal | 35 | 340 | 19 |
Robin Lopez | 26 | 245 | 21 |
Davis Bertans | 24 | 252 | 20 |
Moritz Wagner | 22 | 177 | 0 |
Rui Hachimura | 28 | 99 | -2 |
Garrison Mathews | 21 | 122 | 13 |
Raul Neto | 25 | 63 | 2 |
Anthony Gill | 3 | 412 | -2 |
Isaac Bonga | 12 | 52 | 12 |
Ish Smith | 21 | 26 | 21 |
Deni Avdija | 20 | -25 | 3 |
Cassius Winston | 2 | -254 | -2 |
Suns PPA
SUNS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
---|---|---|---|
SUNS | MIN | PPA | +/- |
Devin Booker | 33 | 148 | -15 |
Chris Paul | 36 | 132 | -10 |
Mikal Bridges | 25 | 149 | -1 |
Dario Saric | 20 | 148 | -2 |
Jae Crowder | 30 | 33 | -13 |
Abdel Nader | 3 | 306 | 2 |
Damian Jones | 12 | 22 | -3 |
Jevon Carter | 17 | 3 | -18 |
Ty-Shon Alexander | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Deandre Ayton | 25 | -7 | -23 |
Langston Galloway | 14 | -12 | -1 |
E'Twaun Moore | 3 | -229 | 2 |
Cameron Johnson | 18 | -51 | -25 |