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Inside the Numbers: Wizards squeak out a win against Mavericks

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NBA: Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

It was another all offense, no defense performance for the Wizards, but this time the offense was enough and they pulled out a 119-118 win over the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks were missing MVP candidate Luka Doncic, and had their own passel of defensive miscues, but still nearly had enough to drop the Wizards.

Trade deadline acquisition Shabazz Napier came off the bench in his first action with the Wizards and had an excellent game. Napier, a journeyman PG in the “quick and diminutive” mold Scott Brooks prefers, was having the best season of his career before coming to Washington.

Bradley Beal grabbed headlines with his game-winning layup, and his slash lines — 29 points, 5 rebounds, 8 assists — look impressive. But, it took 28 field goal attempts and 4 turnovers over a game-high 39 minutes to produce those points. It was Beal’s first subpar game in a couple weeks, and he still hit the game-winner.

He’s carrying a heavy offensive load, and for the most part doing it well. That said, the Wizards coaching staff should consider easing back on his scoring burden to free up some energy for playmaking and defense. Part of leadership is setting a good example, and Beal — like the rest of the team — needs to play harder and smarter on defense.

Davis Bertans, who will participate in the three-point shooting contest at the upcoming All-Star game, poured in 20 points on 12 shots, including 5-9 from long range. Bertans should be considered the favorite to win the three-point contest.

Four Factors

Wizards-Mavericks Four Factors

4FACTORS WIZARDS MAVERICKS
4FACTORS WIZARDS MAVERICKS
efg 0.606 0.549
orb 0.19 0.33
tov 0.14 0.14
ftm 0.11 0.20
ortg 125 124
pace 96

Player Production Average and Scoreboard Impact Rating

Below are results from a couple metrics I developed. Player Production Average (PPA) is an overall production metric that’s pace neutral and accounts for defense. It rewards players for doing things to help their team and debits them for things that don’t — each in proper proportion. In PPA, 100 is average and higher is better.

Scoreboard Impact Rating (SIR) translates overall production into points on the scoreboard in this game.

Wizards PPA and SIR

WIZARDS MIN PPA SIR
WIZARDS MIN PPA SIR
Bertans 31 187 21
Smith 30 186 20
Brown 28 191 20
Napier 18 276 18
Hachimura 29 171 18
Wagner 18 128 8
Beal 39 54 8
Mahinmi 18 75 5
Mathews 5 0 0
Bonga 24 -37 0

Mavericks PPA and SIR

MAVERICKS MIN PPA SIR
MAVERICKS MIN PPA SIR
Hardaway 35 157 22
Wright 19 203 15
Kleber 26 146 15
Brunson 31 112 14
Lee 17 184 12
Curry 29 96 11
Cauley-Stein 9 284 10
Finney-Smith 35 67 9
Porzingis 21 64 5
Jackson 12 71 3
Broekhoff 5 -60 0