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Wizards 2019-20 — Final PPA Numbers

New York Knicks v Washington Wizards
Bradley Beal led the Wizards in Player Production Average in 2019-20.
Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images

As the NBA Finals march towards crowning the Los Angeles Lakers — limping a bit because of the foot injury to Goran Dragic and the shoulder injury to Bam Adebayo — and I read John Heiser’s excellent “Deal of the Day” series, I realize I’ve yet to post full-season results from my Player Production Average (PPA) metric.

PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do to help a team win (scoring, rebounding, play-making, defending) and debits them for things that hurt (missing shots, committing turnovers, fouling and bad defense). In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45.

PPA is pace neutral, accounts for defense, includes a “degree of difficulty” factor, and a position/role adjustment.

A note: this is probably the last time you’ll see PPA in its current iteration. I’ve been working on an update, which I’ll likely begin using next season. The coefficients have always floated depending on league environment, but they’ll be changing a bit more in PPA 2.0. The biggest changes will how I calculate the “degree of difficulty” factor and account for defense. I’ll talk more about that when I start using it.

At this point, the individual Wizards have been extensively analyzed. The Bullets Forever team posted evaluations of every player, including Ian Mahinmi, who won’t be back. The full season PPA numbers for the Wizards are below. Additional information about PPA and the ratings for the entire league are here.

Washington Wizards 2019-20 PPA

WIZARDS GMS MPG PPA
WIZARDS GMS MPG PPA
Bradley Beal 57 36.0 160
Thomas Bryant 46 24.9 143
Davis Bertans 54 29.3 105
Troy Brown Jr. 69 25.8 96
Rui Hachimura 48 30.1 95
Ish Smith 68 26.3 92
Johnathan Williams 15 12.0 89
Gary Payton II 29 14.9 88
Shabazz Napier 20 24.4 87
Jarrod Uthoff 3 13.0 85
Isaac Bonga 66 18.9 83
Ian Mahinmi 38 21.3 83
Jordan McRae 29 22.6 79
Garrison Mathews 18 12.6 70
Moritz Wagner 45 18.6 61
Isaiah Thomas 40 23.1 60
C.J. Miles 10 16.1 53
Chris Chiozza 10 12.3 49
Jerome Robinson 21 24.0 46
Justin Robinson 9 5.4 42
Anzejs Pasecniks 27 16.2 32
Admiral Schofield 33 11.2 18
Jerian Grant 6 13.3 2

Ratings for some of the players who missed the bubble did change. Beal’s PPA fell a couple points, as did Bertans’. Mathews score came down as well. That’s because PPA compares each player’s performance to league average. Bubble play changed “average” in the NBA while some players weren’t participating. That was enough to nudge their scores down a bit.