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Key Numbers behind the Wizards loss to the Raptors

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Washington Wizards v Toronto Raptors
A perfect shooting night for Ish Smith.
Photo by Ron Turenne/NBAE via Getty Images

The Wizards gave the Raptors a tough game, rallying from a big early deficit to tie the game in the fourth quarter, but couldn’t close and lost 122-118. Check out the recap, here.

It was yet another subpar defensive performance for the Wizards — the 14th time in 27 games they’ve allowed their opponent to score 120 or more points.

The Wizards got superb performances from Ish Smith and Bradley Beal. According to Fred Katz of The Athletic, Smith had the first perfect shooting night for a Washington guard with at least nine field goal attempts.

Davis Bertans, who’d been riding a wave of stellar performances, had a bad shooting night, which included a miss on a wide-open three that would have given the Wizards late in the fourth quarter.

Still, offense wasn’t Washington’s problem. Once again, the team had a strong offensive performance, and once again they let themselves down with poor defense.

Four Factors

In his book, Basketball On Paper, now Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver formalized the four factors (offensive and defensive) that define who wins and loses in basketball. Here are the numbers in those factors from the Wizards-Raptors game:

Wizards-Raptors Four Factors

STAT WIZARDS RAPTORS
STAT WIZARDS RAPTORS
efg 0.54 0.564
orb 18% 16%
tov 13% 17%
ftm 0.28 0.44
ortg 115 119
pace 103

Player Production Average and Scoreboard Impact Rating

Player Production Average (PPA) is an overall production metric I developed, which credits players for things they do to help the team win, and debits them for things that don’t. PPA is pace-neutral and accounts for defense. In PPA, 100 is average and higher is better.

Scoreboard Impact Rating (SIR) translates production into points on the scoreboard in this game.

Wizards PPA and SIR

WIZARDS MIN PPA SIR
WIZARDS MIN PPA SIR
Smith 30 402 54
Beal 39 213 37
Mathews 16 154 11
Thomas 27 89 11
Mahinmi 16 51 4
Brown 27 9 1
Schofield 22 -46 0
Pasecniks 14 -133 0
Bonga 12 -165 0
Bertans 38 -71 0

Raptors PPA and SIR

RAPTORS MIN PPA SIR
RAPTORS MIN PPA SIR
Ibaka 36 201 37
Lowry 41 113 24
Anunoby 33 97 16
Hollis-Jefferson 19 153 15
Davis 18 109 10
VanVleet 34 55 10
McCaw 34 39 7
Boucher 13 48 3
Miller 14 -86 0