When: Friday, April 20 at 8 p.m.
Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
TV: NBC Sports Washington and ESPN 2
Win probability: Washington has a 34 percent chance of winning according to FiveThirtyEight.
Wizards: Jodie Meeks (Out, Suspension)
Raptors: Fred VanVleet (Questionable, Shoulder)
What to Watch for: How will Bradley Beal respond?
Beal is coming off of arguably his worst performance of the season. He needed 11 shots to score 9 points, only had 3 assists, and committed four fouls, which limited him to under 25 minutes of playing time. It was only the second time in his career he’s played under 30 minutes in a playoff game, the other coming in the Wizards’ Game 3 blowout win over the Celtics last year.
Worse yet, almost all of the Wizards’ success in the series has come with Beal off the floor. The Wizards are a -44 when he’s on the floor and +25 when he’s off. There are plenty of reasons for that which aren’t directly Beal’s fault, but that’s still not the kind of stat you want to hear.
A big part of the issue is the Raptors have done an outstanding job of keeping him from getting to the line. Over the last two games he has only attempted three free throws. In the regular season, Beal averaged 4.5 per game. He’ll need to get back to those kind of numbers to help Washington keep pace with Toronto.