When: Tuesday, April 17 at 7 p.m.
Where: Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Canada
TV: NBC Sports Washington, NBA TV
Win probability: Washington has a 15 percent chance of winning according to FiveThirtyEight.
Wizards: Markieff Morris (Questionable, Ankle)
Raptors: Fred VanVleet (Doubtful, Shoulder)
What to Watch for: How will the Wizards try to slow down Serge Ibaka?
Ibaka was the Raptors’ leading scorer in Game 1 on Saturday afternoon, finishing with 23 points on 8-of-11 shooting. You can live with his 3-of-4 shooting from deep, especially since the Wizards were able to get out and get a hand up on all three makes. The problem is, Washington left a lot to be desired on the shots he took inside the arc, including his layup that sealed the win with under two minutes left.
The problem is, Washington just doesn’t have many good options for guarding Ibaka. Marcin Gortat and Ian Mahinmi are liabilities if he takes them out to the perimeter, and Jason Smith isn’t much better. Morris is the best fit one-on-one, but his pick-and-roll coverage isn’t always on point, and there isn’t enough rim protection behind him to clean up mistakes.
It might be worth experimenting with someone smaller like Scott or Porter who can deny passing lanes better, but then you’re inviting the him to take it to the block where he has a size advantage. He hasn’t done a lot posting up this season, but when he has, he’s been effective.
Washington will need to figure out something, because when Ibaka has it going, the Raptors are hard to beat. Toronto is 16-2 this season when he scores at least 17 points, including Saturday’s win.