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Daily Digits: Jeff Green is the answer ... when he’s playing well

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Orlando Magic v Washington Wizards Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Daily Digits is a new daily feature we’re doing at Bullets Forever this year where we take a look at stats about the Wizards. We’ll dive into the numbers, add some context, and discuss how they affect the product on the court.

Today’s stat is the record of Jeff Green teams since the start of the 2015-16 season when he scored at least 15 points, which is...

39-17

That’s a .696 winning percentage across his time with the Grizzlies, Clippers, Magic, Cavaliers, and the Wizards. It would equal a 57-win pace, which would have been good enough for the second-best record in the East and the third-best record in the West last season.

When Green is on, like he was in Monday’s win over the Magic or Saturday’s win over the Heat, there’s a pretty good chance whatever team he’s on is going to win. Problem is, he’s only reached that 15-point mark 56 times in his last 239 games. That works out to once every four to five games. To put it bluntly, you can rely on the Wizards to be good when Jeff Green is good this season, but you can’t rely on Jeff Green to be good.

Although Green isn’t the same kind of player Mike Scott was for the team last season, they can still ride his hot hand to help them win games. Problem is, the stakes are much different this season than they were last season. Every time Green gets extended minutes, it will take away minutes from either Markieff Morris (in a contract year), Kelly Oubre Jr. (also in a contract year), or Otto Porter Jr. (currently the team’s highest-paid player). Finding a happy balance between the four of them, especially when Green is on, will be one of Scott Brooks’ biggest challenges this season.