Several years ago, Chad Ford at ESPN revealed a draft ranking system employed by several teams that have been very successful in the draft. It's called a "Tier" system. You group players based on overall talent into tiers. Then you rank the players in each tier based on team need.
A team should always draft the highest-ranked player in a given tier; and never take a player from a lower tier if one from a higher tier is available. This keeps teams from reaching for a player based only on team needs, disregarding the higher rated player in the process.
In the case of the Wizards, with Nene's expiring contract, and the presumed departure of Seraphin and Pierce's, my opinion is that Power Forward should be the top team need; preferably a player that could eventually become a "stretch-4". The next highest need would be a Guard; hopefully a guard that could come off the bench and play both the 1 and 2. And finally, a back-up Center.
So here is my tiered draft prospect rankings, taking into account the Wizards' team needs.
Tier 1 (Truly Transcendent, franchise changing players)
Tier 2 (Sure-fire All-Stars or "franchise" players)
Karl Anthony Towns
Tier 3 (projected as potential All-Stars)
Tier 4 (projected as eventual NBA starters)
Tier 5 (either starters or top-tier rotation players)
Tier 6 (could play a significant bench role)
Tier 7 (hope for the best)
(* * *)
The Wizards will most likely be drafting in the Tier 5 ranked players... unless someone from Tier 4 falls. I'm hoping Bobby Portis or Justin Anderson falls to the Wizards...
Tell me what you think in the comments. Do you think I ranked someone too low? Too high? Do you see a truly transcendent player in this draft?