Open thread: Regular season game 47

The essentials:
Wizards (24-22) at Sixers (18-30)
7 p.m.
Wachovia Center
CSN
This year:
November 21: Wizards 116, Sixers 101.
November 30: Sixers 85, Wizards 84.
Notable Sixers numbers this season
T20th in expected winning percentage (.393).
26th in pace factor (89 possessions per game).
23rd in offensive efficiency/offensive rating (104.5)
16th in defensive efficiency/defensive rating (107.8).
Key links (drop any others in the comments)
Passion and Pride.
Sixers Shots.
Sixers Journal.
Sixers4Guidos.
Les Bullez: Will the real Haywood please stand up?.
Post: Looking for offensive balance.
Sixers Shots: Invert the offense.
Passion and Pride blog preview.
Starting lineups:
Sixers
PG: Andre Miller
SG: Willie Greene
SF: Andre Iguodala
PF: Thaddeus Young
C: Samuel Dalembert
Wizards
PG: Antonio Daniels
SG: DeShawn Stevenson
SF: Caron Butler
PF: Antawn Jamison
C: Brendan Haywood
Tonight's lines:
Sixers at Wizards: Wizards by 1.5.
Over/Under on Big 2 scoring: 43 points.
Happy Super Tuesday!
We're struggling Part I (Offense): Since the huge win over Dallas, we're only 2-5, with three of those losses happening in blowout fashion. Sunday was more of the same, as our offense couldn't get into gear and Kobe shredded DeShawn Stevenson defensively.
Obviously, when you play that badly, you're struggling on both ends of the court. Offensively, we've only topped 100 twice during this stretch, and both of those games were in overtime. We had an 87-point game against Utah (a below-average defensive team), an 83-point night against Toronto (a good, but not great defense) and just 79 through most of the fourth quarter against Milwaukee (a horrible defensive team). Caron Butler (when healthy) and Antawn Jamison are doing their part, but nobody else is. DeShawn is slumping from outside, AD is a non-factor, Haywood has been inconsistent once again, and the bench has been beyond awful.
The key to improving the offense is simple, as Ivan mentioned in the link above.
This is a bit of a catch-22, because if the supporting players aren't doing their part, Caron and Antawn will try to do more and sabotage things when they should be moving the ball, but how can you blame them? Everyone else has to do their part, particularly AD, as DarrellWalkerFan mentioned the other day.
Yet he's played over 40 minutes during this stretch because Roger Mason has been awful recently. Again, it's a catch-22. AD needs to rest, but if we lose so much with him on the bench, what should Eddie Jordan do?
That was a bit of a rant. Let's go to the defense: 122 to Toronto. 103 to the Lakers in a slow game. 121 to the Cavs. Obviously, that's a problem with our defense, and indeed, we've seen our defensive efficiency slide down to 20th in the past couple weeks.
I'm not too, too concerned with the Lakers game, because Kobe was hot and wasn't missing anything no matter how tough DeShawn played him. Otherwise, though, we have problems, and I think it starts with the big guy, Brendan Haywood.
Les Bullez talked about him today, though I think they picked the wrong things to focus on. Haywood's never been a super rebounder. As we've been over many times, he's good at clearing out space for Jamison to grab rebounds. Additionally, Kingly-1 criticized him for his performance against the Lakers, when he only played a criminally low 17 minutes.
But strangely enough, Haywood's defensive impact hasn't quite been there recently, and even this season. In the past few years, he affected the team's defensive efficiency far more dramatically than he has this season. Opposing centers like Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Mehmet Okur lit him up recently, which really is bad because individual defense has been Haywood's calling card. He's having his best season ever offensively, but he's slipping on the other end, and for a team that relies on him so heavily there, that's a problem.
Also, we've seen a renewal of smallball recently. That has to stop.
Some words on Philly: They're humming around at 18-30, and were the victims of an insane Josh Smith 5 by 5 game last night. They're pretty much the same team we saw earlier in the year, except for one key switch. They've inserted rookie Thaddeus Young into the starting lineup, and are playing Jason Smith more, which gives them more offense at the expense of a bit of rebounding. It's something they should have done a long time ago, though some say it's not far enough.
Keys to the game: Offensive balance. I'm tired of seeing guys like AD, Stevenson, and Songaila moving robotically through the Princeton offense. They need to start getting more aggressive, because as Ivan said, we win when we get everyone involved.
This is an open game thread, so long for us to have a skinny 7'7'' shot blocking machine here.
GO WIZARDS!
0 recs |
20 comments
Comments
Picks
Over
Obama
Black Presidents 08!
by Aldo on Feb 5, 2008 6:22 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
can't wait to get swept like in game 1 !!
I am in full tanking mode and would be more than glad to leave you guys the W !!!
later
Ricky
by Ricky Sixers4guidos on Feb 5, 2008 6:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Picks
Over
by JakeTheSnake on Feb 5, 2008 6:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
i'll pick the wiz
by DarrellWalkerFan on Feb 5, 2008 6:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
A few weeks ago you wouldnt have said that
We play like we were and we could go 6-0 in this upcoming stretch, we're good enough.
If we play like we've been playing in the last 7 games than we could go 0-6 in this upcoming stretch, we've been bad enough.
Seems to be no in between with this team, ask Boston or Dallas..... or just ask Philly and Milwaukee..... :(
by billy332 on Feb 5, 2008 9:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Wiz, over
by mamemimo on Feb 5, 2008 6:52 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Wiz, over
by Icantfeelmyface on Feb 5, 2008 7:07 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
picks
-sw
by Steve Weinman on Feb 5, 2008 7:25 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Guh
Wherefore art thou Randy Ayers?
by JakeTheSnake on Feb 5, 2008 8:37 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
We're up 10
Come on Eddie.
by Mike Prada on Feb 5, 2008 8:56 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Goddammit
Goddammit, this is awful.
by Mike Prada on Feb 5, 2008 9:12 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
What the hell is this
by Mike Prada on Feb 5, 2008 9:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Commence angry comments
by Mike Prada on Feb 5, 2008 9:26 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Wow, what a collapse
What the heck, man.......... what is going on?
We lost the 4th quarter 28-13, went in with a 10 point lead against one of the worst teams in the nba nd choked it away in the 4th quarter......
What the hell happened to Caron, our finisher? Why so many damn 3 pointers in the 4th? Why so little of Haywood (our inside option) and Jamison(our inside option)? Haywood has been terrible, even more so on defense and just is not playing NEARLY enough, and Jamison has drifted to the 3point line for 2 weeks....
WHATS GOING ON?? WAKE UP!!! YOURE SO SO SO SO MUCH BETTER THAN THIS!
by billy332 on Feb 5, 2008 9:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
When you think about it
by JakeTheSnake on Feb 5, 2008 10:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Injuries and Schedule
That brings me to my next point. The Wizards were the best team in the Eastern Conference at the end of January of last season, but then injuries decimated this team. Everybody seems to forget that the Wizards didn't just go to crap for no good reason, they got hurt. During the Wizards second win in a row over Detroit on January 30th of last season, Jamison went down with a knee injury that would cause him to miss an entire month of basketball. At that point, the Wizards were 27-17, the apex of their season. The Wizards started their decline at that point.
When Jamison finally came back, the Wizards had fallen to 31-25, and faced a tough month of March in which they played 8 out of 15 games on the road. The Wizards were a horrible road team last season, so they predictably lost 8 of 15 games.
Then came the memorable month of April. The very first game, Caron breaks his hand trying to block a shot in Milwaukee. The very next game, Gilbert blows out his knee in Charlotte, and the rest, as they say, was history.
And so is the story for the Wizards this season. When the schedule was easy (more on this later) and Caron was healthy, the Wizards looked real good. But now Caron is either hurt or playing hurt, the schedule is getting tougher, and the Wizards are showing their true colors.
The facts are not pretty, folks. With a healthy Big 3, this team is dangerous and can contend. But without Arenas and with Caron nursing his hip injury, expect things to get a lot uglier.
by cuppettcj on Feb 6, 2008 9:02 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
A Theory
My theory is that this may be a scheme effect, not actually a diminishing of Haywood's defensive abilities/performance. In previous years, the team's defensive scheme was not sound. They had as many defensive sets as most teams have offensive, and many of them were built on doing stuff that doesn't matter a whole lot. Stuff like playing for steals and trying to force turnovers, when what matters is forcing misses.
In previous years, the Wiz gave up rampant dribble penetration. The ONLY guy on the roster who could do anything to protect the paint and force misses was Haywood. Individual tracking showed him to be the team's most active and effective defender. In tracking done earlier this season, the same things showed up. He was still busier and more effective than his teammates, but his teammates were doing a better job whether he was in or out.
Whereas the defense completely fell apart in previous years when Haywood sat -- because they no longer had anyone who could protect the rim or rotate onto shooters and force a miss -- now the team is more likely to keep penetration out of the middle, which means even less accomplished defenders can play an effective helping role.
Even as I type all this, I'm not entirely sure about it. Maybe Haywood just isn't as effective anymore. In tracking earlier in the season, he looked to be back at his 04-05 level, which sorta suggests there might be something in the "it's the scheme" theory. But I haven't been tracking recently.
Thoughts?
by TheSecretWeapon on Feb 6, 2008 9:26 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
UGLY
by Mac G on Feb 6, 2008 1:47 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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