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Brendan Haywood is the second-best center in the East

When I talked about the reasons for us treading water in the standings without Gilbert Arenas, I gave Caron Butler the majority of the credit.  Looking back, I'm starting to realize that was poor analysis, because as we've continued to stay afloat without our superstar, I've come to realize that Brendan Haywood is playing as big of a role, if not bigger, in our season.

Last year, we got incredibly inconsistent play from the center position.  Haywood feuded with Eddie Jordan, sulked his way into a part-time role, and gave way far too often to Etan Thomas, who plummeted our defense to a new low. Though Haywood was probably our best center last year, he didn't do a good job of consistently displaying his skills, and at the end of the season, even ardent Haywood supporters were ready to get rid of him, just because we felt the feud between him and Eddie Jordan had gone too far.  Worst yet, at age 28, it seemed like we'd seen the best of Haywood already.  

What's resulted this season is nothing short of extraordinary.  One could make a legitimate argument that Haywood is the second-best center in the Eastern Conference behind Dwight Howard.  Hell, that's the argument I'm going to make.  Here's how he compares to other centers in the East.


(Note: Roland is Roland Rating, a stat popularized by 82Games.com.)

Looking at that list, Haywood isn't scoring like some of the other centers in the conference, and his rebounding numbers rank in the middle of the pack, but he's more efficient than anyone save for Dwight Howard.  His true shooting percentage, PER, and Roland Rating all rank second among Eastern Conference centers, and that's not even including his free throw percentage, which has risen over 12 percentage points this year, thanks to the work of new shooting coach Dave Hopla.  Unlike some of the guys on this list (Dalembert, Bogut), Haywood plays to his true strengths, never venturing too far outside the paint, and never taking ill-advised jumpers early in the shot clock.  It explains why his counting numbers are not as high when his efficiency numbers are spectacular.

Haywood still remains a fantastic defensive center.  The Wizards are surrendering 2.9 fewer points/100 possessions when Haywood is on the court, and they're grabbing an additional 4 percent of available rebounds.  But many of these strengths were ones he's had his entire career.  Why is it all coming together now?

Dogging his work ethic misses the point, as he's known as one of the hardest workers on the team.  Instead, we have to look at Brendan's relationship with Eddie Jordan, which clearly affected both his play and the rest of the team.  There was a major communication breakdown between the two last season.  On the one hand, Eddie failed to convey explicitly what he wanted from his center.  As friend of the blog Kevin Broom said last year, Eddie and the rest of the coaching staff's complaints centered around subjective terms like "energy," "intensity," and "force."  These missed the point, because Haywood's effectiveness is in his ability to properly position himself to force misses rather than snatching them with enthusiasm, as Etan Thomas tended to do.  On the other hand, Haywood didn't exactly deal with his benching maturely.  When he was on the court at the end of the season, he contributed very little, particularly in the Cleveland series, where he wouldn't even step up to cut off the penetration of Larry Hughes.  Then, he tore his nameplate down, had a whole saga where he sort of asked to be traded, but didn't, and generally went far enough to blame Eddie Jordan for his poor season.  No matter how badly you're being treated, such behavior helps nobody.

Prior to the season, the two made a point to sit down and discuss, in concrete terms, how to fix their relationship.  We don't really know the content of that conversation, but according to Gilbert Arenas, it was the only reason Brendan even came to training camp in the first place.  In hindsight, that moment may have been the key to Brendan's improvement.  All last season, I chastised Eddie for not trying to understand Haywood, and coping with remedial tactics like cutting his playing time instead of trying to find ways to bring out his potential.  With that meeting, Eddie demonstrated that this season would be different.  He was committing to Haywood, so long as Haywood committed to him.  

On the other hand, perhaps this is as simple as getting defined minutes.  The news of Etan Thomas' heart troubles was very sad, but in a basketball sense, perhaps it was a blessing in disguise.  No longer did Haywood really have to worry about his minutes being handed to a guy he doesn't respect.  Haywood has said many times that he's playing well because he feels comfortable with his minutes, which is a silent jab at Eddie and Etan.  Normally, I'd be a little concerned about him saying stuff like that, but at this point, the results speak for themselves.

In the end, however, perhaps this improvement is something we can't pinpoint to one moment.  When Etan went out with the heart problems, I expected it to positively impact Haywood, but even I didn't expect him to suddenly turn into an offensive threat equipped with a strong drop-step, a consistent jump-hook, and a 12-15 foot jump shot.  One play last night really summed it up for me.  It was sometime in the third quarter, and after a failed drive by Caron Butler, Haywood caught the ball in an awkward position on the elbow, with Yao Ming looming in the lane.  Instead of doing something passively, Haywood made an aggressive move to the left, turned back right, and swished a jump hook as Yao pounded him with the body.  In my wildest dreams, I could never have imagined Haywood making a play like that against a huge center like Yao.  Now, he's doing it consistently enough that we no longer have to talk about needing a great big man to take us to the top.  

If you think about it, only Dwight Howard is playing at a higher level among Eastern Conference starters than Brendan Haywood, and that may be the key reason why we're still fourth in the Eastern Conference without our best player.  

0 recs  |  Comment 11 comments

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Frankly, I don't get it
Common sense would say that Etan and Brendan would push each other to play better.  Brendan was accused (quite publicly by Gilbert a few weeks before the season began) of taking games off.  With the starting position guaranteed, I thought he would take even more games off.  The time for him to make a big improvement had probably already passed.  Clearly, I was dead wrong.  His excellent play is as surprising and inexplicable as Todd Collins'was.

Brendan certainly does look good in those statistics you cited, but, man, no one is in the same league as Dwight Howard.

by Aldo on Jan 10, 2008 8:55 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Well, yeah
He's pretty insane at basketball.
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Jan 10, 2008 9:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Brendan
I didn't recognize him the first time our teams played. He pretty much owned Dwight Howard in that matchup. I think Brendan is certainly worthy of All-Star consideration. Really, looking at the other options, who else is there?

Thing is, if Brendan does make it, it won't be one of those "Jamaal Magloire is an All-Star" things; he's earned it.

by Ben Q Rock on Jan 10, 2008 11:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

2 things
  1. Rasheed Wallace

  2. Jermaine Oneal has played much of this year thru injury, and as such his numbers are down... but at 100% health I consider Jermaine Oneal a better allaround center than Brendan.

Also: I agree with a lot of what you said, and that was a very good post. (Shaq also takes a ton of attention and is the 4th center in the East that I would take over Haywood, the team around Shaq is absolutely horrible and they have no shooters: So Shaq gets double teamed every time and at this age he cant dominate thru doubles like he used to, but since his team around him is so bad offensively they can double him more than they ever could before..... and his teammates cant make the defense pay the consequences for packing the paint and doubling him.)

BUT: Point taken, Haywood has done a great job.

by billy332 on Jan 10, 2008 11:44 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I consider Sheed a power forward
But yes, if he is a center, he is better than Brendan Haywood right now.

JO, I just don't see.  In the past few years, he has become nothing more than a jump shooter that doesn't really make a high percentage of his shots.  Add in the fact that the Pacers have played well without him this year, and I don't think he's been better than Haywood.  At this point, the dude is coasting mostly on reputation.

Shaq's reported fall from grace isn't quite as bad as many have stated, but I submit the first Heat/Wizards game as evidence that Haywood is playing better right now.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Jan 11, 2008 12:22 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Your quote on Brendan......... exactly
"Now, he's doing it consistently enough that we no longer have to talk about needing a great big man to take us to the top."

That quote, along with the depth and young talent, along with the leadership on this team and the chemistry, along with Jamison's improved inside play on offense and rebounding (And defense), along with our true Pointguard play from A.D., and along with (And especially) Carons absolute breakout season as a true number 1 man.........

All that is exactly why I am so excited about this team, ESPECIALLY once Gilbert returns, but even without Gilbert.

That quote on Brendan, your exact words: May be the absolute biggest reason why (Caron's breakout the only thing I find as substantial as that.).

by billy332 on Jan 10, 2008 11:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I wonder...
...how much more consistent Haywood actually is. I'll take a look at it when I get a chance. Subjectively, his performance seems a lot more consistent than previous seasons, but I wonder what the numbers will say.

by TheSecretWeapon on Jan 11, 2008 9:20 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Me too...
Haywood's main beef w/ EJ and other coaches in previous years has been lack of minutes. This year, his average minutes must be higher and his resultant production has gone up. Per 48 minutes, how much more is Haywood producing than previous years? Maybe he was right all along and we should be more critical of EJ for not letting Haywood play through growing pains. It's a tough call: those growing pains were dreadful, but maybe he would have developed into beast Brendan earlier.

Whatever the answer is, there's no doubt he's playing really well right now. It's been said in the Houston game posts, but it's worth noting again: Haywood was actually sticking it to Yao for 3 quarters against the Rockets. He even hit at least 2 elbow jumpers. In other recent games, he's outplayed or matched Okafor and Bogut, two guys I was going to argue should go to the all-star game before Haywood based on their numbers. I'm not going to try and argue that anymore, by the way.

Haywood's recent play shows his confidence and skill set are as sharp - if not sharper - than they've ever been. This is good, because as Prada noted the Wiz need everyone sharp because of Gilbert's injury. And I agree with the main assertion of this post, many of us were too quick to attribute all our post-Gilbert wins to Caron's work. A couple of other players have stepped up as well, Brendan being first and foremost among them.

It's bad because it took him 5 years and a career-threatening injury to his main back-up/competitor for minutes to get his head screwed on straight. f we ever get Etan back, or if we sign some other competition for Brendan at center (Blatche is filling in servicably now, but it's unfair to ask that bean pole to be more than a stop-gap center solution), will Haywood revert to his pouting ways?

p.s. Huge 5-game stretch coming up against ATL, BOS, and NY. Somehow, we need to come out of this stretch w/ 3 wins at least.    

by jvflail on Jan 11, 2008 2:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

FWIW
Every number up there except Roland Rating is a career high for Haywood, and they're per-minute stats rather than per-game stats.
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Jan 11, 2008 2:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Etan Thomas
will have his vengeance. in this life or the next.
svpstyle.com

by ScottVanPeltStyle on Jan 11, 2008 3:23 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

best center for the bucks
In addition, Haywood is very "salary cap friendly," which allows the team to use the cap space for other players. In fact, you can even call Haywood as "the best center for the bucks!" :)

With the exception of players who are still on rookie pay scale (i.e., the contract they signed as rookies), I believe Haywood has the lowest pay among all NBA starting centers. I always felt that Haywood's resentment towards Etan may be partially attributed to the fact that Etan is making more money but contributed less.

by sagaliba on Jan 14, 2008 1:33 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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