I promised in my last preposterously optimistic post to check in on March 9 and call it a day if the Zards had lost any homegames, and they did, losing at home to Toronto last week. And indeed, the Zards are all but mathematically eliminated from reaching .500 - they would have to lose only 4 of their next 27 games, and since Wall returned they are 13-9. But Milwaukee is making things interesting, having lost 8 of their last ten games. With a little more cooperation from Milwaukee and some other teams, the 8th spot in the playoffs might (repeat, *might*) be had with only 37 wins.

To reach 37 wins, the Zards would need to go 19-8. That is certainly achievable. If they were to win all of their remaining 13 home games, they would only need to win 6 of their remaining 14 road games. Now we are also in a scenario where the Zards might conceivably lose another home game and still have a chance. Furthermore, if they win out at home they might even have a chance at 38 wins.

Now if they make the playoffs having gone on a 32-17 winning streak, what are their chances against Miami? Does a team with a true winning percentage of about 65% have a chance on the road, in the playoffs, against a team with a 74% winning percentage? Not really. But it could be interesting!