BF community projection: Martell Webster

Kelley L Cox-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire

What do you expect from Martell Webster this season?

Martell Webster has the potential to be a very valuable player for the Washington Wizards. The Wizards haven't jumped on the league-wide bandwagon in acquiring "three and D" wing players until this offseason, but the additions of Webster and Trevor Ariza are a sign that they recognize their usefulness. Webster is a better shooter than Ariza, but is a worse defender. Webster should see plenty of minutes on the wing, and he could provide some insurance on their investment in Ariza.

POSITIVES TO BUILD ON: Webster isn't a marksman, but he's usually been around 37 percent when shooting from three in his career. Last year's low percentage seems fluky enough to expect a bounce back. Regression to the mean is a positive in this case, and the Wizards should get the benefit of it.

Webster also served as the Timberwolves' main perimeter defender in some lineups, which meant that he guarded the NBA's best scorers. He doesn't have Ariza's reputation as a defender, but he can hold his own when Ariza is on the bench.

Finally, despite his injuries, he still flashes some impressive athleticism around the hoop

AREAS TO IMPROVE: The most important part of Webster's shooting will be his spot-up jumpers. Webster needs to be hitting over 40 percent of these shots in order to make the defense pay for collapsing into the lane; last year's rate of 36 percent on these open three pointers will not cut it.

Situational awareness, of course.


PROJECTED SPOT IN ROTATION: Webster will likely be battling with Cartier Martin as one of the main perimeter threats off the bench. Webster brings more of a defensive presence than Martin, but Martin has proven to be a more consistent shooter than Webster. If the Wizards are facing off against a go-to scorer, Webster could end up being a better play than Ariza because Webster has some defensive ability, but isn't a complete liability from beyond the arc.

OUTLOOK: It's a good bet that fans will see Webster on the floor during crunch time. He essentially splits the different between all offense Cartier Martin and all defense Trevor Ariza. As an added bonus, Webster is a better free throw shooter than both of them.

Webster is a good player for the Wizards to gamble a one-year contract on. He should be in his prime and due for a bounce in his three-point percentages, and if not, there is no long-term commitment.

What are your projected statistics for Webster this season? What are your general expectations for him?

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