The guys over at the Wages of Wins blog have been very accurate at two things in their evaluation of talent
1) Predicting future NBA success
2) Predicting overrated college prospects who will be drafted way too high
In the 2011 draft, their top 5 prospects were
others of note who were drafted high but overrated:
In this year's draft the top players that the Wizards should look at for the #3 Pick are
Brad Beal (3rd best rated), MKG (#12) and TRob (#14)
More importantly the Wiz should NOT draft
Drummond, Rivers or Barnes (all who are below #60).
I know this isn't that helpful in terms of elimination, but I think Bradley Beal is the way to go and that Barnes and Drummond should not even be considered.
Credit Arturo Alvarez
Also, did you see Mark Cuban destroy on First Take talking about USING STATISTICS in basketball? Cause that was awesome.