I've seen a lot of love for both Harrison Barnes and Jeremy Lamb on this board, and almost none for Bradley Beal. For the purposes of this post, let's assume the Wizards want to draft a SG or SF (getting a really good PF is certainly a good option too, but let's table it for now).
My question to the community is, who would you rather have: Barnes, Lamb, or Beal, and should Beal at least be in the conversation? Here's my (only moderately informed) view on each of the three:
Barnes: he's the highest rated prospect of the three, but when I watch him (and I've watched several UNC games this year), I get a bad feeling. He does not look like an active or committed defender to my eyes, nor does he seem to have a great nose for rebounds (although UNC has plenty of rebounding, so I don't place too much credence in that). On offense, meanwhile, he's very smooth and polished, and seems to pass appropriately (though he's not a gifted passer). But he doesn't seem terribly explosive or especially long, and I worry that he won't be able to get past guys or create space in the NBA like he does in college. My eyes may be lying, of course, and there's a lot to be said for his very in-control offensive game. But even when puts up big numbers, I can't shake the feeling that he's not going to be a special pro.
Lamb: simply haven't seen him play. Of course there's a lot to love about a guy with that wingspan (7'1''!) who shoots that well. Still, some of the scouting reports make me worry that he may have some NY tendencies and deficits. Curious to hear from people who've seen him play a lot.
Beal: hasn't shot nearly as well so far as he was rated to coming out of high school (when scouts kept comparing him to Ray Allen or Eric Gordon). And he's a little undersized. Then again, he's less undersized now than he was in the summer (according to TV commentators, he's grown an inch, is now 6-4 w/o shoes, and may still be growing). And when I watch him play, I keep thinking, "wow he looks good" -- explosive, intuitive, incredibly high-motor, high-IQ. He is also already grown-man strong, and his rebounding rate is insane. Draft Express has him rated above Lamb, I believe. He strikes me as nearly flawless. Then again, I'm kind of assuming that because his shooting stroke is so sweet, and because he's such a great athlete, that his shooting numbers so far this season are an aberration (though they're certainly not terrible even now).
Anyway, would love to hear other thoughts on each of these guys. Does anyone share my mistrust of Barnes? Am I being irrational about Beal?
Some numbers, fyi:
Beal -- 56.6 TS%, 33.3 3PT%, 2.0 APG, 6.3 RPG, 1.3 steals, 2.3 TO ; 6-3, 207 lbs as per ESPN (but I think he's now 6-4)
Lamb -- 59.4 TS%, 34.2 3PT%, 1.7 APG, 4.6 RPG, 1.4 steals, 2.2 TO; 6-5, 180 lbs
Barnes -- 55.8 TS% 43.0 3PT%, 1.0 APG, 5.1 RPG, 1.2 steals, 1.8 TP; 6-8, 215 lbs