FanPost

"Wins Produced" and the Wizards




While I'm not a huge fan of Dave Berri's "Wins Produced" metric, I must say the Wizards current numbers line up pretty well with what I've seen so far this year. Here's a link :http://www.thenbageek.com/teams/was

For those unfamiliar, Berri uses some fancy math to create "Wins per 48 minutes" statistic, a handy-dandy number designed to show how much each player contributes toward victory in a full game. The average W48 is 0.1 (meaning that five average players, per 48 minutes, would create half a win, or a 41-41 record over the course of the season).

The Wizards stats conform with what we've all been seeing: Booker has been really good; Singleton is off to a promising start as a rookie; JaVale's brings a lot of good things with him, despite his lapses; and as for everyone else, ugh. Wall is actually just into negative territory -- oof.

Anyway, stipulating that these numbers are meaningful (and that's an open question), there are a couple of very interesting results, in my opinion.

1. While starting Singleton over Lewis would help the Wizards, starting Booker over Blatche would help VASTLY more. Booker's number is actually at an All-Star level (granted, that's in limited minutes, and it's not clear he could sustain that); Blatche has been as unspeakably awful as our eyes tell us.

2. Indeed, the best thing we can do is to keep Blatche and Crawford off the court at all costs. They are doing enormous damage to our prospects for winning (unlike, say, Lewis, who is more or less a warm body who contributes nothing but doesn't actively screw up).

3. Turiaf's injury really hurts. He brings a lot in limited minutes; needless to say, Seraphim doesn't.

Anyway, I thought this was at least interesting food for thought -- take a look and see what you think.

This represents the view of the user who wrote the FanPost, and not the entire Bullets Forever community. We're a place of many opinions, not just one.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Bullets Forever

You must be a member of Bullets Forever to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bullets Forever. You should read them.

Join Bullets Forever

You must be a member of Bullets Forever to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Bullets Forever. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker