Manna From Heaven And Moneyball: Where Wizards Bring Down The Thunder
Manna from heaven is one of those expressions that has ingrained itself so deep into the cultural psyche that the original meaning has been largely forgotten, if it was ever learned at all. Serendipitous is the word that jumps to mind, a lucky chance of fate. That's what it felt like to be a fan Wednesday night, didn't it? A night where everything went right in the eleventh hour and the clock didn't reek of garbage time. Wednesday night when the dust settled, it was all roses.
'Stay medium' for fans of a rebuilding team is a tenet on par with 'Stay in the light' from the movie Pitch Black. There were enough emotion-fueled solitary wins last season that no single victory can convince even the hastiest of fans to declare the beginning of a new age.
However, I try to approach each game with as little bias as possible, and I can't help but say the ball movement on offense and the harassing defense were refreshing. I know, sometimes it looks like excessive passing...but I can't help but remember Hoosiers and Gene Hackman screaming for the players to make three passes before they shoot.
Does that cast us in the light of the bellyachers, as we scream for someone to make a smarter play than simply pass? Maybe Flip is just drilling the necessity of making the extra pass deep into the brains of our guys, the way he let John Wall run the offense solo in the beginning of the season. If the fundamentals were really that lacking, or the guys just really not listening...the truth is that it doesn't matter. It looked a little more natural...baby steps. We're just finding out how far this team really had to go.
But all that said:
I hate losing, Chavy. I hate it. I hate losing more than I even wanna win.
Billy Beane via IMDB
We see losses and we look to identify causes while attempting to stay medium, remain objective as possible concerning the state of the rebuild. It gets hard, because we hate the losing and need something to focus on. There's another quote from Moneyball that relates to this problem:
If we try to play like the Yankees in here, we will lose to the Yankees out there.
Billy Beane via IMDB
The thrust of this quote isn't readily apparent. First, it has to deal with overestimating the strength of the previous core. As others have pointed out, 3/5 of our 'contending' core were bit players or injured (read: relatively superfluous) during the Mavericks postseason run. Our guys were spare parts for a real championship team. It was an expensive core a few games better than .500 and so the rebuild started fresh off trading a high lottery pick for Randy Foye and the player formerly known as Mike Miller, or in the toilet, whatever you prefer.
When an expensive, underwhelming core got broken up, what did we really expect? With no reliable depth behind that core (due to its cost), there wasn't enough sweetener on the board to do much of anything other than clear cap space and employ cap space to attain assets. In other words, going Miami Heat was not possible with the way the NBA works, DC is simply not a destination city. The only way then to 'play like the Yankees' in DC was to chuck too much money at players whose production no longer coincided with DC's contending window.
Ernie let players walk, traded others for pennies on the dollar and opened the floor:
I know you are taking it in the teeth, but the first guy through the wall... he always gets bloody... always. This is threatening not just a way of doing business... but in their minds, it's threatening the game. Really what it's threatening is their livelihood, their jobs. It's threatening the way they do things... and every time that happens, whether it's the government, a way of doing business, whatever, the people who are holding the reins - they have their hands on the switch - they go batshit crazy.
via IMDB
A team this young was always going to lose, but let me be super clear; I am not suggesting Ernie Grunfeld is the NBA equivalent of Billy Beane. But roster construction is an issue central to both figures, both used unorthodox ideology to put their teams together. The A's dumped Carlos Pena to make room for Scott Hatteberg because that was the guy the GM believed in. Ernie not signing higher impact players and surrounding John Wall with an avalanche of expiring contracts and first round draft picks because those players fit Ted Leonsis' contract philosophy rather than setting Wall up to succeed from the get go.
I expect that second-to-last statement to raise some blood pressure. Ernie's vision for the team has been often described as five guys who can jump out of the gym but can't play professional basketball. It's been debated, some of us contend that Ernie swung for the fences drafting Andray Blatche, Oleksiy Pecherov, Nick Young, and Javale McGee, and with three of those players being important cogs for the current Wizards isn't that a fairly impressive batting average? And currently? Trevor Booker, Chris Singleton, and Jan Vesely have all shown ability and basketball IQ, not project players drafted more for upside than skill.
But I'll be frank with the quote above...we are invested, to an extent, in the notion that trusting Ernie's vision is madness, Flip's coaching is laughably inflexible and Ted isn't interested in making smart moves to help us contend sooner rather than later.
The problem we're trying to solve is that there are rich teams and there are poor teams. Then there's fifty of crap, and then there's us. It's an unfair game. And now we've been gutted.
Billy Beane via IMDB
The Wizards started after Gungate saddled with declining or contend-now players on large contracts and a bunch of young guys who couldn't stay on the floor. The team looks better one game only to regress the next two but there are signs things can go not only right, but very right. And the team whose rebuilding model we are pathetically emulating, to paraphrase current 'net sentiment, is the team we just put down.
Manna from heaven...it's actually just bread. It was just one victory and good teams dine often, if you will. But when you're 1-12 anything is a feast, and beating the Oklahoma City Thunder is as close to manna from heaven as anything we're going to see on the court this season. Eat hearty.
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You done it, again, Exile!
Nice piece. Here’s hoping more manna (or at least a bialy) will drop from heaven against the Nuggets this evening.
To mix metaphors, I would ask us to consider at what point during the present season, with our present players, coach and GM, will we say that, truly, our cup runneth over?
Depends what Ted's expectations really are
if when you say ‘our’ you mean the Wizards…if you mean us…Rashard Lewis coming back into the starting line-up, no moves at the ASB (which is pretty likely) are some likely catalysts for a total loss of patience.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Jan 20, 2012 8:55 AM EST up reply actions
For sure the points you just raise would be the reverse of an overflowing cup, whatever that looks like...
It is interesting that Ted has never given any specific milestones, timetables, measures for judging progress towards the goal of contender status…. Hmm, this sounds like some of America’s recent military history.
My ideas for a cup that runneth over, 2011-12 vintage?
I would like to see both Vesely and Singleton rated highly on the rookie ladders. If they come out ahead of their draft positions, that would be huge.
I would like to see Wall voted the most improved player.
I would like to see us win 40% of our games and be competitive in 100% of them.
I would like to see JaVale, Nick and Dray play ball in such a way that the word “knucklehead” is no longer used in any sentences containing their names.
That’s where I am heading with this.
Heh, sorry, misunderstood
I’m onboard with all of that. Like to see Shelvin Mack running the offense and knocking down his shot, Kevin Seraphin get more burn in garbage time, Flip figure out how to move Javale out of John’s driving lanes, Hamady to look like a third center, and for Flip to keep Rashard’s minutes down
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Jan 20, 2012 10:37 AM EST up reply actions
Swinging for the fences?
I wouldn’t call using the 49th pick on Andray Blatche as swinging for the fence. It’s more of a “why not” move. Young was picked where he was slotted. McGee was a bit of a reach but was slotted as a first round pick. Ernie’s swinging for the fence moment was when he decided that these 3 20 minute a game guys could step in and become a core starting unit (along with John Wall) . It’s similar to his earlier belief that the “Big 3” could transform from a lower tier playoff level team to a championship contender with just a tweak here and there.
When we talk of the rebuild and especially about “clearing up cap space”, it has to be noted that neither the GM nor the owner seem to have any interest in actually using the cap space. At least on upgrading the basketball product.
some of us contend that Ernie swung for the fences
It can’t be denied EG drafted high athelticism/upside guys over players with high basketball IQ. Some of us believe if the team was contending, it might have better benefitted the team to draft some Trevor Booker-types to support the core rather than projects. But not everyone agrees and I can’t fault Ernie for trying to find some crucial firepower for the second team in the middle of the first (and late second)
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Jan 20, 2012 8:53 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I think by swinging for the fences...
he meant going after high upside players who have the potential to either be great or be terrible. That describes young, javale and blatche to a T.
by Wizards Sorrow on Jan 20, 2012 1:37 PM EST via Android app up reply actions
Because you used the picture, I'm going to mention this
But Jan offering John a hand up after taking that charge was good to see. We’ve mentioned a number of times how nobody helps anyone up off the ground and how disconnected the team has looked, but as the saying goes, winning cures everything.
As for the statement you mention will raise blood pressures, I know it raised mine. It’s been discussed ad nauseum, but I have no faith in Ernie’s ability to build a championship-contending team. None. If we’re following EG down the rabbit hole again, it’s going to be a long, bumpy ride to the bottom. Which I guess really won’t be too far or too long, since we’re already there.
this may be a bit off topic but...
i read an article for class a couple weeks back about sports franchises/teams and the public subsidies that support them. It was pretty intriguing given the fact that one of the points of the article posited that success/failure of teams is mainly based on the interactions between franchises and their host cities.
In the case of our Wiz, i don’t have a lot of knowledge behind the construction of the Verizon center in terms of financing. But i was under the impression Abe financed and built the whole thing himself.
If the author is right, it kind of explains the state of the franchise today. Abe needed to put ppl in the seats in order to get a return on his investment so he “over-invested” in the big three and over marketed them even though, as BNIE said above, they were fringe players at best on a real contending team. For the fans, this was promoted as Old Abe’s wish to see a championship brought back to DC, when really it was just a matter or $.
Point is, I can’t help but wonder if Ted was getting help from the DC gov’t, we might be talking about a totally different team right now.
Thoughts? or am I completely crazy
It was privately financed
which makes sense because Pollin bought the land and he is/was a developer.
by hambonejackson on Jan 20, 2012 1:09 PM EST up reply actions
What did the author say about those interactions?
Positive correlation between city financing and success?
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Jan 20, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions
well there’s two sides: too many public subsidies is a disincentive to for franchises to “get better” while too little (the case for the wiz) results in mediocre teams with little to no attractive value. (unless of course you happen to strike gold like say a Lebron and hope to god he doesn’t leave after his rookie contract…oh wait)
Pollin tried to strong-arm the city into financing the arena as i recall
some say he changed his tune when Bob Johnson (BET) said publicly that Abe should sell him the team so he could pay for an arena downtown. Abe ended up paying for it, but the city kicked a lot of money to him over the years with various provisions in the deal (for instance, I believe the city paid for a $35mill upgrade around the 10yr mark or something like that)

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