FanPost

Vesely's Translated Euroleague Stats


According to a feature Hollinger wrote in 2009:

On average, switching from the Euroleague to the NBA does the following to a player's pace-adjusted per-minute stats:

  • Scoring rate decreases 25 percent
  • Rebound rate increases by 18 percent
  • Assist rate increases by 31 percent
  • Shooting percentage drops by 12 percent
  • Overall, player efficiency rating drops by 30 percent
  • So, what does that tell us about what we can expect from Vesely next year?

    According to Draft Express, his pace-adjusted statistics per 40 minutes last year were as follows:


    Games Points FG% Rebounds Assists
    Partizan MTS 14 13.7 51 5.1 1.6
    Partizan 26 17.4 61.1 7.4 2.2
    Weighted Total 40 16.11 57.6 6.6 2
    Adjusted Total 40 12.08 45.6  7.78 2.6

     

    So, assuming everything goes normally as far as his development is concerned, we're looking at a guy who will most likely give us 12 points, almost 8 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per 40 minutes next year (one caveat is that he drew fouls like crazy in the Euroleague and it's not inconceivable that his free throw percentage will rise back into the mid-60s, which would probably bump his scoring average up by a point or two per 40 minutes) while playing hard on defense and most likely chipping in 1 or 2 blocks and steals per game.

    For a lottery pick in a fairly weak draft, this actually doesn't look bad. Air Wolf doesn't project to be a superstar, but these numbers and his defensive potential are fairly similar to Kenyon Martin's when he first came into the league with another long, athletic team that wound up being built around an elite point guard. Would you be satisfied with this level of production next year?

    (Thanks to Draft Express for the numbers and John Hollinger and ESPN.com for the formulas, too!)

    This represents the view of the user who wrote the FanPost, and not the entire Bullets Forever community. We're a place of many opinions, not just one.