Hey all, first poster here (been following the blog for ages though).
[Disclaimer: The following is based on the assumption that we will be drafting with the #6 pick, and that Derrick Williams will not be available by then.]
I want to bring up a point against drafting a SF this year that seems to be forgotten at times. Drafting a 3 this year most certainly means one thing, and that is that we will be looking to avoid drafting another SF with our first pick in the 2012 draft. But is this such a wise thing with a pending 2012 draft class loaded with SF talent? Would using a #6 pick on a SF this year even be worth the same, let alone more, than using a #15 pick on a SF next year? I don't think it is, and so if we're truly looking to make the most "bang for the buck," well, I'll save my pushing for a prospect for another post.
I'm looking at NBADraft's 2012 mock draft, and even a cursory glance indicates the disproportionately high number of SF available in it. Considering how many of the would-have-been 2011 draft candidates elected to wait until next year instead, and that a significant number of those guys play the 3, I think we'd be selling ourselves short by selecting a "rawer" (to say the least) SF this year because that would almost automatically rule out picking any of the more talented, higher-potential SF prospects next year. Additionally, those same guys that we'd be bypassing next year could be even more NBA-ready in their rookie years than whoever our 2011 pick is, going into his sophomore year! (I know it's just speculation, but given that this year's draft is being hailed as one of the thinnest ever, is it really a stretch?)
Our team has many holes at the moment, any of which could be filled without drafting a SF-- especially in light of the consensus that anyone picked outside of Irving/Williams/Kanter is a huge toss-up to begin with. Are any one of Singleton/Vesely/Leonard/Morris going to be more effective in their sophomore years than Harrison Barnes, Perry Jones, or Terrence Jones in their rookie years (and these names are just those who played college ball this year, not the high schoolers coming in)? If not, it would be in our best interests to draft a player with starter-potential in a position that won't conflict with that of our 2012 first-round pick, or look for a versatile sixth man in the mold of OKC's James Harden.