Which small forward will the Wizards (re-)sign in the offseason?
There's more than Nick Young's contract question looming on the free agency front. Due to mild panic on that score, we've yet to really start discussion on it. Al Thornton was recently jettisoned to lighten the load but the ship remains heavy, though somewhat stabilized, at SF. We'll count Cartier Martin at SF, even though if I have him on the floor, it's behind Nick Young and Jordan Crawford at SG. Some have suggested we'll be taking a PG late in the draft, and I agree. We've got all the young frontcourt talent we can develop, and Martin versus Mustafa Shakur should become a battle to be the 15th Warrior sans flesh eating cannibals not named Gerald Wallace. Our lottery pick right now figures on about a 50/50 shot at one of the prime SF prospects which would settle things rather quickly between those two.
If you decide you have to include Young Sushi as a SF, that makes it a six way competition between Rashard Lewis, Maurice Evans, Josh Howard, Nick Young, our lottery pick/Cartier Martin, and Trevor Booker. For cleanliness' sake, take out Booker until he develops that mid-range jumpshot we're all looking for, and Nick will likely only see spot minutes in the event of injuries. That makes it a four way tug-of-war, which is at least one player too many, which likely comes down to a decision between re-signing Maurice Evans or Josh Howard.
There are a couple ways to look at this situation. First is that there is a veritable smorgasboard of SF on the table in the offseason. From the bumper crop in the lottery to dependable veterans such as Tayshaun Prince and Shane Battier, we can bet on a depressed market for free-agent small forwards, and we'll ideally have first shot at getting our guy. Advantage: Wizards
Second is veteran leadership. Still too soon to measure Mo's impact in this respect. However, aside from Josh's blog entries, there hasn't seemed to be much tangible effect from the Dallas veteran, either. He does seem to be trying. Advantage: Josh Howard
Third is their level of play while remaining conducive to player development. Not hard to see where I'm going here. It's hard to tell if Howard's frustrated or not, he's too much of a veteran with too fragile an image to risk becoming a malcontent after becoming a distraction to the Mavericks. While we haven't seen very much of him, he has shown an increased tendency to jack shots, perhaps in a Kirk Hinrich-esque attempt to inflate his value to a contender. He hasn't been successful in either respect, and if someone's jacking shots, I want Nick Young on the case. We were really hoping that habit was behind him, as his unpredictableness is what made him an All-Star in Dallas. Meanwhile, Evans has been exemplary as a complementary player doing all the little things, even if his shot isn't falling from beyond the arc as consistently as we might hope. Advantage: Maurice Evans
Fourth is durability. Howard is still a question mark, while Evans is diving after loose balls like a stoner who just sighted a bakery. Advantage: Maurice Evans
As much as I liked Kirk Hinrich, he was more of an alpha dog, and while also a consummate professional, there's little question he's happier on a contender. Josh Howard went where the money was last year, but having shown little productivity and few to less than few flashes of the game that once had him earning over $10 million a year, it's hard to imagine Grunny offering much more than the veteran minimum. And if the Heat are successful in dumping Mike Miller (ahahahaha), then there's little doubt in my mind where Josh would go. That leaves Mo, but in my mind there is little question he's the dependable veteran we're looking for.
Rashard will split time between SF and PF while recovering from surgery, and even with a lottery pick at SF, there will be minutes for Mo. Having already been a backup, he's used to coming off the bench with high energy and shooting the three ball. Out of our second or third SF, what else do we really need?
Chatting with Mike last night, he brought up the BOYD angle (i.e. acquire a contract with our open cap space in exchange for also taking on additional assets), which I feel ridiculous for overlooking. In my defense, I figured the new CBA would preclude such a maneuver while ignoring how far our projected roster would be leaving us below the cap. If we feel Mo Evans doesn't bring anything special to the table, then BOYD makes a lot of sense. With a plethora of prospects in the front court why not look at a young player who could drift between the 2 and 3 without stretching credulity while netting a serviceable 3? 'Come with me, my friend. I haf nu Emir Preldzic, is best in show, real cowboy Yankee!'
That said, it's a wide world out there, Charlie Brown, which option do you like?
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Forget the vets
The Wiz ought to go with young high-quality players at every position. Of course, the Wiz will take their lumps next year, but the following year, they will be contenders if they play and develop the right people.
Think Harrison Barnes at the 3. The back-up can be any vet that they can’t dump.
Booker can be the back-up at the 4, assuming he gets burn this year and starts getting more consistent.
Going with young, high-quality guys is definitely the goal.
But with Shard’s knee, even a young, high-quality will need SOMEone playing behind him.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 11, 2011 10:07 AM EST up reply actions
I was about to bring up Mo Evans
I think he will be with the team next season. He adds perimeter play and he knows Saunders offense. He will backup Lewis. Booker is a swinger. He will play 3 and 4. I don’t know where the Wiz are drafting. Maybe they will draft a 3 or maybe they will trade the pick for a pair of perimeter players. The 3 position is well covered for this team.
I would like to thank Japan for another earthquake. This time I was awakened at midnight with the tsunami warning. I live by the beach, so I have to get up and to wait for hours to find out how big this one is going to be. Last year it was the “Day after Tomorrow” 20 foot wall of water that came in about 2 mms. This year its the " we really mean it this time" 7’ wall of water that came in about a 1’.
by hambonejackson on Mar 11, 2011 10:39 AM EST up reply actions
I work in a tech ops center for satellite tv...
Part of my responsibility today was Honolulu…ugh
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 11, 2011 11:57 AM EST up reply actions
Head for the hills!
Or the 3rd story hotel bar to drink and watch tsunamis. It was an all niter. Cops waking every one up and blaring bull horns. Warning sirens sounding off hour after hour in the middle of the night. For a 1’ tsunami. Up the sand then down the sand. That’s it.
by hambonejackson on Mar 11, 2011 1:48 PM EST up reply actions
Seeing as how this one actually turned out to be “for real”….
You ok? Lot of crazy going on in japan right now. Hope you aren’t near the reactor…
by DCeee on Mar 11, 2011 4:40 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Wait
hambone, you live on the island?
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 11, 2011 5:39 PM EST up reply actions
No
I am in Hawaii. If a major earthquake hits Japan, there is automatic island wide evacuation of the coastal areas in Hawaii.. That means me, because I live by the beach. Unfortunately, this evacuation started at midnight. The tsunami was projected to hit here around 3-4am. So a lot of people in Hawaii are groggy today. The vast majority of these of these evacuations are from earthquakes in Japan. Its not only Hawaii, its the entire Pacific basin. Australia, China, Indonesia, Alaska, islands all across the Pacific. Everyone is is looking for high ground.
by hambonejackson on Mar 11, 2011 7:07 PM EST up reply actions
I live 8 blocks from the Pacific Ocean
I wish I had taken the day off to watch the waves hitting the beach next to my house.
by BayAreaBullet on Mar 11, 2011 7:27 PM EST up reply actions
I wish I didn't live in a desert pollution pit...
…and for millions of dollars.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 11, 2011 10:21 PM EST up reply actions
You mean you wish you could have stayed up all night
knowing it was for nothing and yet knowing you may be homeless before sunrise. Thats fun.
by hambonejackson on Mar 12, 2011 1:54 AM EST up reply actions
I only live in Hawaii because I have to live here
and if I have to live here for the rest of my life, fuck ya!
by hambonejackson on Mar 12, 2011 2:09 AM EST up reply actions
i agree.
undersized, but athletic and a motor. a-la barkley….
You never know.
Both physically strong, explosive, just I don’t think Booker can handle the ball like Barkley.
TNT should've treated Lebron's return to Cleveland game like 2k11 and cut the game off after the Cavs were down by 30. lol
i was down on Mo initially
when the trade first happened. but the more i watch, the more i think he’s the type of vet we need. he hustles, works hard, scraps, fouls hard, intense….etc.
i’d rather draft a SF (barnes or other) and have mo be the vet backup/mentor.
I think Howard will recieve offers this offseason
so I would let him go without overpaying. I’d be happy keeping Evans but don’t want to pay too much or for too long.
Exactly.
Just the right guy for a short term offer.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 11, 2011 12:09 PM EST up reply actions
a Pick and Mo
Howard is getting up there and still struggling to stay on the court.
always liked Mo’s game.
Hopefully Mo Evans is backing Harrison Barnes next season.
Screw rational basketball analysis. I <3 Jordan Crawford.
by returnofswagger on Mar 11, 2011 11:39 AM EST reply actions
I think Barnes is much less risk with nearly as much star potential.
Barnes has the body for an NBA SF. I have seen him show a great ability to finish around the rim. And he can make a shot from anywhere.
Screw rational basketball analysis. I <3 Jordan Crawford.
by returnofswagger on Mar 11, 2011 1:49 PM EST up reply actions
I will grant you that Barnes (and my Tar Heels)...
have bounced back nicely of late… let’s suspend our discussion until a few weeks from now… the answer to the great Harrison-Terry-Perry and Derrick debate might be clearer then.
Ohh yeah
The whole lottery is pretty blurry right now. Nothing a little March/April madness won’t clear up. Well unless Perry Jones has to sit the whole thing out :(…
Screw rational basketball analysis. I <3 Jordan Crawford.
by returnofswagger on Mar 11, 2011 4:06 PM EST up reply actions
Going to be interesting to see how far he falls...
but then again, Kanter is still projected to go pretty high…
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 12, 2011 8:56 AM EST up reply actions
Well if he falls
it is because people are improving their own stock, while he is not. Not because his stock is falling on its own. He did not impress this year anyway… I am pretty sure BU wasn’t even going to make the tourney.
Screw rational basketball analysis. I <3 Jordan Crawford.
by returnofswagger on Mar 12, 2011 10:49 AM EST up reply actions
**Ok he did not impress me, this year
he has been good, just not going Jimmer on anybody or anything like that.
Screw rational basketball analysis. I <3 Jordan Crawford.
by returnofswagger on Mar 12, 2011 10:51 AM EST up reply actions
I'd hope BOYD or the draft will make this a moot point
Lewis is enough veteran at the SF for me. But if I had to choose between Mo and Howard I would def. take Evans. He’s a much better 3 pt. shooter and he can actually stay on the court. Much better fit for John Wall and the Wizards. I’d say he’s cheaper than Howard but I doubt that guy gets any significant offers.
Agreed. I think your SF should be able to shoot the 3
It’s better for floor spacing. With the development of Seraphin and Booker, I’m hoping we can nab Barnes in the draft.
by PhenomenalSwag on Mar 11, 2011 2:03 PM EST up reply actions
BOYD and the draft
use BOYD to move up from ATL’s pick. Move up from the late teens to the late lottery to draft a SF. I’d love a Kanter and Jordan Hamilton/Kawhi Leonard package. If we luck up and get the #1, BOYD may be useful to target a trade with Cleveland. Maybe a Kanter and Harrison Barnes/Terrence Jones combo. Even if we don’t use BOYD to move up at the draft, I’d still target Kyle Singler with ATL’s pick. That cap space will be more valuable that retaining Mo Evans during the summer or at the trade deadline.
No matter if we pick a SF in the early lottery, late lottery, or early teens, we should be able to get one with our 2nd selection. That player and Booker can develop as potential replacements for Shard since we’re stuck with his contract for another season.
Good topic
I think Josh Howard definitely has to go. I really think he’s great, but his injuries are making it difficult to see his value on this team. If you keep Evans you will still have that veteran presence on a young and growing team. As others have said, keep Evans, draft a SF like Barnes, and make plans to have that rookie SF to be a long term solution after Lewis is gone. I think that is the key because regardless, no matter how young this team is, they still need someone who has been in a winning situation to show them how to win. Evans is just the safer pick over Howard.
by ThePGPhenomenon on Mar 11, 2011 2:15 PM EST reply actions
Resigning Yi?
See the Wizards are featuring Yi in a promo for the Wizards Chinese social media sites. Obviously Yi is the person to lead the Wizards China outreach. But with Yi having 18 games (34 days) left in his Wizards contract, would the Wizards be reaching out to Chinese fans at all if they didn’t intend to bring Yi back? It seems kind of weird to use someone as your star-attraction if you plan on letting them walk in a month.
In closing, god I hope not.
http://www.nba.com/wizards/video/2011/03/10/Yiwebomov-1586813/index.html
I guess it's a good idea from a business standpoint
So maybe we could re-sign him and not play him. Drum up the business. We are in Chinatown, after all.
Don't read too much into it
I’m guessing marketing and personnel aren’t as closely related as you think.
Jeff Green
I dont think Boston would be able to match a reasonable offer of say 40-50 million over 5 yrs. I think he would be a great fit and ideal person to put in a wizards uniform. Young enough to be apart of a growing core. Mature enough that you wouldnt worry about him living in this athlete swallowing city ( hell he grew up here) and he definately has the skills we would be in need of at small forward.
40-50M over 5 years is reasonable?
He’s maybe worth the MLE.
by BayAreaBullet on Mar 11, 2011 4:04 PM EST up reply actions
Jeff is destined to be one of those tweeners whose value...
is in the eye of the beholder… If we keep Blatche we cannot affor to have a playe like Jeff also.
I don't understand why people think Green is good
what on earth does he do well? He doesn’t score, doesn’t rebound. All he does is “space the floor”. But spacing the floor doesn’t mean anything if you aren’t making shots and you’re an awful rebounder.
I chose BOYD
Didn’t have anything particular in mind, but I wonder what kind of assets the Wizards could get for taking on Linas Kleiza, who has basically done nothing in Toronto. Another option might be Luke Walton, though the Lakers draft so low that their picks wouldn’t really be worth it.
Ridiculous Upside, where developing talent and winning are not mutually exclusive.
Linas is also a local guy
Which would give Buckhantz five minutes of broadcast material per night…. Seriously, though, I’d definitely take Kleiza.
From the District of Columbia, home of the hyperbolic paraboloid transitional floating zone defense.
by mr. 91 on Mar 11, 2011 4:28 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
the same 5mins every night
Did you know Cartier Martin is named after a tv show?
I remember that move...
Used to do it on the dance floor in the 80’s, along with the Moonwalk, the Sprinkler and The Worm
He's "delightfully cranky"
I used to have super powers until my psychiatrist took them away.
Prada
I think you are undervaluing bball IQ and we dont have s helluva lot of that on this team. he played a large part in (winning) in the western confernce. I guess we should just look at his STATS and he assume he wasnt a good player.
Jeff Green you mean?
I want to like him but I don’t see anything that he brings to the table. Don’t worry, I’ve watched him a lot. Worth noting that OKC was significantly worse with him on the floor (adjusted plus/minus) each of the last two years running.
He shoots 30 percent from three and still launches nearly four per game. That’s pretty terrible basketball IQ.
He's Antoine Walker with less rebounding
by BayAreaBullet on Mar 11, 2011 7:26 PM EST up reply actions
Doc Rivers = Doc Brown?
Kevin Garnett as Marty McFly?
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 12, 2011 9:05 AM EST up reply actions
New coach and new 3?
Albuquerque Stampede coach Darvin Ham. Worked for Red with Russell as player/coach.
/crickets.
President of the Chris Whitney fan-club
by Natepyatt on Mar 11, 2011 8:38 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Darvin.. love the dude...
My then pre-teen daughter for some unknown reason had a huge crush on him when he played in DC.
Bring Out Your Dead
we take on an expiring contract and young prospect/draft pick from a contender using salary cap flexibility. Super brief explanation, may have missed a point or two.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Mar 11, 2011 10:23 PM EST up reply actions
Think Kirk Hinrich trade
taking on a veteran, maybe with a bad contract or even with an expiring, from a contender, but we also get an asset like a prospect or draft pick, for taking the salary off of their hands. Pretty much exactly what Bullet Nation… said.
Screw rational basketball analysis. I <3 Jordan Crawford.
by returnofswagger on Mar 11, 2011 10:59 PM EST up reply actions
Is Kevin Durant available?
that boy is good.
He was the dream, even before Wall.
Grew up near here, loved the Bullets. Now he wants to grow old in OKC….
Skins rule
by Horcasitas4 on Mar 11, 2011 10:00 PM EST up reply actions
First lets see where we pick and what we would have to take on in a BOYD trade
Then if we would still have the need for a backup by then, i would give Mo the advantage over Josh since he is a three and D guy who can play both the 2 and 3. 2 yrs/$3,5
"If you don't shoot, you can't score"
Johan Cruijff
" My psychiatrist just doesn't know what I go through. He is a Lakers fan" Hambonejackson
A few guys to look at
Originally, from Milwaukee but moved to DC 2 years ago and plan on staying here, so I’m trying to follow both teams. The Wizards are making adopting fanhood difficult, but I actually like their owner and his vision looking ahead.
The best FA option at SF for the Wiz IMO might be Wilson Chandler who is a restricted FA. I also think they should look closely at these FA’s: Shannon Brown, Aaron Afflalo, Marc Gasol, DeAndre Jordan, Earl Clark, Kyrylo Fesenko, JR Smith, Luc Richard Mbah A Moute (although I honetsly hope the Bucks re-sign him). Most of them are contributors on winning teams and are under 25 and at least add toughness, defense, or energy.

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