Wizards' losing streak over: So what now?
Stopping a slide is difficult. The law of averages will glibly tell you winning was a matter of time. Any statistician will tell you streaks happen both ways, a mathematical inevitability. The longer the losing or winning continues, but losing especially, and it takes on the consistency of gravity. Play too long in that other world, you're playing not to lose, and that's no way to win.
Of course, this is one of the head coach's primary functions, and it's a responsibility they execute well. We were right there in overtime with the Thunder, the Cavaliers were right there with the Mavericks. And while we have varying degrees of confidence in the coaching staff, the team's mental toughness is still a major question mark going forward. As Rook commented in the gamethread:
Just have to guard against their usual 3rd quarter collapse...and their usual 4th quarter collapse. They already avoided their usual 1st and 2nd quarter collapses.
When the Wizards visit the Magic on Wedensday, it will be with another two days rest. I hope they're taking this game just as seriously as the Cleveland game, because tomorrow's effort will set the tone for the rest of the season.
If you haven't read Prada's recap, do so. A lot of things went right Sunday night, perhaps things many would argue can't be brought on anything beyond a one-in-five basis. I would argue that the odds of everyone bringing their 'A' game in their best chance to break the road losing streak defies that assessment.
Every student of the NBA knows games are won one possession at a time. We'll see a beautifully executed offensive set followed up by a terrible basket in transition, a smart, gritty defensive stop ruined by 16-23 foot fadeaway with twenty seconds left on the shot clock. The problem is that it takes the entire team to make the machine run smoothly, and only one bad decision on the other end to waste all that good effort.
Take all those possessions, add 'em up, and you've got a game. A passel of blocks, plenty of drawn charges, generating turnovers was enough to overcome a horrifying disparity at the free throw line (14 FTA versus 31 FTA for CLE), but we can attribute at least part of the blame to Cleveland's defensive miscues. Put everything together, and it totals up to a win.
My first post here was something along these lines, and the Brendan Haywood quote jumped out at me:
"...in Washington, we hoped we could win. [In Dallas], they expect to." These are the expectations perennial playoff teams possess, granted, but the last thing a developing talent like Andray Blatche needs to feel is futile.
Substitute John Wall for Andray Blatche, and I could be writing about this year. But wait a moment. I know a lot of us are feeling pretty down right now, but cheer up. While our record is poor as ever, we're in much better shape. Gilbert Arenas and his contract are gone. Nick Young has done an about face. John Wall is coming along. Dray is showing signs of life. Javale McGee continues to improve. Trevor Booker is becoming a solid bench player. Kevin Seraphin is showing a soft touch with the hook shot and knocked Brandon Jennings into next week. The Alonzo Gee saga that felt like the end of the world when we were looking for ANYTHING positive has concluded with Cartier Martin, the 'lesser' D-leaguer, filling the role we needed. And we got that awesome Chinese guy.
Yi Jianlian will never get backed down in the post again...but on a serious note, I'm sure the last thing any of us expected was getting a small ball 5 for Quinton Ross. Ernie Grunfeld is another polarizing subject, but our veterans right now are Josh Howard, Kirk Hinrich, and Rashard Lewis. Howard is playing solid when he can get on the floor, Hinrich is drawing trade interest (not even expiring until next year), and Lewis is producing while all three are net positives when Flip resists overplaying them.
Who thought this time last year we'd have a trio of legitimate veterans with a little trade value, a backcourt of the future, while still looking at another high lottery pick? That light at the end of the tunnel is getting brighter, and it's not the C-train.
Back to Orlando. After the Spurs took us out to the woodshed, I understand any reluctance to get our hopes up. Watch for the points Prada mentioned, if we see enough of that effort, we can win possessions. If we can string enough of those together we can win the game. Keep it physical and have Seraphin hammering Dwight in the second. Somebody get that man, T'ed up. Keep pressure on the perimeter and the Magic will shoot themselves out of the game (unless that pesky law of averages kicks in again).
I want to see the level of effort that tells me our young guys believe they can help this team win. There are 29 games left to play, and we're only 23.5 games out of first place. Piece of cake.
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Bolo Yeung is Korean!
The FT disparity was not an anomaly, Flip’s teams NEVER get to the line more than their opponents. We run a jump shooting offense that works when our guards are hitting their shots and is a trainwreck when they’re off. They were off against the Spurs, on against Cavs.
That’s why (IMO), defense is so terribly important for this club. We are not going to get to the line for ez points on off nights, we have to be able to clamp down opposing offenses when our shooters are cold. Tall order really, but that’s been the nature of Flip’s teams throughout his career and he’s had success.
Gah, the Koryo tribe came from China anyway...got me
I’m definitely not suggesting the FT disparity was an anomaly, merely that, for once, the holes in Cleveland’s defense were a real contributing factor. It’s like Sean said, when the jump shots are falling, this team can beat anybody.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Feb 15, 2011 10:59 AM EST up reply actions
Three best things for the Wiz this year
1) McGee in the slam dunk contest
2) Wall in the skills contest (hopefully)
3) two lottery picks with lots of balls (the second coming via trade). (It looks like Harrison Barnes will be available later than thought so the Wiz could get a good PF and Barnes).
I think Barnes will still go in the top 5
But Rook would be better for this
by HIBACHI GOLD on Feb 15, 2011 10:54 AM EST up reply actions
Top 5 should almost certainly be
the Joneses, Sullinger, Kanter, and Irving…
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Feb 15, 2011 10:57 AM EST up reply actions
I've heard some buzz about Jonas Valanciunas in the high lottery top
At this point Barnes is probably going at six at the highest.
From the District of Columbia, home of the hyperbolic paraboloid transitional floating zone defense.
by mr. 91 on Feb 15, 2011 12:56 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
("top" = "too")
From the District of Columbia, home of the hyperbolic paraboloid transitional floating zone defense.
by mr. 91 on Feb 15, 2011 12:57 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Harrison Barnes continues to drop...
Top 5 (in no particular order): Terrence Jones, Kanter, Perry Jones, Kyrie Irving, Jared Sullinger…
With the dirth of Centers in this draft, you would have to think that Jonas Valanciunas will be drafted high, certainly in the top 10… Derrick Williams from Arizona is putting up crazy production and is moving up the ladder… I could see him moving into the top 5 by the end of the year (pushing one of my top 5 out)..
Then there’s Kemba Walker, the UConn Junior that has just exploded this year – he’s got to be in the top 10…
And Chris Singleton was moving up my list, before he broke his foot last week….
All that leads up to me saying that it’s possible that Harrison Barnes doesn’t get drafted in the top 10….
He's "delightfully cranky"
I used to have super powers until my psychiatrist took them away.
If we could get our hands on Barnes without giving up our original lottery pick
the this team would be on the fast track. I would forgive Ernie for anything I ever hated him for.
Maybe Detroit or Sacramento or Minnesota or somebody would bite on Javale McGee and/or Blatche and we could wind up with a later lottery pick for Barnes. I would be all for either or both of those guys, to really get a fresh start on this team, and land Kanter or Sullinger and a nice wing player like Barnes.
If we missed out on Sullinger, then we could maybe grab a wing in the top 5(Terrance or Perry Jones?) and grab Williams or Kanter later in the later lottery instead of Barnes.
I’m making myself optimistic about this draft after all. Although I do not know how realistic theses scenarios even are.
by returnofswagger on Feb 15, 2011 2:54 PM EST up reply actions
2nd paragraph
Meant to say I would be all for giving up Javale and/or Blatche…
by returnofswagger on Feb 15, 2011 2:55 PM EST up reply actions
I think Kemba is going to fall by the time the season is over.
He is a shot jacker and has horrible shot selection.
TNT should've treated Lebron's return to Cleveland game like 2k11 and cut the game off after the Cavs were down by 30. lol
A Game
Only chance of this being a winnable game is if the Wizzies bring their “A” game at both ends and the Magic leave theirs in the locker room.
That is definitely where everyone not named Dwight Howard has been leaving it.
But as I’m sure we’ll hear from the announcers, ‘The Magic will never have a better chance to get their perimeter shooting back on track than facing the Wizards at home.’ Not likely, but I’ll settle for a hard fought game, and we usually end up playing the Magic pretty tough.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Feb 15, 2011 11:03 AM EST up reply actions
I'd like to see a better defensive plan than
“Let’s see if Javale can handle Superman in the post yet.”
I wouldn't
JaVale one-on-one against D12 is all about player development. I’d be happy to see evidence that Flip is able to keep his focus on the long term goal. Fact is, we’re not going to be able to contend for a championship until we have a center who can stand toe to toe with D12 and, without help, hold Superman to around 60% FG%. From there, we can add team help defense to try to contain D12 and his teammates to a low enough efficiency that we would stand a chance in a seven game playoff series. These match ups with Orlando are invaluable teaching opportunities for JaVale.
What player successfully checks Howard 1-on-1?
Nobody. Just last week he dominated Perkins until the Cs threw some help his way. I’d like to see a smart gameplan that keeps us in the game by making Howard pass the ball to players who havent been so hot recently.
I'm fond of Boston's approach
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Feb 15, 2011 4:53 PM EST up reply actions
I am too considering how bad Orlando's Perimeter shooting is.
If it was 2009 it would be a diff. story.
by BayAreaBullet on Feb 15, 2011 8:17 PM EST up reply actions
Seraphin needs to play as many minutes as JaVale vs. Orlando
Dwight absolutely dominates JaVale every time and really makes him look like a fool. I’d like to see Seraphin given a chance and see what he can do.
by PhenomenalSwag on Feb 15, 2011 11:39 AM EST reply actions
at the risk of Mcgee looking more foolish than usual
I would like to see Flip have Mcgee go at Howard as he did against Bogut and Duncan. At least try to get Howard in some foul trouble, make him work a little on the defensive end. And Flip needs to go apoplectic when Howard is openly shoving Mcgee (and whomever else) out of his way with no whistles. Superman deserves leeway from the refs, but it gets to absurd levels against us imo
I’d like to see Seraphin given a chance and see what he can do.
He might push him a feet or two further of the block but then the Howard just shoots over him anyway….flat footed.
"If you don't shoot, you can't score"
Johan Cruijff
" My psychiatrist just doesn't know what I go through. He is a Lakers fan" Hambonejackson
by Dutch Hoopfan on Feb 15, 2011 5:17 PM EST up reply actions
* feet =foot
"If you don't shoot, you can't score"
Johan Cruijff
" My psychiatrist just doesn't know what I go through. He is a Lakers fan" Hambonejackson
by Dutch Hoopfan on Feb 15, 2011 5:18 PM EST up reply actions
Oh yeah I forgot he is hopelessly short
Should probably retire.
by BayAreaBullet on Feb 15, 2011 8:18 PM EST up reply actions
I'm just not exited about this kids potential in the NBA
Three things he did well in France are 1. one on one post defense 2. Defensive rebound 3. block/alter shots.
Going into this year i was worried those qualities would not translate to the NBA because of a lack of height/atheleticism ánd beceause poor fundamentals since he has only been playing this game for a few years now.
Think about this: his specialty is defense, we have the worst defensive bigmen in the L, at this point of the season we have nothing to lose and he still is not getting any significant burn.
He is a role player at best, more likely a bench warmer for the remainder of his rookie deal and maaaybe one or two minimum deals after that.
"If you don't shoot, you can't score"
Johan Cruijff
" My psychiatrist just doesn't know what I go through. He is a Lakers fan" Hambonejackson
by Dutch Hoopfan on Feb 17, 2011 8:23 AM EST up reply actions
It very possible
for the Wizards to win on Wednesday. I’m not saying that they will, but Orlando has been horrible lately with the exception of the Lakers game. If the Wizards can somehow get Dwight Howard in foul trouble or even play half way decent defense then they have a chance. As much as Howard was going off on them a week and half ago, they stayed in the game until the beginning of the 4th. The reason for that is because Orlando outside of D12 is a streaky jump shooting team. When they are off, they are off. This isn’t the same team from the past few years. So if the Wizards give the same effort they gave Sunday, it should be a close game.
by ThePGPhenomenon on Feb 15, 2011 1:03 PM EST reply actions
The Wizards are a streaky jump shooting team and most of their shots are 2s and there is no Lewis
Orlando is raining 3s on the Wizards and they have more shooters than the Wizards, So even discounting Howard on offense, the team would probably lose.
by hambonejackson on Feb 15, 2011 2:04 PM EST up reply actions
It's too bad
because Van Gundy with a wig could totally do that.
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Feb 15, 2011 4:57 PM EST up reply actions
You never know what Orlando team will show up....
Turk, JRich, Gil, JJ, Ryan, Jameer… these guys drive Van Gundy nuts because he never knows whch of them will bring their A games on any given night… If they are looking past the Wiz to the long break and if JVM decides to man up on Howard with some help from Kevin… we could get a pleasant surprise. Not saying we will, but we could. With Josh around, much more seems possible.
He really seems to hold this team down...
I have no idea what it is…
by Bullet Nation in Exile on Feb 15, 2011 4:56 PM EST up reply actions

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