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Six reasons Antawn Jamison absolutely needs to be traded before the deadline

I harbor absolutely no ill will toward Antawn Jamison.  In point of fact, one thing that's become a bit more clear from covering the team more in-person is the intangible benefit his presence provides.  He plays through pain, rarely complains about it, talks to the media about all the off-court drama so nobody else (namely, Caron Butler) has to and squeezes as much as he can out of his talent.  That's not to say people get carried away sometimes praising his virtues when he's obviously not perfect, but by and large, Antawn Jamison is not what's wrong with this team.

That said, Antawn Jamison's time in DC is up.  It was arguably up last season -- I remember arguing that then -- but at least the Wizards could rationally believe that Gilbert Arenas would come back, everyone's injuries would go away and they could make one more run toward semi-contention.  At this point, though, there's little justification for keeping him beyond the trade deadline.  All this hand-wringing with the Cavaliers better be just the typical negotiating that teams do two weeks before the trade deadline, and not a sign that Jamison is here to stay. 

Below the jump, six reasons why Jamison has to be moved right now.

Star-divide

1.  The Wizards are rebuilding

Self-explanatory, I know.  Rebuilding teams don't employ players in their mid-30s who make eight figures.

2.  Jamison's contract is abysmal for a rebuilding team

In a world where the Wizards are a solid playoff team poised to take the next step toward contention, Jamison's four year, 50+ million dollar contract is at least somewhat defensible.  Good teams have a core and try to augment it, and Jamison's certainly capable enough to be a part of some good team's core (though perhaps not at his salary).  However, in a world where you're not making the playoffs, the goal should be to keep long-term contracts to a minimum, develop your young players and keep stockpiling.  Having a 33-year old Antawn Jamison around for that is counterproductive to long-term goals.  Leading by example only goes so far.  At a certain point, young players have to play and learn by playing.  Jamison's presence is currently preventing Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee from getting that court time.  (Now, whether they deserve it or not ... oh let's not deal with this tug of war again).

3.  Jamison's contract is abysmal for a rebuilding team in 2010

More than ever, I'm convinced that 2011 expiring contracts are going to be even more highly valued than 2010 expirings.  Why?  The looming expiration of the Collective Bargaining Agreement should bring some pretty big changes.  Player salaries will certainly go down, and they could go down drastically.  That's not good for teams that employ players who have contracts past 2011, such as the Wizards with Jamison.  They're going to be stuck paying good, but not great players a salary that is way above the figure they'd get under the new CBA.  Jamison's scheduled to make $15 million in 2012 when he's 35.  That isn't great business under normal circumstances, but it's going to be particularly bad when the going rate for players of similar skill could be anywhere from a third to half that price under the new CBA. Trading him now, even if it's just in a money-saving move, prevents this inevitability.

4.  The market won't be there in the future

Because of the new CBA, and because Jamison's salary only escalates as his body continues to break down, we're dangerously close to the point where Jamison's considered a toxic contract.  No doubt about it, Jamison can still play, but with most teams hemorrhaging money, there's just too much of a cost for even a playoff team to add him.  There will inevitably be chemistry issues to work out, and if they don't work out, you suddenly have an immovable long-term contract on your hands.  Owners are going to be very wary of adding Jamison in the future, so much so that any move to get him out for short-term contracts right now has to be done.

5.  The market's arguably not there right now

Here are the current suitors for Antawn Jamison: Cleveland, and ... yeah.  There's nobody else, for all the reasons stated above.  Jamison is not Andre Iguodala, a 26-year old athletic stud that will surely be productive for the duration of his (admittedly) long-term contract, so teams like Dallas, Boston, Phoenix and others have no interest.  The only reason the Cavaliers have interest is because they not only are willing to spend, but also possess a need for a stretch power forward, although they have played extremely well of late with youngster J.J. Hickson starting.

That's the other thing -- the Wizards may be misunderstanding Cleveland's negotiating position.  Yes, LeBron James has reportedly lobbied for Jamison, and yes, there's the whole "LeBron could walk" thing, which could force Cleveland's hand if they want to keep the guy.  However, there are several things working in Cleveland's favor, namely a) they have the best record in the league with the mix they have, having gone 37-8 since a 3-3 start; b) they have other options in case Jamison falls through that are either less financially taxing (Troy Murphy) or bring someone younger (Amare Stoudemire, Iguodala); and c) though it failed last year, they can always use the "don't tinker with a good thing" excuse.  There's also Cleveland's own worry that James will walk even if Jamison comes by, leaving Cleveland stuck in the same situation the Wizards currently are in, potentially without their top young player to boot.  

Basically, there are all sorts of reasons for Cleveland to drive a hard bargain for Jamison.  The Wizards?  Well, they have to create leverage by trying to sell the "franchise cornerstone" thing, which is about as much of a joke as anything I've read during the entire deadline season.  

And what if Cleveland ends up passing on Jamison and winning the title anyway?  Those same non-suitors for Jamison aren't likely to return by draft day, not with the new CBA cloud looming.  No, the Wizards really have one team to deal with now, and it's Cleveland.

6.  Jamison deserves to play for a winner

Okay, I don't mean this in the literal sense.  The NBA is a business, and ideas like "loyalty" and teams owing it to their players to trade them to contenders don't actually hold any water.  However, they are easy ways to explain a trade to a fanbase that believes in loyalty and is severely distressed by everything that's happened this season.  Obviously, you have to refine the message, but there will be enough fans that sympathize with Jamison for putting up with all the crap that's happened this season enough to prefer he end up in a good situation even if it hurts the team in the short term.

Now, this runs up straight against the other thing fans are thinking about: trading Jamison to the "hated Cavaliers."  I've spent much of the past few years loathing those guys, so seeing Jamison help LeBron James will obviously be uncomfortable.  But the truth is, the rivalry is dead, and Wizards fans will eventually get over their short-term anguish because of the loyalty factor and because they'll realize the Wizards are making a prudent long-term decision.  In other words, holding on to Jamison to spite the Cavaliers is living in the past.

To be honest, so is holding onto Jamison past the trade deadline.

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Great job, Mike

It’s time for the Wizards to abandon ship, and it’s time for Jamison to go — then Butler.

by Matt K. on Feb 5, 2010 5:41 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Couldnt have said it better.

Good thing also that Mike James, Crittentons contract are up also.

by qthaballa on Feb 5, 2010 4:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Time is running out, if it hasn't run out already

Hickson looked pretty good last night, and James seemed pretty darn happy playing with him after lobbing a ferocious alley-oop to JJ at one stage.

by dogshammdog on Feb 5, 2010 6:25 AM EST reply actions  

Yes Hickson has had a couple of good games....

but if it came down to the last seconds of a pivotal post-season game, and James is double or triple teamed on the basline, who would you rather see him kick it to?

Remember Courtney Lee against the Lakers last year?

There comes a time when experience counts and for Cleveland this year, winning is everything.

I think the Wizzies and Cleveland will make the deal Jamison for Ilgauskas (who gets bought out so that he can resign) and if not Hickson, then Cleveland’s first rounders this year and next.

Shifting to the other must trade scenario for a second, Haywood to Portland, why has there been so much man love for Rudy (mine included, I confess) and so little respect for the more readily avaliable Martell Webster, who is a very productive player and also still quite young. It would not be so terrible a thing to get Webster and Blake for Haywood, IMO.

by khrabb on Feb 5, 2010 7:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Webster's contract is bigger

And more long term.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 5, 2010 8:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes but not outrageous...

after this season two years at 5 million each… i guess it depends on how one views his upside as a player…he cannot do a worse job at the 3 for us than Caron is at this point… I would still prefer Rudy + Blake but I would not reject Webster out of hand.

by khrabb on Feb 5, 2010 11:45 AM EST up reply actions  

completely agree

i always loved antawn for his character, maturity, and professionalism, and as a person. but he has to go or else the team is mortgaging it’s long-term future.

by Marine4Life51 on Feb 5, 2010 6:40 AM EST reply actions  

I disagree somewhat

I am fully onboard with trading Jamison, provided that it offers something other than clearing his salary. A trade for Z and Hickson? Great. A trade for Z and a first round pick in 2011 or later? Great. A trade for Z? No, for a couple of key reasons.

First, in my opinion you can’t trade your best player for nothing. Doing so will not only set back the rebuilding process, but also set a precedent for the other trades you hope to make. To rebuild correctly and quickly, you really need to maximize your assets.

Second, Jamison’s contract will only be bad next season. The following season (2011-2012) it again becomes attractive because it’s an expiring contract. So, if you don’t make a trade this season that brings in a piece towards rebuilding, you try again in 2012.

Third, Jamison may continue to play very well over the course of the contract. We assume that he will tail off, but we’ve seen that the rules for older athletes are changing — Brett Favre, Kurt Warner, etc. Jamison’s play hasn’t started to dip yet, so maybe our assumptions that he will rapidly decline any day now aren’t correct.

Finally, there is no reason that a well-paid, very good player has to be an albatross for a rebuilding team, and can’t be an asset. There’s no reason that the team’s best player has to play the most minutes. If coach and player are committed to participating in the rebuilding process, and doing whatever will help that process, it can be a good thing.

Having said all of that, those are points on the basketball side of things. From the financial side of things, a rebuilding team will be playing in a 1/2 full arena for a while, so the team can’t afford a contract like Jamison’s. As fans, though, I don’t think we should be touting the corporate perspective — i.e., justifying and accepting moves because it makes bottom line sense even though we end up watching a hideous product as a result — so I am discounting this issue.

by disgrunted on Feb 5, 2010 8:06 AM EST reply actions  

Disagree

Keeping jamison just prolongs the rebuilding process. I think at the end of the day, trading Jamison for Z makes sense. It would be great if we could get something else, but we need the cap space, money and minutes on the court to rebuild.

Also, even if we get nothing. If we can Void gil, and trade caron, then the rebuilding phase gets a lot faster because we have a ton of cap space

by Blatche4MVP on Feb 5, 2010 9:16 AM EST up reply actions  

We can't rebuild with his contract and Gils

And we can currently get rid of AJ but not Gil. Prada was right about the upcoming CBA. Gotta do it now.

by BayAreaBullet on Feb 5, 2010 12:48 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

and, of course

Antawn is a very soft player for a 4 and can’t defend anyone at his position. That will not put any team, ever, in contention. He is, however, a scoring machine and by all rights should have been 6th man of the year every year since his second season.

by Tbonebullets on Feb 5, 2010 9:27 AM EST reply actions  

So you're saying

A consistant 20-10 guy his whole career should’ve never been a starter?

by lj15 on Feb 5, 2010 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Good post

Hard to argue with any of these points. It would be tough if we didn’t get any rebuilding pieces for AJ, just cap relief. A straight up trade Z for Jamison would be tough to swallow. But his value will never be higher than it is now. The argument of his being a cornerstone is just silly. Yes he’s our best player, but right now our best player isn’t very good for us. The stories coming out that Grunfeld won’t deal to Cleveland because of the rivalry have ot be just rumors, if we are to believe that he has a brain in his head.

by seewhite on Feb 5, 2010 10:40 AM EST reply actions  

I just can't get down

with trade talk. Whatever that M. Prada guy said sounds good.

by ccrun1800 on Feb 5, 2010 11:44 AM EST reply actions  

Push for Hickson

The Cavs would like nothing more than to get Jamison without giving much of anything up – i.e. the Wizards get Ilgauskas and then agree to a buyout so he can return to the Cavs.

I also think that would be a good enough trade for the Wizards to make. That said, the Cavs would get the better end of the stick here, and I think Grunfeld should push for more.

If the Wizards trade Haywood and Butler, while choosing not to resign James (a given) or Miller (he ain’t staying), then there will be enough minutes and salary cap freed in the process, Jamison or not. I’d rather the Wizards try to call the Cavs bluff so they can get Hickson, then just cave too quickly. I feel that way even if it means the Wizards lose their last opportunity to trade Jamison until around the trade deadline two years from now.

Also, I’ve never felt Jamison’s contract is as bad as it’s often made out to be. He’s certainly earned his money last year and this year. Next year? We’ll see. And the year after he can be used as an expiring (isn’t that the logic the Cavs would use to make such a trade?). Also, even teams thoroughly committed to rebuilding can benefit from a veteran presence or two.

I hope a trade happens, but Hickson’s worth pushing for, while the Wizards can still accomplish what they need to accomplish if Jamison sticks around.

by Johnnie Futbol on Feb 5, 2010 1:02 PM EST reply actions  

Butler's contract doesn't go past the new CBA

And even if it’s cleared, it doesn’t provide any cap space of note.

Jamison’s, on the other hand, does. And it’s not all that much more valuable in 2012 as an expiring either, because we’ll inevitably be lowballed by teams not willing to give up much for a rental player (like we’re seeing with Wood now).

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 5, 2010 1:08 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I was assuming Butler can get traded

Granted, that may be a big assumption!

From simply a quality of play standpoint with a Jamison for Hickson and Ilgauskas trade the Wizards get low-balled as well. I’m fine with getting lowballed in some circumstances. My main argument is it’s worth the risk of keeping Jamison if absolutely necessary to push for Hickson (who’s a pretty good prospect IMO). Call the Cavs bluff (which might not be a bluff, as you’ve rightly argued).

They do need to get rid of at least one of the Butler or Jamison contracts. And I also think it’s imperative that one of either Haywood or Jamison gets traded before the deadline, for the sake of giving more time to Blatche and McGee.

by Johnnie Futbol on Feb 5, 2010 1:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh I see

“Past the new CBA.”

I’m not sure what we can expect from the CBA. There’s a lot of speculation, but some of that is suggesting contract restructurings that would screw teams like Cleveland (if they keep James), Los Angeles, Miami (if they sign a max for Wade), etc. This game still is all about the superstar, and a radical restructuring of salary caps (a hard cap and a radical reduction to smaller contracts) might get both resistance from players (a lot!) and from some teams (a minority).

by Johnnie Futbol on Feb 5, 2010 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

The new CBA will be undoubtedly Owner-friendly

They hold all the cards. I think we should promise to cut Z and do whatever is possible to get Hickson.

by BayAreaBullet on Feb 5, 2010 1:34 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

of course...

If there’s a lockout, then perhaps Jamison effectively has one more year on his contract. : )

by Johnnie Futbol on Feb 5, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Jamison would be toxic to the Cavaliers

I’m a firm believer in FG%. Iverson and Bryant and others can hoist up a couple dozen shots a game but they won’t win if less than half fall through the hoop. Look at the Lakers. They lose every time that Kobe takes 28 shots or more. They win when he takes 15 shots or less. Jamison is another, I-am-my-own-team type players. They are good for last second shots but are toxic if they play that way the entire game.

Skip Jamison. He won’t make the Cavaliers better.

by bifftime on Feb 5, 2010 3:27 PM EST reply actions  

FG% is not a good stat

Use true shooting percentage. Includes threes and free throws.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 5, 2010 3:31 PM EST up reply actions  

If I were the Wiz

I’d try to pull this deal off: Caron Butler, Nick Young and Randy Foye for Martell Webster, Travis Outlaw Steve Blake and Rudy Fernandez. Outlaw is an expiring contract, Webster still has some upside and with about 10 million in contract worth. That makes swallowing a Z for Jamison pill much easier to swallow. It also somewhat changes the complexion of the Wiz franchise and allows the money to be saved long term.

I know this still leaves Stevenson and Foye on the roster, but they are easier to phase out over the long term. Stevenson has an option for next season

There’s a long ways to go, but demanding too much for Antawn Jamison makes little sense. Excellent stuff MP.

UNLESS that underground cavern was a David Thorpe run training facility. The problem of course, is that players really need to play in NBA game situations for them to develop well. So a league of cyborgs needs to be built along with a regulation-sized stadium and tons of fake fans to simulate real NBA games to develop the players. Though at this point the team is spending billions of dollars to develop those players, so you know… maybe it would be smarter to just wait. -- Iashwash

by pookeyguru on Feb 5, 2010 7:18 PM EST reply actions  

The question indeed.

UNLESS that underground cavern was a David Thorpe run training facility. The problem of course, is that players really need to play in NBA game situations for them to develop well. So a league of cyborgs needs to be built along with a regulation-sized stadium and tons of fake fans to simulate real NBA games to develop the players. Though at this point the team is spending billions of dollars to develop those players, so you know… maybe it would be smarter to just wait. -- Iashwash

by pookeyguru on Feb 6, 2010 2:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Great Article, Mike

I swear, I agree with you just about every time. I hate the Cavs more than the casual Wiz fan, but it’s true – holding on to Jamison to spite the Cavs and hurt our rebuilding process doesn’t do us any good.

Jamison has been our BEST player for the last several years, and our most consistent player for the last 5 years. It would be sad to see him go, but I see why it’s good for us and for him. You’ve convinced me.

The only article I ever disagreed with you was that the Wizards should part ways with Arenas. But let’s not bring up things from the past. :)

My swag was phenomenal.

by se7en on Feb 5, 2010 9:58 PM EST reply actions  

innerestin

as a knick fan i hope that jamison gets traded to celveland and the cavs lose in the first or second round of the playoffs. it will take that sort of misfortune for the kid to leave home.

twitter.com/aighttho
http://aightthen.tumblr.com/

by stingy d on Feb 6, 2010 8:06 PM EST reply actions  

Why?

Why does he deserve to play for a winner? He had a chance to build a winner, and couldn’t do it. He’s like Gary Payton. He couldn’t build one with his own team, so latch on to someone elses, and hopefully they’ll win me a ring.
The way Lebron talks he may end up that way too. Playing in Miami, to play with Wade. Can’t win it on his own, so find someone to help his cause.

by mvpmadsen on Feb 7, 2010 9:12 AM EST reply actions  

Nobody said he deserves to play for a winner

Methinks you need to read that section more carefully.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 7, 2010 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

I did Idiot

It was a stupid thing to say too.
He had plenty of chances to help “the big 3” But all they could do is be first round exits at best. Why should I sympathize with that?
If they were smart, they would cancel Arenas contract. They have that right now. That’s 100 million they save right there.
Trading for Mike Miller was a mistake. They lost a first round pick, and it keeps Nick Young on the bench.
The last good move they made was stealing Caron Butler from the Lakers for Kwame.

by mvpmadsen on Feb 7, 2010 10:06 AM EST reply actions  

First of all, don't call people names

Second of all, that section never said he “deserved” to play for a winner, it said that the sentiment that he deserves something is easy to sell to fans who don’t want to see him traded.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 7, 2010 12:00 PM EST up reply actions  

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