Cliche alert: Andray Blatche is succeeding because he's making shots
From the very first day of the season (media day, specifically), Andray Blatche has talked about how he's a more serious player this year. It's an often-repeated storyline that he's been putting out there whenever he could. However, if you ever asked him to reveal what specific part of the game took up most of his time, he would say that it was his jump shot.
The inner skeptic in me always wondered whether Blatche would have been better suited to focusing on another area. Blatche only managed to post a 35.6% eFG% on his jumpers last year, among the worst marks in the league. As bwoodsxyz argued over the summer, Blatche's jump shot was so horrifically bad last year that it made sense for Blatche to forget working on his shot and instead work on maximizing his strengths. Instead, Blatche spent all summer working on his shot, which made me concerned that Blatche would think he was actually a good jumpshooter and keep hoisting them up instead of focusing on his other strengths.
As it turns out, Blatche's summer work has made a huge difference. Check out these shooting numbers for Blatche from different shot locations (via HoopData)
The biggest improvement in Blatche's game hasn't come from a newfound ability to finish inside. It also hasn't really come exclusively with more proficiency on stuff like hook shots (though obviously there's a decent improvement in Blatche's percentage on shots from inside of 10 feet). No, the biggest improvement has come in his jump shooting. He's made a massive improvement from 10-15 feet, a distance that tends to be turnarounds and fadeaways, and he's made a very solid improvement on shots from 16-23 feet, which tends to be standstill jumpers.
In other words, through hard work in the gym, Blatche has turned a massive weakness into a relative strength. That has an effect on the rest of his game too, one that we've started to see in the last few games. Before, NBA teams were thrilled when Blatche launched away from the perimeter. Now, they're a bit scared. You could see it in tonight's game against the Nets. Whoever was guarding Blatche -- whether it was Yi Jianlian, Kris Humphries or Brook Lopez - had to play Blatche closer than they would have in the past because Blatche was a legitimate threat to just rise up and shoot the jumper over them. They bit on pump-fakes, allowing Blatche to drive around them. They had less space to slide their feet when Blatche decided to face them up. No matter what, Blatche was beating them with a steady diet of jumpers and drives to the hoop.
When you add Blatche's jump-shooting proficiency to his also-improving inside repertoire of hook shots and turnaround (the 10-15 foot range), you have a guy who is officially a foundational piece for the future. All it took was some hard work in the gym.
I guess I was wrong, Dray. Keep working on your jump shot.
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NBA Fastbreak
Just awarded Andray with Sunday’s hoops hero!!!! YAY
He is avg 27 pts and 12 boards the past seven games
Interesting Comparison
It would be very interesting to compare those numbers to Jamison while he was in Washington. His numbers have been down this year before the trade and if they were comparable, its another argument against the job that Flip had done earlier in the season.
Anyway, the outside shot has really made Blatche formidable as an NBA PF and he is definitely going to be a strong building block for the future.
by finkad01 on Mar 1, 2010 12:55 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
Andray Already is Only 0.2 Points Behind Antawn in PER This Season
And that includes all of Blatche’s spotty play from the first half of the season. Antawn only had a 17.7 PER this season, not a very All-Star like season from him. Blatche is at 17.5 and his numbers are rising quickly. He is already better than AJ was this season for the past 7 games.
"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier
And of course
This does not count defense – At least “non-box score” defense which scouting tells us Blatche is better at. Is it possible we are more competitive now because we improved our play at the 3/4? Shame we hadn’t done this earlier in the season and had kept Haywood. Perhaps we would have made the playoffs?
I know I've said this before
but I actually think Blatche’s numbers are MORE valuable than Jamison’s, even if they’re off by a few points. I say that because AB stays down low, rather than camping out at the 3 point line. (Although he was on the outside a lot more last night. Hopefully it’s not a trend) I think you need your PF to stay close to the basket, where they can have much more effect on the “meeting of ball and basket”, whether on offense or defense.
Indeed...AB hangs out in the blocks instead of doing his nails on the perimter
Like Twan did….its so refreshing.
Also, it’s exciting to see James Singleton jumping over folks to get a rebound.
WE NEED HIM BACK.
yeah
I missed the beginning of the game last night. What’s going on with Singleton? I saw him check in for like 30 second, then go back out. Is the ankle injury worse than it looked? In now way am I questioning his toughness, but I didn’t think the way his ankle turned looked that bad. I’ve definitely seen a LOT worse. I just hope nothing tore.
blatche shot 32 time to get 36 point all the plays are design for blatche and he have the ball all the time so that make blatche a one man team like caron, and twan was so we will just wait and see how long blatche hold up and on the other hand flip have just destroy nick young game so be proud mike prada kinda sad that you would write about it and it is just the net team that they beat
straight talk
by Mae.jude@yahoo.com on Mar 1, 2010 1:35 AM EST reply actions
LMAO
I guess by straight talk you mean, “Straight words, no punctuation whatsoever.” And Blatche shot 31 times and made 17 of those attempts, which is relatively efficient. And it’s “kinda sad” mike prada would write about it? The kid is averaging 27 points on 54% shooting, 11.6 boards, 4 assists, 1.8 blocks and 1.4 steals over the last four games. Sounds like he might be worth writing about.
Give them their credit....
They added one comma after “caron”
by SkinsWizStangs on Mar 1, 2010 11:29 AM EST up reply actions
I have convinced myself that you are Nick Young
Every post you have written (that i have seen) is about Nick Young….no matter what the topic being discussed is.
by Oldbuckwilder on Mar 1, 2010 10:30 AM EST up reply actions
Defending Young
Can we just stop defending NIck at this point? I don’t hate the kid, in fact I think he can have a good career, he just needs to be more consistent and learn how to fight through a screen. But he’s been on the team for almost three years, two of which we have been one of the worst teams in the league, and he can’t even crack the starting lineup. His game speaks for itself at this point, and despite his amazing three pointer against the Knicks, he hasn’t really contributed yet.
Dray is making a late start on MIPOY...
but if these numbers hold up the rest of the season, a case could be made!
I was thinking the exact same thing
I wonder how they factor it. I don’t see how ANY player in the league has made a bigger jump, regardless of when he did it. He went from an afterthought in the offense bench player, to a go to guy putting up all star numbers.
I think Blatche can definitely be a second banana on a playoff team. We’ll still need a big time guy to be “the man” on this team before we’re a real contender (at this point, that doesn’t look like Gil even if he gets another shot)
But hey, we’re one ping pong ball away from having a shot at a guy like that. I wouldn’t mind seeing a Blatche/Wall pick and roll play 20 times a game for the next couple years.
first banana, second banana?
I think the jury is still out on Blatche. He’s only 23 and still has plenty of room for improvement. There’s no reason to place any kind of ceiling on how good he can be.
The beautiful thing is I would argue the same for McGee though the truth is he’s a long ways from establishing himself as a competent starter, let alone an all-star.
But if I’m the Wizards organization I’m banking my future on those two developing into something very special in the next couple years, and crossing my fingers that they can pick up a Wall or Turner along the way (actually, there are a handful of players likely in this year’s draft that I find intriguing).
by Johnnie Futbol on Mar 1, 2010 10:04 AM EST up reply actions
I'm still
holding out hope for McGee, but it’s definitely dwindling. Lopez and Gasol WORKED him, and I’m almost scared of how Bogut will do against him this week. I really wish we’d pick up another big to come off the bench behind him so we’re not stuck with Oberto once McGee starts getting overmatched.
Oh, and
regardless of what McGee does the rest of the year, I’d be ecstatic to land Cousins in the draft. I don’t see us getting the first or second pick, so I doubt we’d have a shot at Wall or Turner.
agreed, Cousins is a perfect compliment to Mcgee. Stocky and Skinny at center. Mcgee might be more suited to be a change of pace energy guy.
Wall, Turner, or Cousins
We need a point guard, wing, and big body. I actually like Dereck Favors better than Cousins. I’m a Terp and watched him regularly in the ACC.
He’s man child who has a 30 yr old man’s body with crazy crazy crazy hops. More developed than Cousins physically and better wingspan.
Would be happy with anyone…but remember luck never comes our way.
The More I Read About Cousins
The more I think he would be the perfect fit for us. Huge, physical presence in the paint. His weaknesses on defense are the exact opposite of McGee’s: lacking lateral quickness and not being aggressive enough when trying to block shots. His biggest problems appear to be laziness and having a bad temper, leading DraftExpress to say this:
A few articles have already been written about his extremely unpredictable nature and whether that might come back to haunt Kentucky at some point in a big game, and these same concerns may give NBA executives room for pause when thinking about drafting him extremely high in the lottery and making him the face of their franchise.
The good news is, with Blatche, Thornton, and Arenas, Cousins would not have to be the face of the franchise. He could settle into a supporting role that allows him to step up when he wants to and slide back into his support role when he desires. We could use him as the perfect compliment to McGee, as you mentioned. So now all we need to do is get a top 3 pick.
"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier
Cousins
I would be very happy if Cousins winds up on the Wizards next season. A frontcourt of Blatche, McGee and Cousins (or Favors) could be scary for years to come.
That said he wouldn’t be my top choice, and not just because a player like Wall probably has more upside (I don’t know, that’s just what everyone says!). I really do think McGee in 2-3 years could be something special. If that ends up being the case, then the Wizards won’t need a Cousins or a Favors to have a dominant frontcourt.
On the other hand where’s the young talent in the perimeter? Arenas could fill that role, except for the young part. Arenas probably has a good number of years ahead of him (his lack of games played over the past few years will help out A LOT in this regard), but still there’s nothing I find more enticing for the future of the Wizards than a Blatche, McGee, Wall/Turner trio to grow together.
by Johnnie Futbol on Mar 1, 2010 2:36 PM EST up reply actions
If the Wizards Get Wall
I won’t be shedding any tears. I’m just trying to be realistic, because I don’t think we’ll be lucky enough to get the #1 overall, although I think we may just get lucky enough to nab a top 3.
On that realistic note, say we miss out on a top 3 but still wind up with the #8 pick, for example. Would anyone object if we took Cole Aldrich? DraftExpress describes him in similar terms to Demarcus Cousins (I’m making the comparison to Cousins based on the descriptions, not DE). DE also lists him as a “Rich Man’s Joel Przybilla” as a best case, which I think would be very nice to have. What do you guys think?
"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier
I hear ya
Not sure the chances of the Wizards landing Cousins is much better. If the draft goes in the often predicted order of Wall, Turner, Favors and Cousins then the Wizards will probably need that 3 spot to land him.
Anyways, I haven’t been blown away at all by Aldrich when I’ve seen him (just portions of 2-3 games). I’d much rather Greg Monroe than Aldrich frankly, even though I don’t see Monroe on the same level of a Cousins or Favors. Monroe is a 6’11" guy with a long wing span and some nice post moves (not to mention great court awareness and passing), so he could play both PF and C for the Wizards in the future.
I’m also curious if the Hornets would swap picks with the Wizards for Collison.
by Johnnie Futbol on Mar 1, 2010 3:15 PM EST up reply actions
If we don't get top 5 pick, I would swap it for Collison
Cause Wall, Favors, Cousins, and Turner are too good to pass up.
What about if we package Gilbert and Cavs 1st rounder in a 3 way team deal for Collison. I mentioned Orlando part of it since they like Gilby.
Gonna be hard to match Gil's salary
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.
I'm not so sure...
I think we’ve had our share of tempermental players in recent years and they don’t have a tendency to mesh with a team’s chemistry…something this team has sorely needed for awhile.
I’m with jdgreger on this one and leaning towards preferring Favors, but this is one of the things the scouting department is supposed to look into so here’s hoping they nail these selections.
Obviously this is an important draft for the direction of this team, we nail this one and certain FAs might not be dubious in coming here.
Completely agree
On Blatche as the second option on a playoff team. We don’t necessarily need a number 1 option. Just two other number two’s that function well together. A low-usage, high energy and defense type player that consistently knocks down the 3pt shot. Then, a guy who can get his own shot and can score. What we can’t have is three high usage players.
Blatche and the outside jumper
I was just thinking that what has impressed me most about Blatche is that he has been putting up these numbers while still having a very good shooting percentage. He’s not a Stackhouse or an Iversson, on a bad team and averaging 25 a night while taking 30 shots. He has been an effiecient at the line and, surprise, his free throw shooting has been more consistent than Jamison’s. I really hope he can keep this up because when his jumpshot is falling he realy does have all the moves you could hope for out of a skilled big man.
good things
andray blatche playing well will open up a lot for the wizards. hell gather more respect, double teams which will open up the floor.
in the meantime the wizards should play to mcgee’s strengths and use him how chris paul used tyson chandler. as a full court backboard
by rzawrecktah on Mar 1, 2010 11:12 AM EST via mobile reply actions
before the trade you were saying the same thing about blatche get rid of him until he was given a chance. sometimes all a person needs is just a chance; and please don’t say nick, no i am not nick , have been given a chance.
straight talk
by Mae.jude@yahoo.com on Mar 1, 2010 11:31 AM EST reply actions
See: all of last year
Young is in Flip’s doghouse, true. But how about the chance he was given ALL of last year?
When do we start criticizing
Grunfeld for reportedly offering to trade Blatche for DJ Augustin last month? Really, I’m anxious to start.

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