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20 Days, 20 Questions: Can the Wizards improve their team defense?

With Wizards training camp come and gone, Bullets Forever is still asking 20 questions about key issues with the team in 2010/11.

Everyone in Washington is familiar with the Redskins' struggles over the past decade. Yet, despite failing to meet expectations, they've managed to put together a solid defense more times than not. The Redskins have been among the top 10 in overall defense seven times since 2000.

Though the Wizards haven't fared much better than the Redskins over the last 10 years, they have not been able to maintain respectability on defense. The last time the Wizards finished with the season a defensive rating (points allowed/100 possession) in the top half of the NBA was the 1997-98 season. The last time they were in the top 10? Try 1987-88, the season during which JaVale McGee entered the world.

Defense has been a problem for a long time in Washington, and it will be the weakness that holds the Wizards back if John Wall can lead this team to contention down the road. In order to fix a system that's been broken for so long, you have to scrap any vestige of previous defensive schemes and start over with a fresh mindset and a fresh roster. The fresh mindset and roster are now in place, which leads us to our next question:

Will the roster moves translate into a better overall team defense?

Star-divide

Before we discuss how the new roster additions will contribute defensively next season, it's important to remember defensive talent is wasted if there isn't a good scheme in place. Throughout most of Brendan Haywood's days as a Wizard, his defensive talents were wasted because the rest of the team would collapse into the paint on any penetration. This made Haywood's presence redundant and left perimeter players open for easy three-pointers.

Conversely, a solid defensive scheme can overcome poor defensive skills. The Cavaliers were able to maintain their high defensive rankings even after they brought in Mo Williams, who has never struck fear into anyone defensively. The Magic finished third in the NBA last season in defensive efficiency despite having Jameer Nelson and Rashard Lewis, who are average defenders at best.

Flip Saunders' track record gives me confidence that the right defensive scheme will be in place. There will be some growing pains as the younger players grow into their roles, but the foundation is there.

As for the roster additions, right away, we know that Kirk Hinrich will be a plus defensively. He turns 30 in January, so he might not be the same disruptor he was in Chicago, but even still, he gives the Wizards a perimeter defender the team has lacked since DeShawn Stevenson's injuries caught up with him in 2008. As we've talked about before, his addition will lighten the defensive loads for John Wall and Gilbert Arenas.

Hilton Armstrong looks like he'll be another player who can come in and provide a defensive boost. In his limited time on the court with New Orleans, Houston and Sacramento, he provided a significant boost on the defensive end. The Hornets were 4.8 points per 100 possessions better with Armstrong on the court, the Rockets defense gave up 6.2 points per 100 possessions less with Armstrong, and the Kings improved by 4.8 points per 100 possessions. He won't see too many minutes, but he can be effective when the Wizards need to sturdy up their low post defense.

Yi Jianlian's on/off numbers defensively were in line with just about everyone else's numbers on the Nets last year, which is to say, they were pretty horrible. He doesn't fare much better in the eye test either. Here's John Townsend's summary of Yi Jianlian's defense on Truth About It:

I am at a loss as to how a player with such impressive measurables and an adequate offensive game can be as invisible as Yi is on the defensive end. He is hopeless. And with the Wizards re-dedication to defense, I just can't see Yi getting much playing time.

Flip Saunders' coaching, plus the added incentive of being in a contract year could give Jianlian the boost he needs to utilize some of his defensive potential.

Of course, the biggest question marks deal with the rookies, because it's so difficult to predict how a player's defensive skills translate in the pros, where the good ol' pick and roll is utilized with more quantity and quality than you see in college. John Wall is going to have his hands full learning how to fight through picks better and stick with his man, since he'll be guarding at the point of attack on most possessions. Shutting down the opposing team's point guard won't be where John Wall makes his money, but if he can provide an upgrade over Gilbert Arenas, he'll make life much easier for everyone else defensively.

Like Wall, Kevin Seraphin has the physical tools to be useful defensively. He's slightly shorter than you'd like, but a beefy frame and knowing how to throw your weight around can negate those height discrepancies. The biggest area of immediate concern will be how Seraphin avoids foul trouble. Young big men have enough problems avoiding foul trouble as it is. Adjusting to different rules and different referees will only bog that process down. Thankfully, the Wizards won't be relying on him to shoulder heavy minutes early on, which should help his development.

Trevor Booker has a bit more experience than Seraphin, which should hopefully keep him out of foul trouble. The problem with Booker is that he hasn't developed a defensive identity in regards to his position on the floor and role in Flip Saunders' matchup zone, as he told CJ last Wednesday:

Booker was asked whether he thought the three or the four was his more natural position. Unsurprisingly, he responded "probably the four right now, but I feel with a little more work I'll feel more confident [playing the three]." He went on to state that his main concern with playing the three at this point is "probably the mismatches."

At the end he was asked to talk about the aspect of the pro game that he has found to be the most challenging to grasp. Booker said, "probably defense, playing good team defense. I struggled a little bit with it this summer." With Flip wanting to use his matchup zone about 20 - 25% of the time, it remains to be seen whether that will help him adjust more quickly.

Booker has the right mentality and skills to be an effective defender in the right role, but it will probably take some experimentation on Saunders part to find where he's most effective.

Finally, there's Hamady N'Diaye. If you read Mike's report from the first game at the Vegas Summer League, you should have no worries about his defense:

Hamady Ndiaye also impressed me today, particularly with his defense. I figured he'd be little more than a long shotblocker like JaVale, but he's really much more than that. He's got really quick feet, always knows where he needs to be defensively and is always talking to people making sure they're in the right spots. He played only eight and a half minutes for some reason, but I don't think I saw one defensive mistake out of him.

The issue right now is that no one really knows if he'll be on the team this season. What makes things more complicated this seasons is that it's doubtful he'll receive many minutes, with Hilton Armstrong providing essentially the same skills in a more experienced package.

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As I said in the beginning, the key to utilizing defensive talent and masking defensive weaknesses is having a good defensive scheme in place, as younger core of players is brought into the fold. There will be growing pains, of course, but a consistent defensive identity will ensure the team learns from those mistakes. If the Hyperbolic Paraboloid Transitional Floating Zone utilizes the new roster's defensive skills half as well as it utilizes the alphabet, the Wizards have hope of becoming a solid defensive team in the years to come.

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Two things

1. I was hoping to see how the team played during the scrimmage yesterday when they employed the “Hyperbolic Paraboloid Transitional Floating Zone”, but I can’t remember the team ever slipping into it. There is always the pre-season.

2. Hamady Ndiaye – he will not likely be on the active roster to start the season as the team would prefer that he play a season or two in Europe. However, yesterday he appeared to get excited to play defense and grab rebounds. Sometimes having passion and desire to do something can make up for any shortcomings that you may have from a talent or experience standpoint. I am hopeful that they find a way to retain his rights if he does not make the active roster this season.

Follow me on twitter - @CJ_202SB

by CJ Hempfield on Oct 4, 2010 1:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Supposedly that is the case, but the player has to be willing to sign the standard NBADL agreement which is normally less than $30K per season. For that reason, he will probably be more inclined to sign a better offer internationally (assuming there is one available).

Follow me on twitter - @CJ_202SB

by CJ Hempfield on Oct 4, 2010 7:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

PLUS

As I understand the rule change – the Wizards would NOT retain his rights….

If he is NOT on the 15-man roster, but assigned to the D-League team – He is an unrestricted Free Agent – and ANY other NBA team can sign him to a contract…

Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......

by Rook6980 on Oct 4, 2010 7:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks Rook

That was a question that I had and have been trying to do some research to find the answer. I wasn’t sure if those three players who get cut from the big team, but are assigned to the D-League team would be fair game to anyone who would want to sign them to their main club.

Follow me on twitter - @CJ_202SB

by CJ Hempfield on Oct 4, 2010 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

I spoke on this a bunch in the HPTFZ post

cited above

But basically: we’re long at almost every position, have raw materials to prove a significant upgrade from the undersized tweener Gil-Caron-Jamison days, and have sufficient back-ups at each position that the coach can freely substitute whenever a player is flagging and unable to give energy.

In addition, the emphasis on the uptempo will tend to wear down opponents (again if we can use our depth to best advantage to keep fresh legs out there) .

The only area where we are likely to fall short is in defensive rebounding. We can force the miss, we can force turnovers, but need to be able to secure the ball otherwise the opposing team can rest on offense instead of having to rest in transition.

Kevin Seraphin needs to grow up quick, basically. He’s our best hope for the future in this regard.

JaVale is learning to use his improved strength but it doesn’t come naturally to him. As he gains strength I think he’ll enjoy bullying smaller opponents, but this is the first time that he’s not at risk for being toppled by shorter more compact players. Playing against guys like N’Diaye, Hilton, and Seraphin will help him learn how he can succeed against a variety of opponents. Each brings a different style but none are dominant enough to discourage him. Once he gets a little success I think he’ll learn how to apply it in livefire situations. If Hilton is an actual threat to take minutes then Flip really has both carrot and stick to keep JV working hard. He really enjoys the minutes and acclaim from teh offensive side of things.

Dray does pretty well on the defensive boards (distinct from offensive boards where he is drawn away from the basket by Flip’s midrange sets), and I suspect we’ll see better results from him, but he’s no Kendrick Perkins type, intimidating low-post thug.

Booker is great at sealing his man (often screening out two opponents at once in the training camp videos) but is underheight for snatching away the ball.

But with the zone scheme we really need 2nd line rebounders since the long squad will tend to force long rebounds. Al Thornton you’re our only hope?

by doclinkin on Oct 4, 2010 1:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Thorton is not a great rebounder at all

He averages 3 defensive boards and 1.5 offensive per 30 minutes a game for his career so far.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/t/thornal01.html

"If you don't shoot, you can't score"
Johan Cruijff

by Dutch Hoopfan on Oct 4, 2010 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is why i dont like EG's off season moves much

the goal was to get younger, tougher and stronger on D.
Johny Ballgame was a no brainer, no kuddo’s for EG on that one. Seraphin is a HUGE project for years to come (like seriously 2-4 years or so) whith Whiteside, Alabi and Brackins still on the board, so not a great 17th pick IMO. booker is a very nice addition but a stretch at 23 giving up both 30 and 35 since guys like damion James, DJones and pondexter were still on the board while booker was projected to go in the second round to undrafted (http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/t/thornal01.html, among others) Yi is basically a free one year rentall but no D at all. Armstrong is a low cost/low risk move but far from good and JHow is great at 4 mil. but injured. So, very mediocre offseason moves and even more so beceause the much needed defensive veteran big never came…

"If you don't shoot, you can't score"
Johan Cruijff

by Dutch Hoopfan on Oct 4, 2010 6:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Oops forgot my conclusion...

Younger yes, tougher yes, stronger on D? All in all not so much.

"If you don't shoot, you can't score"
Johan Cruijff

by Dutch Hoopfan on Oct 4, 2010 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

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