John Hollinger's draft rater comes out
It's Insider, so to recap:
-The system really loves Ty Lawson. Like, loves him in that he's neck and neck with Blake Griffin as the best prospect out there period. (Actually, Lawson is ahead of Griffin, though that's not to say Lawson should go first, because point guards are harder to project according to Hollinger).
-The system ranks Austin Daye fourth for some reason.
-The system hates DeMar DeRozan. He didn't even crack the top 50!
-It also doesn't like Jordan Hill much (26th)
-Other notables: Tyreke Evans (3rd), Stephen Curry (5th), DeJuan Blair (7th), James Harden (10th), Hasheem Thabeet (11th).
7 months ago
Mike Prada
9 comments
0 recs |
Email
PrintComments
Pace?
Any idea if his formula includes adjustment for pace? I would think that would account for the elevation of Ty Lawson and Danny Green.
Green looks more and more like a late first round pick to me.
by Jheiser3 on Jun 18, 2009 3:59 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
How accurate is his projector?
Like, does it usually do a good job of predicting how players wind up doing?
by pantslessyoda1 on Jun 18, 2009 4:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
02-08 Draft Rater
Even though Kevin Love topped the 08 list, I think I know why he tweaked it so much from last year:
Top 10 drafted collegians not in Rater’s top 12: O.J. Mayo, Russell Westbrook, D.J. Augustin, Eric Gordon, Brook Lopez
by Jheiser3 on Jun 18, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It has missed a few
But also nailed some big time guys – for example (from the article):
The Draft Rater also has spotted some of the biggest steals in recent years:
• Carlos Boozer was the 26th collegian taken in 2002; Draft Rater had him second.
• Josh Howard was 17th in 2003; Draft Rater had him fifth.
• Danny Granger was the 13th collegian in 2005; Draft Rater had him third.
• Rajon Rondo was the 16th collegian taken in 2006, but Draft Rater had him second.
• Rodney Stuckey was the 14th collegian chosen in 2007; Draft Rater had him fifth.
• And last year, two players the Draft Rater had rated much higher than others did, Mario Chalmers and George Hill, had productive rookie seasons.
Getting buckets since 2003.
by Icantfeelmyface on Jun 18, 2009 6:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Initial Reaction: Not suprised at ALL about Jordan Hill
or Blair. Rebounding counts for a lot in his model, if I recall. Now off to read the article…
Getting buckets since 2003.
by Icantfeelmyface on Jun 18, 2009 5:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I felt a lot better about Harden after seeing his rating
"Would you like to shoot me now or wait till you get home." --- Daffy Duck
by George Templeton on Jun 19, 2009 2:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Really?
Based on the ratings and our team needs, I would say that it supports us taking either Blair or Curry instead of Harden.
"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier
by cuppettcj on Jun 19, 2009 9:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No what I meant was
That I will feel better if we take Harden because of Hollinger’s article. I really would like to see DeJuan Blair in a Wizards uniform (after a swap of first round picks with the Bulls that nets us Kirk Hinrich!)
"Would you like to shoot me now or wait till you get home." --- Daffy Duck
by George Templeton on Jun 19, 2009 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
DeMar Rozan reminds me more of former Trojan Harold “Baby Jordan” Miner than he does Vince Carter.
by Jeremybozz on Jun 19, 2009 10:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Certain photos copyright © 2010 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
