Lessons from the Finals
Apologies for the lack of posting recently ... had company here last weekend. -MP
I do a variation of this post every year because, like any other sport or industry, the NBA is a copycat organization. Coaches steal plays from each other and copy them using different players. Players all try to be the next (blank) instead of themselves, no matter how much they say otherwise. Teams employ similar schematic styles, which is why it seems so revolutionary when a guy like Mike D'Antoni, who really isn't that different from most coaches, decides he actually wants to encourage fast-break basketball.
Sarcasm aside, there's actually a lot of value in looking at teams to learn lessons from your own. This is especially true from a management standpoint, particularly when you consider a team like the Wizards who are somewhere between mediocrity and the Lakers. What lessons can Wizards management learn from the Lakers and the Magic? A couple immediately spring to mind.
1. Spending is important: Matt made this point far more directly than I could, but it's worth noting that the Lakers are a major luxury tax payer. Their team salary this year is over $78 million, well over the $71.15 million luxury-tax threshold for this year. That figure doesn't include Andrew Bynum's new four year/$58 million contract extension, which should kick in next year. That 78 million consists of several players who are probably overpaid. A healthy Gilbert Arenas is as much of a max player as Pau Gasol. Lamar Odom may not be worth 10 million, much less 14 million. Luke Walton got the full mid-level for six years a couple years ago. Sasha Vujacic and Derek Fisher make MLE money to brick shots and play poor defense (though FIsher is a clutch scorer). Yet they still won the title because they figured overpaying the right guys was better than letting them go.
Even though Orlando isn't a tax-paying team yet, they are a good example of the importance of spending as well. Rashard Lewis was given possibly the most outrageous contract in the post-1999 lockout era a couple offseasons ago when he was a free agent. Lewis' contract makes Gil's look unbelievably reasonable. And yet, it's worked out for Orlando because Lewis was exactly what they needed next to Howard. His ability to shoot the three, score with a mid-range game, defend (most) power forwards adequately and leave the paint to Howard made their style as much as the unique skills of Hedo Turkoglu. He'll always be overpaid, but it's better to overpay a little than to cut bait in the name of fiscal responsibility.
2. Coaching matters: The NBA Finals should shatter once and for all that coaching doesn't really matter. Look at Stan Van Gundy's job with the Magic. It is an absolute miracle that the Magic finished as the top defensive team in the league this season. Gilbert Arenas is just as quick laterally as Jameer Nelson and Rafer Alston, except Arenas is taller. Caron Butler is way quicker than Hedo Turkoglu, and Antawn Jamison is just as much a tweenter as Lewis. Dominic McGuire is as much a "stopper" from the looks of things as Courtney Lee. Yet Van Gundy found a way to get those guys to be a part of a league-best defensive unit. He built a sound scheme and got them to commit maximum effort defensively. Previous coaches couldn't do that with those guys. Sure, Dwight Howard helped, but it takes way more than one guy to make a defense. Van Gundy's coaching made all the difference. Think about that before you immediately dismiss offhand that an Arenas/Jamison/Butler trio can never be passable defensively.
Meanwhile, Phil Jackson and his assistants once again did a great job, making all the necessary adjustments that Mike Brown couldn't. Cleveland should have beaten Orlando, but they had a terrible gameplan. The Lakers had talent, but their defensive looks confused Howard and Turkoglu in ways Cleveland never figured out how to do.
3. Finding fits: Both GMs made moves to best suit their coaches. Mitch Kupchak didn't overpay for Jermaine O'Neal in the 2007 offseason, when Kobe was demanding help. He instead zeroed in on Pau Gasol, a better fit for the Triangle offense. Kupchak also overpaid Luke Walton when nobody wanted him, but no player in the NBA is a better fit for the Triangle than Luke. He only drafted one "pure" point guard (Jordan Farmar), instead gambling on several combo guards that could play next to Kobe. He held on to Lamar Odom because his vast array of skills are perfect for their offense.
Otis Smith surrounded Dwight Howard with shooters at the 2 (Lee, Pietrus, Redick), 3 (Turkoglu) and 4 (Lewis). He overpaid for a wing stopped in Pietrus because the Magic desperately needed one, and it worked out well eventually. He paid Jameer Nelson before Nelson got any good because he knew how important Nelson was as a team leader. Say what you want about Otis Smith, but he had the entire package of his team in mind when he made his decisions.
This is a particularly important lesson for the Wizards. Ernie Grunfeld and Eddie Jordan never were on the same page as far as team needs, and it showed. Ernie made moves for several players that had no business playing in the Princeton, and Eddie cut off his own hands by not trying to integrate several of Ernie's moves into his system (see Haywood, Brendan). The two were never perfectly on the same page, and it often showed in a team that was less than the sum of its parts. Now that Eddie is gone and Flip Saunders is aboard, I hope Ernie learns from his mistakes and allows Flip much more input into the needs of the team.
4. No "core for core" trades: I keep coming back to this point, but you don't get better by trading your best guys for someone else's best guys. The Lakers waited for the perfect opportunity to get a blue-chipper like Gasol for scraps. Those opportunities are rare, but they come along and are worth waiting for. Orlando slowly built their team piece-for-piece around Dwight Howard, not making any major core-for-core trades to do so. These two teams are important lessons for those who subscribe to the "addition by subtraction" theory with our Big 3. Because of their experience playing with each other, it won't make the team better to make lateral moves involving our core. The key is using our scraps and finding that team that's looking to rebuild and trade their overpaid (but still good) player.
What other lessons can the Wizards learn from the NBA Finals?
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33 comments
Comments
we are similar to the lakers in personel
i think the one key person we are missing is a go to inside scorer.
by theintz on Jun 15, 2009 8:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Motivation
Similar to the Lakers last season, the Magic look to use Finals failure as motivation for next season. This article is a good read, http://pfx.me/h2.
by Sports Desk on Jun 15, 2009 8:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Quick correction
Mitch Kupchak.
Great points, and I would add: patience. Especially when viewed against the moves made by other GMs, like Steve Kerr. Don’t panic, and wait for the fat pitch, especially when there’s no count (unless you consider the pressure of being a GM to be the “count”). Lack of job security may make you do things out of the ordinary, but that’s on the owner to let the GM know he has his full support, as Jerry Buss made clear to Mitch. Whether or not it was genuine is another story, but Mitch acted as if he did, and sat tight through the storms.
"This is not a game for boys. This is a game for men." - Phil Jackson
by Gils_Keloids on Jun 15, 2009 8:37 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Could also be summarized as:
1) Get the best center in the league
2) Get the most lopsided trade in a decade from a GM who is a hall of fame ex-player from your team
by MR on Jun 15, 2009 9:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yao Ming would disagree with #1
But if it were that easy, then why even try?
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.
by Mike Prada on Jun 15, 2009 9:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Chris Wallace dealt Gasol, not Jerry West.
by Jheiser3 on Jun 15, 2009 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Honestly looking back, it wasn’t that bad of a trade considering Little Big Gasol is a very solid center who is younger. Pau wasn’t likely to stay and the team had to rebuild. It was lopsided but it wasn’t terrible.
by Fundefined on Jun 16, 2009 5:45 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just for fun
I’ve been trying to come up with a current Wizards equivalent for that trade:
Crittendon, Blatche, #1 picks in 2010 & 2012
for
Okafor? Amare? Prince? Howard?
What would you say is a proper comparison?
by MR on Jun 16, 2009 8:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To be honest
The proper comparison is probably Etan + Blatche + Crittenton for Amare.
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.
by Mike Prada on Jun 16, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, it actually looks a bit better in hindsight
They came out of it with 8 million in salary relief, a guy who can start at center for them for the next decade, and they got their first round draft pick back from us.
by pantslessyoda1 on Jun 16, 2009 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I still don't think so
Rookie of the year all star F/Cs don’t grow on trees, and Memphis doesn’t have one now. I still think it’s the steal of the decade.
by MR on Jun 16, 2009 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Disagree
Kwame for Caron was the steal of the decade. At least Memphis got back their future starting center in their deal.
"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier
by cuppettcj on Jun 16, 2009 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like your thinking!
As much as I love the Caron deal, I don’t think he stacks up to the starting PF and #2 option on the Championship team.
But I quibble. The important thing is that we are arguing over whether we were on the GOOD end of the best or second best trade of the decade. Gotta be happy about that.
Funny how Kwame was involved both times.
by MR on Jun 16, 2009 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Defense
Orlando was 3rd in the league in opponent’s FG%, and the Lakers were 6th. The Wizards were 29th.
Orlando was 2nd in oppenent’s 3 point FG%, and the Lakers were third. The Wizards were 27th.
Orlando was 1st in opponent’s effective FG%, and the Lakers were 8th. The Wizards were last.
And just so we don’t think defense is the only problem, Orlando was 3rd in their own offensive effective FG%, while the Lakers were 5th. The Wizards were 29th.
by disgrunted on Jun 15, 2009 10:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
woah woah woah
don’t bring that defense wins BS in here. This team will never be effective defensively so most fans must convince themselves that defense is adjacent to arbitrary. Therefore any talk of serious commitment to defense must be crushed, better you than the illusion.
by Jheiser3 on Jun 15, 2009 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Many apologies
I don’t know what I was thinking — I wrote that late at night. I’m so ashamed.
by disgrunted on Jun 16, 2009 7:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Funny
Now, care to explain how you think the defense needs to improve?
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.
by Mike Prada on Jun 16, 2009 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Easy
The Wizards just have to protect the rim.
I got that from the bible of NBA defense, Eddie Jordan’s book, “Lockdown Defense — in Three Easy Steps.”
by disgrunted on Jun 16, 2009 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Three easy steps?
I thought that was LeBron’s book.
Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......
by Rook6980 on Jun 16, 2009 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, no, you're right
LeBron’s book was “Getting to the Rim – in Three Easy Steps”…
Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......
by Rook6980 on Jun 16, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Oh come come
It’s Five Easy Steps for LeBron’s book!
"Would you like to shoot me now or wait till you get home." --- Daffy Duck
by George Templeton on Jun 16, 2009 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That was the sequel
“Learn to Crab Dribble – in Five Easy Steps”
Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......
by Rook6980 on Jun 16, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Getting to the Rim
- In One Crab Dribble
By LeBron James
"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier
by cuppettcj on Jun 16, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Followed by
“Four Steps to Becoming a World Icon” by LeBron James (with a forward by Damon Jones, former yes man, and lackey to his highness )
Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......
by Rook6980 on Jun 16, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
heh heh
I figured when I said “Three Easy Steps” it would lead to one LeBron joke.
I misunderestimated you guys.
by disgrunted on Jun 16, 2009 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or it could be . . .
I Traveled . . . So?
"Would you like to shoot me now or wait till you get home." --- Daffy Duck
by George Templeton on Jun 16, 2009 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Three Easy Steps
Being.
1. Protect the rim. PROTECT THE RIM. EVERYONE!
2. Don’t worry if they shoot wide open threes. That’s the toughest shot in the game.
3. Go for steals, because then you get the ball and can play my amazing, devious Princeton offense.
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.
by Mike Prada on Jun 16, 2009 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Think you're underselling the affect of Howard's presence in the paint a bit
But the point about spending is spot on … as long as it’s done somewhat wisely, i.e., what you alluded to in Lewis … it’s okay sometimes to overpay for a good player.
Representing DC with Wizards & Stuff - Truth About It.net and Bullets Forever.
by Truth About It on Jun 15, 2009 11:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Excellent analysis...
The point on finding fits is a crucial one, I think.
You could even take it one step further and examine the importance of what could be called ironic fits… those that help you but also leave the other guy scrathcing his head and wondering, “Why the heck didn’t I see that?” I don’t know what Mitch Kupchak was thinking about when the got Trevor Ariza from the Magic for chump change, but that is the kind of deal I am thinking about.
What if Ariza had been on the receiving end of that last second alley-oop pass in game two instead of Courtney Lee? My bet is game over.
The Wizards need to look for hidden gems like Ariza, but by the same token they must avoid giving such a gem to someone else (in the all-but-inevitable trade where we ship out the #5 pick, for example). I think it would be very risky to part with Nick Young, and while I suppose the same thing could happen with Andray Blatche, for some reason I am less worried that this will be the case. I am actually a bit worried that Pecheriv could turn out to be someone’s hidden gem. When you look at what Gortat achieved for the Magic (a #57 pick) and you factor in that Pech really can shoot the ball from outside, it’s possible that with some good strength and big man coaching…. anyway.
by khrabb on Jun 16, 2009 6:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Are you talking about - - like - - - Player Development?
What a radical concept.
Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......
by Rook6980 on Jun 16, 2009 9:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Shame on me....
I should wah my mouth out with soap.
As an aside, I don’t know if Pech has the same obsession with NBA success that Gortat has had all along (remember I live in Poland, and the Hammer is a big news story here, every facet of his life has been covered), because trite stuff like conmmitment and desire play a big role in all this… which brings us back inevitably to Andray Blatche.
by khrabb on Jun 16, 2009 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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