Bullets Forever: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Voodoo Five for South Florida Bulls Fans!

2008/09 Player Evaluation: Juan Dixon

STATS

Per-game: 16.3 minutes, 5.2 points,  1.3 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.4 turnovers

Per-36 minutes: 11.5 points, 3.0 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 3.1 turnovers

Percentages: 39.5 FG%, 33.3 3PT%, 87.2 FT%, 44.3 eFG%, 47.8% TS%

Advanced (explanations): 9.3 PER, 22.7 AST%, 20.4 TO%, 19.1 UsgR, 92 ORtg, 114 DRtg, -0.5 WSAA (win score above average).

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mike Prada: D.C. area basketball fans love to love Juan Dixon for what he did to bring Maryland to a title in 2002. I understand and I empathize with this, because I was right there with those fans celebrating. But at a certain point, we need to see Dixon not as a Final Four hero, but rather as an exceedingly mediocre professional basketball player that probably isn’t good enough to play in this league. This disastrous past season is only further proof of that.

With the injury to Gilbert Arenas, the Wizards suddenly needed guards, but Juan Dixon was not the type of guy they should have gone after. Dixon has a history of being an undersized combo guard who does not have point guard skills. True, his assist percentage picked up considerably in 2007/08, but so did his turnover percentage, showing that the only thing that changed with Dixon’s game is the number of dribbles he took to make a play. The "pure point" question would not have mattered as much if Dixon was an efficient scorer, but he’s never been. His career-best true shooting percentage for a season was a mediocre 51.8 percent in 2004/05, his last year with the Wizards before this season.

The Wizards were essentially getting a low-percentage gunner who needs the ball in his hands to succeed. Not exactly a prototype player to have. Making matters worse, of course, was the presence of Nick Young, a similar type of player who already was more efficient and less turnover-prone than Dixon. I suppose the hope was that Juan’s "professionalism" and determination would rub off on Young and push Young to work harder to keep his rotation spot. The problem is that it’s very hard to convince Young to become less of a one-on-one inefficient chucker when his potential replacement is exactly that.

Despite all this, Juan was actually pretty solid during the first two months of the season. He didn’t shoot well in November (36 percent) but he did post an outstanding 3-1 assist-to-turnover ratio, proving that he maybe could be a quasi-point guard. Then, in December, his shot returned, as his field goal percentage jumped all the way up to 48 percent. But it was all fools gold. Dixon’s last four months of the season were awful, as he couldn’t buy a bucket and was a turnover machine. We all remember the game against Toronto where he threw away that pass when Ed Tapscott was trying to call a timeout, but that was only the last part of a steady fall.

The numbers on Dixon are pretty staggering. He turned it over on a ridiculous 20.4 percent of his possessions, which is insane. One of every five Wizards possessions ended by Dixon was a turnover. He shot a career-low eFG% (save for his rookie year) and had a career-low PER. He did use fewer possessions, to be sure, but it sure didn’t seem like it. He was, deservingly, on the bench during most of the season.

The Wizards signed him hoping his practice habits would rub off more than his on-court habits. That’s proven to be a foolish thought; young players need to see proof of proper preparation rather than just seeing proper preparation. That’s particularly true of the Wizards’ young players, who aren’t exactly prototypical self-starters.

Dixon’s contact is up and the Wizards have 14 players already under contract, so he probably won’t be back here. I hope it all works out well for Juan Dixon, but I honestly doubt he’ll get another shot in this league. Unfortunate, of course, but that’s how it goes sometimes. The Wizards really never owed him extra shots anyway.

JakeTheSnake: I have a love-hate relationship with Juan Dixon.  I'm not a Terrapins fan so I could care less when people yammer on about his days at Maryland, but I have a great amount of respect for the guy's effort.  Maybe his relative lack of talent makes his effort more apparent to my eye, but for whatever reason his effort always sticks out to me.  If this was elementary school and I could just give him a good grade for outstanding effort, I would.

But as we all know, in a work market as competitive as the NBA, you can't get by on effort alone.  And as apparent as it was that Juan Dixon was trying his hardest to play well out there, it was just as clear that he's just not an NBA calibur player anymore.  Over his 7 seasons in the NBA, he's been able to squeeze every last drop of ability he could from his body and make a pretty good living doing it, but I just don't see how anyone would sign him this off-season.

I don't think I need to remind anyone about what happens when he tries to bring the ball up the court (see above video), his shooting percentage isn't great, and he turns the ball over way too much.  The defense was a little bit better with him on the court, despite the fact he's a bit of a tweener, but it doesn't make up for his shortcomings on the offensive end.

He's a nice guy, and I wish him well, but I think Juan Dixon is going to learn this off-season that effort alone can only take you so far in this league.

Truthaboutit: Juan Dixon seemingly fell into the right opportunity last year ... well, for him, not the Wizards. Gilbert Arenas goes down and signing Dixon, local kid made good via prevailing under abysmal childhood circumstances and a Maryland Terrapins national championship, seemed the perfect fit.

Dixon knew the system, having previously played for the Wiz under Eddie Jordan, and would presumably provide the same veteran guard skills and bench scoring punch that was vacated by Roger Mason, Jr. (or not really).

Unfortunately, so went the season, so went Dixon's recognizable contributions to the team. His play, when it saw the court, was inconsistent, and his lack of veteran poise drew the ire of many on Bullets Forever, especially after an embarrassing five turnover effort in a late season loss against Toronto. What did we expect from the guy? Well, we kind of expected better.

But when he wasn't experiencing a nagging injuring, Dixon never knew if he'd be playing from one night to the next. The were faint grumblings about playing time, both from Dixon desiring more and from some fans wanting less. Ed Tapscott had to speak with him about his minutes prior to an early December matchup with Chicago.

I can hardly blame Dixon for getting testy about his run. The Wizards were essentially the last chance for a soon-to-be 31-year old to get a swan song NBA contract. But he just wasn't able dispel the preconceived negative aspects of his game, unreliable offensive initiation and non-existent defense.

His sporadic play was not a large blemish on the season, rather a product of the unfortunate environment. 2008-09 Dixon, which resulted in his career low PER, will just be a blip on the franchise's historical radar.

Juan Dixon has been a better than expected human being, much less his unheralded success in basketball, college and pro. He came in, tried with good intentions, but things just didn't work out.

We thank Juan for his contributions. We thank him for being the always-ready consummate vet. He could very well prove me wrong, but I'd estimate that he plays overseas for a couple of years before putting the game of basketball behind him, moving on to bigger and better things, such as community outreach/service, which would be right up his alley.

Rook6980: I remember the discussions we were having in Training Camp when it came down to keeping either Juan Dixon or DeMarr Johnson for the 15th and final spot on the roster. Little did we know then that Juan would play 16 minutes a game for 50 games for an injury decimated team.

Juan is a tough, hard-nosed competitor and he suffered through a very strange year. He was used extensively in November, averaging just over 19 minutes per game. Then he rode the pine. He got some time for 6 games in December. Then he sat the pine again. He was called upon a bit in the early part of February for a few games. Then he sat the pine. Finally, he played significant minutes in the last 5 games of the year. During the Tapscott regime, if you weren't an "All-Star Forward", your minutes were subject to whim and chance.

Even given the weird way in which he was used (and not used), Juan had a sub-par Juan Dixon year. Statistically, this was his worst year as a Pro. His shooting percentages suffered, especially shooting 3-pointers, but might be expected considering the way he was used. His assists were up a bit, but his scoring was down and he turned the ball over too much. He ended up with the lowest PER of his career.

But even with the difficulties regarding steady playing time; and regardless if he was sitting on the bench for 4 or 5 games in a row, or playing more than 20 minutes a game, Juan always stayed ready, focused and into the game. Juan Dixon was a real Professional, with a Capital "P".

With the Wizard's roster and Tax situation, I doubt Juan will be back for a 5th season; but let's hope he lands somewhere that can use his services.

Thanks for the memories Juan.

0 recs  |  Comment 8 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Good luck, Juan

One of my best memories as a Bullets/Wizards fan will be his 35 point game in the 2005 playoffs against Chicago. That said, its time for the ’zards to part ways wih Juan.

by hotplate on May 29, 2009 1:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That was quite a night

As his point total went up the crowd got louder and louder and when he hit the 30-point mark the place went bonkers!

"Would you like to shoot me now or wait till you get home." --- Daffy Duck

by George Templeton on May 29, 2009 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am wearing my Dixon 3 hat while I type this...

and as I am in Warsaw I hope to see Juan on this side of the pond this coming season. A fine guy and a real success, all the more so given the enormous obstaces he had to overcome early on.

by khrabb on May 29, 2009 4:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

One of every five Wizards possessions with Dixon in the game ended in a Dixon turnover.

Can this be right? Oh no. Please tell me this is some kind of math error.

by MR on May 29, 2009 4:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think I did mess this up

It’s one of five used possessions by Dixon, not the team.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on May 29, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Juan Dixon cost the Wizards Blake Griffin!

That last minute turnover against the Raptors cost the Wizards their 20th win for the season, tied them with the Clippers for the 2nd worst record, and ultimately led to the Clippers getting the #1 pick rather than the Wizards.

Not sure if that logic is correct, I just feel like being dramatic.

Blame Juan Dixon!

by Johnnie Futbol on May 29, 2009 5:08 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

No. If we had sole possession of 3rd place the Clips still would have gotten him. It is only if we had lost the coin toss that the scenario would have flipped.

by MR on May 29, 2009 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That highlight really takes me back

I’ve never in my life seen a 3 point shooter that wide open. Nobody near him, nobody covering him, nobody running at him…

by MR on May 29, 2009 5:22 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Washington Wizards.
Start posting about the Wizards »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
SB Nation Survey + Chance to donate $500 to a charity of this community's choice
Small
What's at stake for the Wiz down the stretch? (Besides ping pong balls)
Small
Next Year's Roster

Recent FanPosts

Bullets-forever_4458_small
2010 NCAA Tournament Open Thread
Images_small
Question
Small
The most logical FA target for 10-11
Chesspiece-web_small
JaVale McGee and Hassan Whiteside
Small
Is Gilbert Arenas any worse than Stephon Marbury?
Small
How Would You Fix It?
Homer_small
Who will people be rooting for in the playoffs?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SPONSORS

SBNation.com Recent Stories

San Antonio Spurs guard Malik Hairston is fouled on a dunk attempt over the Golden State Warriors' Anthony Tolliver during the second half of an NBA basketball game at the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Friday, March 19, 2010. The Spurs beat the Warriors, 147-116. (AP Photo/Bahram Mark Sobhani)

Spurs Torch Warriors, 147-116, In Highest Scoring Game Since 1991

Atlanta Hawks forward Marvin Williams, looks for a shot against Charlotte Bobcats forward Boris Diaw, left, of France, during the first quarter of an NBA basketball game at Philips Arena, Friday, March 19, 2010 in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Gregory Smith)

Johnson Does His Best Jordan Impersonation, Hits Winning Shot In OT

New Orleans Hornets forward James Posey, left, reaches in for the ball as Denver Nuggets forward Carmelo Anthony looks for a shot in the fourth quarter of the Nuggets' 93-80 victory in an NBA basketball game in Denver on Thursday, March 18, 2010. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski) link

Nuggets Rout Hornets 93-80

More from SBNation.com >


Lead editors

Bullets-forever_4458_small Mike Prada

Puppybadge_small JakeTheSnake

Mriggs_cartoon_2__small Rook6980

Contributing editors

Big_small Truth About It

Contributing writers

Addingmachine_small bwoodsxyz