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Tap on Songaila

Over at Wiz Insider, Ivan asked Tap about why Songaila plays so many minutes at center. Here's the answer:

"He's not unpredictable. Most of us as coaches hate unpredictability. A coach would rather have a guy who gives you eight points and six rebounds every night than a guy who gives you 21 and 12 one night and the next two and one and he's out in five minutes because he fouled out...He's too unpredictable."

In general, I know that Songaila has certain strengths. I also agree that it's generally preferable to have guys who are consistent. However, with pretty much everything Tap says, there's the (usually sound) theory behind it and how it actually works (which is poorly). And one thing Songaila does not do is score 8 points and grab 6 rebounds a night.

He's currently averaging 6 points and just under 3 rebounds a game. He has grabbed six or more rebounds just three times this season - Jan. 4, 16 and 21, each time finishing with seven rebounds. By contrast, he has nine games where he's gotten zero rebounds. And since consistency is supposedly his hallmark, let's look at his rebounding numbers for the last 10 games: 0-7-2-7-0-2-0-3-1-5. That doesn't exactly seem like the Wizards know what they're getting night to night.

His scoring is relatively steady, true, but "steady" in this case means "somewhere between 4 and 8 points." His scoring figures for those same 10 games: 2-4-6-4-8-8-4-10-10-8. Over the course of the season so far, he's scored fewer than 8 points in 27 games and reached double figures in scoring in only eight games. McGee, on the other hand, has reached double digit points in seven games and has been held without a rebound in only five games (excluding his DNP-CDs). He has the best rebound rate on the team (excluding Pech, who's only played in 12 games) at 15.8, whereas Songaila's is only 8.5, far and away the worst of any Wizards front court player this season (and even worse than Javaris Crittenton's). And for all of his "rookie mistakes," McGee has a better turnover rate than Songaila, 9.8 vs. 10.6.

What about Songaila's defense? Well, looking at his 82games.com by position page, Songaila is allowing opposing centers to rack up an 18.9 PER, whereas opposing PFs are only managing a PER of 15. While opposing PFs are shooting an eFG% of .474 against him, opposing centers are shooting a staggering .589, despite averaging three fewer shots a game than PFs.

Switching back to offense briefly, Songaila is actually shooting fairly consistently as a PF and center, with an eFG% of .510 as a 4 and .508 as a 5. The former is actually better than opponents, but opposing centers are just burying him. With the injuries in the front court and the fact that Tap is unwilling to play Jamison less than 38 minutes a game (and that Jamison is himself unwilling to play fewer than that), Songaila will continue to see time at center. But let's not pretend that his production there has been even adequate.

[Ed. note: Promoted from the FanPosts.  Like Truth put it in the comments, I appreciate the effort that Songaila brings on a nightly basis.  Especially given the way that this season has gone, you can really admire a guy like D-Song for bustin' it every night on floor.  Every coach needs guys like Darius Songaila on their team.  But I also agree with Jon L that Tapscott isn't doing a good job of differentiating between consistent effort and consistent production and I think that's creating some of the issues that some of us have with how minutes are being allocated at center.  -Jake]

This represents the view of the user who wrote the FanPost, and not the entire Bullets Forever community. We're a place of many opinions, not just one.

0 recs  |  Comment 13 comments

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Apologies

for the lack of paragraph breaks. They were there when I wrote it.

by Jon L on Feb 1, 2009 2:31 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

It's cool

I’m still not sure why it happens, but it does that sometimes. Anyways, I went in and tried to put in the paragraph breaks where I think they should go. Let me know if they need adjusting.

Bullets Forever: A blog dedicated to the Washington Wizards with analysis, commentary, and more YouTube videos than your eyes can handle.

by JakeTheSnake on Feb 1, 2009 4:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I heart Songaila

And I will soon purchase a customized D-Song jersey.

I don’t care what ya’ll say.

Stats are great, but they have nothing on watching the game and knowing who is out there playing their hearts out the whole time they are in the game.

Representing DC with Wizards & Stuff - Truth About It Dot Net

by Truth About It on Feb 1, 2009 3:19 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Well...

I agree that Songaila probably provides the best offensive spacing of any of the front court players (or maybe of any of the Wizards generally?), that he’s a valuable backup PF and that he’s out there playing hard. But I don’t see how Tap can justify playing Songaila in the middle by claiming he’s consistent and producing at a level which he clearly isn’t. McGee gets in early foul trouble sometimes, but he’s also producing at about the level of what Songaila is, and better in some areas.

It’s not just Tap either. His quotes about why certain players are or aren’t playing just get put out there without any investigation into whether they hold up. I don’t think every word the man says needs to be scrutinized, but when he makes claims about certain players’ production levels, I think it’s worth taking a look at whether those claims actually hold up.

by Jon L on Feb 1, 2009 3:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think it's sad that the press ends up treading lightly on this stuff...

I can’t believe that fear of being denied access prevents the beat guys from putting some heat on these rationalizations. Unless constently sucking is better than having hope what is Tap talking about? I honestly think that the Wiz have fallen in love with Jamison style locker room demeanor that they confuse that behavior with performance on the court.

Right now the Wizards have tons of consistency. Deshawn used to be consistently mediocre, now he is consistently awful. Mike James consistently jacks up bad shots. This year Caron consistently turns it over. Antawn consistently lacks lateral movement on defense. Songaila consistently stays out of double figures in anything. They lose consistently, perhaps a little inconsistency will do them some good.

A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by little statesmen and philosophers and divines. — Ralph Waldo Emerson

by NeverNervousPervis on Feb 1, 2009 11:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow, I need to type slower and proof better. Anyhow, one additional thought...

If consistency is Tap’s bag, why doesn’t he dole out minutes in a consistent fashion? Why doesn’t he create a consistent rotation? In other words, why isn’t he consistent, in order to promote consistency?

by NeverNervousPervis on Feb 1, 2009 11:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow
why isn’t he consistent, in order to promote consistency?

I love that idea. Very well put.

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by Rook6980 on Feb 2, 2009 5:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

So basically

You’re saying “screw all the research everyone is doing, I have a better opinion because I watch him?” Come on dude. We all watch the games.

Just admit you love the guy and have Songaila blinders, why don’t you?

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 4, 2009 10:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, recently I haven't watched a ton b/c of my break

But regardless, don’t do that. It’s insulting.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 4, 2009 10:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And come on....

I never said anything about having a better opinion.

Representing DC with Wizards & Stuff - Truth About It Dot Net

by Truth About It on Feb 6, 2009 7:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, you did say
I don’t care what ya’ll say.

Stats are great, but they have nothing on watching the game and knowing who is out there playing their hearts out the whole time they are in the game.

That read to me like you’re saying you have a better opinion.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Feb 6, 2009 8:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Well I thank you Jon L

Because the stats put paid to Tapscott’s notions about Songaila at center and show why him playing there is a bad idea. It is past indefensible at this point.

"Would you like to shoot me now or wait till you get home." --- Daffy Duck

by George Templeton on Feb 3, 2009 1:33 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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