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Around SBN: NFL Week One: Previews and Predictions for all 15 games

Wizards beat Grizzlies in Richmond: Final wrap

Final thoughts from yesterday's preseason games...

First, some stats.  For those not familar with these numbers, this is a chart of the Four Factors, detailed here.  eFG% refers to effective field goal percentage, which is pretty much like regular field-goal percentage, except that it weighs threes 1.5 times more than twos.  FT/FG is the number that results when you divide the number of free throws a team made by its field goal attempts.  OREB% is the percentage of available rebounds snagged by the offense, and TOr are the percentage of possessions which ended in a turnover.

Team Pace Off Eff eFG% FT/FG OREB% TOr
Memphis 103 89.3 42.6 11.6 44.4 22.3
Washington 98.1 43.4 34.9 29.4 19.4

 

Now, some analysis:

As you can see, tonight was an ugly game.  It's easy to look at those numbers and suggest that the Wizards did great defensively, but it didn't really seem like it when the starters were in the game.  The Grizzlies really went cold in the fourth quarter when they played nobody, which skewed the numbers a bit.  The most concerning number on there is the OREB% for Memphis -- 44.4% is simply unacceptable.  For the Wizards to grab only about half of all the available defensive rebounds is a real problem.  It was also pretty consistent no matter who was in the game.  The Grizzlies pounded the glass well when the starters were out there, and they pounded the glass well when JaVale McGee was jumping around like a pogo stick in the fourth quarter. 

Brendan Haywood's read on the rebounding problem was that it was caused a lot by overhelping. 

"A lot of times, we made the initial stop and cut off the drive, but when the shot went up, there were a lot of bodies left unaccounted for.  We have to clean that up."

I agree that this happened a lot.  Haywood himself seemed to be trying too hard to contest drives that were already being contested, which allowed his man, whether it was Marc Gasol, Hasheem Thabeet or Hamed Haddadi, get offensive rebounds.  However, some of this was just caused by a lack of muscle and concentration.  Zach Randolph was usually accounted for by somebody, but he still managed to grab seven offensive rebounds, shoving Antawn Jamison out of the way and out-quicking Fabricio Oberto (who looked so slow and out of it, by the way).  Based on one preseason game, this could become a real problem.  It's true that the first step is contesting shots and forcing misses, but the Wizards still need to work on getting back and being in position to grab defensive rebounds. 

Otherwise, how did Gilbert Arenas look?  He looked tentative and slow at times, but his passing really was impressive.  There was one time when he perfectly set up Jamison for a transition slam on a semi-transition, looking off the defender brilliantly by making it seem he would feed the other wing guy.  He also did a great job setting Jamison up for some wide open shots -- so much so that Jamison said he was often surprised at how open he was.  Flip Saunders said Arenas was a few missed free throws and missed layups away from a 20-10 game, and he's probably right.  That stuff will come around.  His defense, however, needs to improve.  He just looked lost several times. 

Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison looked much more comfortable as second options.  They've gone through two seasons where they have to make plays on the dribble, and frankly, as much as they squeezed the most out of that part of their games, it simply doesn't suit their strengths.  Butler in particular was driving to the basket a lot more than in previous years because he was getting open driving lanes with the presence of Arenas and others.  I expect him to be much more efficient this year -- fewer jumpers, more fouls drawn.  His defense, after being pretty mediocre early, also really picked up late. 

I didn't think Nick Young played great, but his final line (11 points on eight shots) was pretty good.  He played very good defense on O.J. Mayo (though I think that was more Mayo taking himself out of the game), but really got abused by Sam Young in the second quarter.  He also had a couple plays where he tried to dribble too much and forced a shot.  There was one fast break in particular where Nick tried launching a terrible fadeaway from 17 feet when Memphis had gotten back.  Luckily, Young was fouled on the play, but it was a pretty stupid shot.  However, I also didn't notice him a ton, which is probably a good thing, because it means he wasn't dribbling much.

I'm going to write more about Randy Foye and Mike Miller later, because I think Flip may have stumbled on a good solution to mask their weaknesses.  Otherwise, make the jump for some post-game quotes.

Star-divide

Flip Saunders on Gilbert Arenas' performance:

"He almost got to a point where he was too unselfish.  He turned down some shots that I think he should maybe have taken, but that's all a part of learning a new offense."

Flip Saunders on Arenas' minutes, after saying he played 24 minutes because he looked and felt good:

"One time, he was like, 'Why don't you play me like you'd play me in the regular season?'  I said, 'We're not ready for that.'"

Flip Saunders on Nick Young's performance:

"I thought he did some positive things.  I thought he searched a couple of shots out, and I thought he got a little bit tired chasing some screens in the second half."

Flip Saunders on whether Young would start again Friday against Dallas:

"If we don't put him back in the starting lineup, it won't be because he didn't play well.  We might just want to give somebody else some time."

Flip Saunders on the teams' offensive performance in general:

"In the fourth quarter, guys didn't really search shots.  They just kind of played, moved the ball, and if the guy had a shot, he took it.  Whereas I thought that we were almost too unselfish -- we tried to jam some passes -- in the first half and tried to do some things that are maybe a little uncharacteristic."

Flip Saunders on Gilbert Arenas' defense:

"In the first half, he totally didn't respect Mike Conley, so [Conley] got some open shots, but in the third quarter, I thought he had a couple great contests.  We got to get that from him all the time."

Nick Young on his performance:

"I felt good.  Little nervous, but then I felt comfortable once everything started rolling.  I think with Gil, you just gotta be able to knock down open shots.  Gil's going to find you, there's going to be a lot of pressure on Gil coming off Antawn, so I have to be that guy to hit open shots.

Nick Young on his mentality coming into the season:

"It's my third year.  It's time for me to grow up and get my game out there in a game I love.  I just want to try to get better every year.  Last year was a down year; it felt like I could have done more."

Nick Young on his defensive performance:

"I played alright, but Sam Young got me with that pump fake.  That was a crazy pump fake, but overall, I did alright."

Brendan Haywood on Gilbert Arenas:

"It starts with Gil taking a more serious approach and then it trickles down.  Teams are always going to take on the identity of its leader, and he's taking a more serious approach, and JaVale [McGee] and Dray have fallen in line."

Brendan Haywood on the teams' offensive performance:

"I give us a C+ today.  We did some good things, but we weren't smooth out there"

Audio:

Flip Saunders post-game press conference

Nick Young post-game interview

Randy Foye post-game interview

Brendan Haywood post-game interview

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Nick Young

You indicate that Young’s stat line was pretty good (11 points on 8 shots), but I think your visual impression (that he didn’t play “great”) was probably more accurate. We’ve known since he got in the league that Young could score, which he did effectively in this game. The question about him was “everything else,” and judging by the box score, that still looks to be the question. In 18 minutes, Young managed 2 rebounds, 0 assists and a turnover. Plus he got his shot blocked twice.

by TheSecretWeapon on Oct 7, 2009 3:42 PM EDT reply actions  

Nick Young – 11 points, 2 rebounds and a steal….. on 4-8 shooting (1-1 on 3-pointers, 2-2 on FT) – in 18 minutes

Foye – 14 points , 3 rebounds, 3 assists, on dreadful 3-11 shooting and 3 turn overs in 26 minutes

Miller – 4 points, 6 rebounds, 1 assist, on dreadful 1-7 shooting and 2 turn overs in 20 minutes

Stevenson – 3 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists on 1-3 shooting and 1 turn over in 18 minutes…

The way this team is constructed, I’ll take a starting SG with efficient scoring with low turn overs over guys that put up better rebounding and assist numbers, but shoot a combined 5-21 with 6 turns…..

Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......

by Rook6980 on Oct 7, 2009 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

dammm that dude guarding Blatche is one ugly a z dude lol

he better hope he gets paid or else he will never get laid no bullshi

dam lol ohh yeah no Tony Homo

by eltacoman on Oct 7, 2009 6:10 PM EDT reply actions  

this is soo true what Brendan said about Gil being our leader and General

Brendan Haywood on Gilbert Arenas:

    “It starts with Gil taking a more serious approach and then it trickles down. Teams are always going to take on the identity of its leader, and he’s taking a more serious approach, and JaVale [McGee] and Dray have fallen in line.”

….

i think our team will eventually work out all its kinks in the preseason … then it will be bullets flying when the season starts ….

this NAS song keeps pooping up in my head when i think of our offense lol our squad is soo freakn leathal

sample singing]
“Woke up this mornin’, you got yourself a gun, you got yourself a gun”..

[Chorus]
Yo I’m livin’ in this time behind enemy lines
so I got mine, I hope you (“got yourself a gun”)
You from the hood, I hope you (“got yourself a gun”
you want beef I hope ya (“got yourself a gun”)
And when I see you I’ma take what I want
so you tried to front, hope ya (“got yourself a gun”)
You ain’t real, hope ya (“got yourself a gun”)

[Verse 1]
My first album had no famous guest appearances
the outcome, I’m crowned the best lyricist
many years on this professional level
why would you question who’s better?
the World is still mine, tattoos real
with “God’s Son” across the belly, the boss of rap
you saw me in Belly with thoughts like that
to take it back to Africa, I did it with Biggie
Me and 2Pac were soldiers of the same struggle
You lames should huddle, your teams shook y’all feel
the wrath of a killer, ‘cause this is my football field
Throwin’ passes from a barrel, shoulder pads, apparel
but the Q.B. don’t stand for no quarterback
every word is like a sawed-off blast
‘cause y’all all soft and I’m the black hearse
that came to haul y’all ass in
it’s for the hood by the corner store
many try, many die, come at Nas if you want a war.

[Chorus]

[Verse 2]
I’m the N the A to the S-I-R
and If I wasn’t I must’ve been Escobar
you know the kid got his chipped tooth fixed
Hair parted with a barbers preciseness
Bravehearted for life, it’s -
the return of the Golden Child, son of a blues player
so who are you playa? y’all awaited the true savior
puffin’ that tropical, cups of that Vodka too
Papi chu’, tore up, wake up in a hospital
Throw up? never, ‘member I do this through righteous steps
you Judists thought I was gone, so in light of my death
y’all been all happy go lucky, bunch of sambos
call me Gods Son, with my pants low
I don’t die slow, put them rags up like Petey Pablo
this is Nasdaq dough, in my Nascar with this Nas flow, reppin’
hit the record sto’, never let me go, get my whole collection.

[Chorus]

[Verse 3]
It’s – the – return of the Prince, the boss
this is real hardcore, Kid Rock and Limp Bizkit’s soft
sip criss, get chips, wrist gliss, I floss
stick shift look sick up in that boxsta Porsche
with the top cut off, rich kids go and cop the source
they don’t know about the blocks I’m on
and everybody wanna know where the kid live, where he at?
where he shop at and dress at?
know he got dough, where does he live?
is he still in the bridge?
does he really know how ill that he is?
got all of y’all watchin’ my moves
my watch and my jewels
hop in my coupe, dodge interviews like that
It’s not only my jewels, ice anything, plenty chains
Look at my tennis shoes, I iced that
Who am I? the back twister, lingerie ripper
automatic leg spreader, quicker brain getter
keepin’ it gangsta wit’ ya

by eltacoman on Oct 7, 2009 7:27 PM EDT reply actions  

ohhh yeah i change the ( got your self a gun) with you (got your self offence )

by eltacoman on Oct 7, 2009 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Did anyone go to the meet and greet tonight?

I thought I saw Gilbert limping off to the locker room which bummed me out but then I got to make DeShawn laugh by telling him I liked his tattoos. That cheered me up.

by ooba on Oct 7, 2009 10:55 PM EDT reply actions  

He was limping??

I know he didn’t play, but limping?

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Oct 7, 2009 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes -

I’m 95% sure I saw him limping off to the locker room but it would help if someone could confirm. There was a lot going on and maybe I didn’t see right. he did do some activities at the MG so it probably isn’t that bad. So I really don’t think we need to get alarmed. It could just be sore from playing last night – it has been a long time since he played.

by ooba on Oct 7, 2009 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

come on ooba!

don’t drop that nugget and leave us hanging. that’s like yelling fire in a movie theater.

"a crab dribble is when you travel" - caron butler

by little stevie colter on Oct 7, 2009 11:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Also -

there wasn’t a big deal made out of it at all. he sort of crept off by himself while there was a lot going on bball wise. I don’t think any coach or trainer even followed him. I think a lot of people didn’t even notice. I just happened to glance his way so that is why I saw it. I asked the people next to me if they saw it because I wanted to make sure of what I was seeing and they didn’t notice it.

by ooba on Oct 7, 2009 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

maybe his foot fell to sleep since he sat out the 4th and put ice on it … it could of just fell asleep… noo tmz rumors lol

by eltacoman on Oct 8, 2009 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

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