Six lessons from the Wizards' preseason
Real quick, because the season starts tomorrow and there's so much season preview goodness to get to:
1. Mike Miller needs to be put in a position to succeed:
I can't even begin to imagine the type of wear and tear that an athlete gets from carrying some pretty awful teams through some pretty awful seasons, so Mike Miller certainly has every reason to be a passive, complimentary player. But when that means he stops shooting and instead is content to stand around on the wing, then it starts to get to the point where he's hurting the team. We've seen both extremes this preseason from Miller. We've seen times when he has fired away, and the rest of his all-around game comes as well. We've also seen times where he's been fearful to shoot, and the rest of his game suffers. For the Wizards to get the most out of Miller this season, they need to run some plays with him that are designed to end with him shooting the damn ball. They need to put him in a position to make plays, because Miller sure as hell won't seek them out as much as he should.
2. Gilbert Arenas is getting his rhythm back, but his health is fine
Well, except for his immune system, which didn't do enough to stave off the flu. However, his knee has held up quite well while playing more minutes than even Flip Saunders may have liked. He's also played a back-to-back set and didn't show any ill effects from the knee. What Arenas has lost, however, is some of his rhythm. He's dominated some quarters and disappeared in others. He's spent some quarters taking it hard to the basket and others flinging away from the perimeter. He's spent some quarters only passing and others only shooting. He hasn't yet put it all together, but the signs are there. Once he gets some games in him, I think he'll be on point.
3. The defense showed flashes, but isn't there yet
The overall numbers aren't too awful -- 44.6% shooting, 36.8% on threes, outrebounded by about four per game -- which is a major plus. The Wizards' defense did look very good against Philadelphia, in particular. But there are still too many lapses that cause mediocre defense. The rebounding thing was definitely a problem until late in the season, and you still see the same old habits from several of the key players on the team (Gilbert Arenas leaving his man, Caron Butler playing the passing lanes instead of preventing dribble penetration, Andray Blatche fouling). Overall, though, Flip Saunders' club did play fairly well on that end and may continue to do so as long as Fabricio Oberto and Blatche take most of Antawn Jamison's minutes.
4. Randy Foye needs to play more off the ball
Ironically, it's not the assists that are the problem -- Foye has 3.1 to just 1.6 turnovers -- it's the shooting. Foye's hitting under 40 percent of his shots this preseason, and has nailed just 8 of 24 threes. The problem, of course, is that, in running the point guard position, Foye's calling his own number a lot, which leads to a lot of contested shots. If Foye could just get some time letting others create the opportunities for him, he'd be much more efficient. The Wizards can survive 6-8 minutes of Mike James if it means giving Foye a chance to get more open looks.
5. Fabricio Oberto can still play
Kyle's got a really great feature story on Oberto, who really came on after the first couple games. I'm not sure how many minutes he can give during the course of the season, but despite putting up some awful individual numbers, Oberto definitely improves the productivity of his teammates when he's on the court. His fundamentals are key in Saunders' defensive system in particular, which focuses so much on denying dribble penetration, forcing teams to beat you from the outside and sealing off your man in proper box out position. If this Oberto is the Oberto we get all year, he easily makes up for the loss of Darius Songaila.
6. Nick Young missed his chance
It's no fault of his own, really. Young looked ready to make a case for major minutes, and his failure didn't come out of a lack of effort. But 35% shooting with basically no assists will bury you on a team with so many other shooting guard options. Again, I don't think Young did anything wrong. Sure, he couldn't shed his "gotta make my first few shots otherwise I get too down on myself to continue" mindset, but the real problem was that the guys in preseason were better than the guys in Summer League. Young had more guys trailing him properly on those screens, more guys who could properly contest his shot and more guys who could really attack him on defense. Frankly, it overwhelmed him. Assuming he is out of the rotation, it becomes time to wonder whether he needs to be moved to bring in another veteran piece, preferably up front.
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Young
Alternatively, the Wizards could try to package him in an attempt to get rid of an undesirable contract (Stevenson) and completely clear up the glut at the 2.
by dnk on Oct 27, 2009 2:03 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Unless the Wizards improve dramatically on defense and team defense in particular, they aren’t making it past the 2nd round.
Or they turn into a 06 Pheonix Suns type team and attempt to outscore opponents. Hasn’t shown much playoff success though
by VBG on Oct 27, 2009 6:21 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
unfortunately.. it has always stuck with me
what Hollinger said when we drafted Young… that he would basically be ‘this’
Coach Winters: Mississippi State's offensive set. 2nd & 2 on our own 24, what defensive set might we call?
Alvin Mack: Eagle Zipper Hero, unless the setback shifts into the I.
Coach Winters: Good..[clicks to next slide], third and seven?
Alvin Mack: Oakie Thunder Lion. {What's your assignment?}
Alvin Mack: Kill the quarterback. {{Coach Winters clicks to next slide}}
Alvin Mack: Hit the tight end so hard his girlfriend dies. {{Coach Winters clicks to next slide}}
Alvin Mack: Kill everybody.
by KDP on Oct 27, 2009 7:39 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not quite ready to pull the trigger on NickY yet... but getting to that point
I still want to see what happens in real time, and it could happen as soon as tonight if the Mavs start to pull away in Q3 and Flip decides to see if Nick has a hot hand off the bench. He matches up well offensively against Terry, for example.
These are the kind of situations that I think will be make or break for Nick… Clearly, he is not going to start or be the first or second guard off the bench at this point. But I believe he will get his chance to be a “Microwave” and I am keeping my fingers crossed that he ignites the team when that chance comes.
by khrabb on Oct 27, 2009 8:02 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
His offense is no better than Millers or Foye and Stevenson is a better 3 point shooter
Why do people try to shoehorn NY’s inconsistent offense into a team that does not need it?
by BayAreaBullet on Oct 27, 2009 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Are best squad
20 games in I see our old starting 5 on the hardwood once again of Arenas, D Steve, Caron, Tawn, & Wood. With Javaris, Foye, Miller, 7 days, and O boy Oberto being the second unit. Big Daddy Wookie & D Mac playing spot duty.
Mike James & Young will be traded by mid-season for a low post threat. I hate to see Young leave but he has too far to go to be an all around player and there are too many shooters on this team to be that much of a liability on D.
I put D Steve back as a starter for his D and to make our second unit stronger with M&M and Foye. The big 3 need to get there shots up so what is the point of having another scorer on the floor when he is just taking shots away from our best players.
Can’t wait for little Malcolm aka Javaris to get back… I believe he will flourish under Flip and will be much better than Foye at the point. We have all seen the difference when Foye is playing the 1 and when he is off the ball. It was the same in Min last year.
The key to this season is going to be Haywood and our D. If Wood stays healthy and does what he did his last full season and the guys start playing something that can be recognized as defense we have a shot of getting some respect around the league… at least for a day, cause there are a lot of haters out there. Sadly the worst ones are in our own backyard, just read the Post’s comments… far too many people who don’t like themselves and take it out on there team. But really though the Skins are painful to watch, I don’t know what I would do if New Orleans wasn’t my second city.
Take care you all, and have a Great Season. It’s Our Time Baby!!!
Peace,
WorldwideUnderGround.com
by Le Bullet on Oct 27, 2009 8:27 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like what Critt could bring
but I feel his injury doomed his chances at getting some burn this season barring injury.
by BayAreaBullet on Oct 27, 2009 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
NY going, going...
Wow, all the Nick Young haters out today. I’m no fan myself, but where’s all his supporters? Do they still think he will pan out?
by mogoman on Oct 27, 2009 10:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Continues to amaze me...
…how many pro players don’t know how to do some very basic things like properly use screens. There are effective counters to every strategy a defender might use when a player is using a screen.
by TheSecretWeapon on Oct 27, 2009 10:45 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Great Analysis
As far as Gilbert goes, I’m hoping that he’s just being cautious in the preseason and that he’ll let everything loose at tip-off tonight.
The defense will probably take some time, since there are so many players left-over from Eddie Jordan who have developed bad habits over the course of their careers. Bad habits die hard, as they say.
Fabricio Oberto could be another Ernie Grunfeld steal. The Spurs are such a good organization that they probably figured that he wasn’t worth the risk with his heart problems. In other words, they felt they could draw a replacement that is just as good without having to petition too much. It says something about the quality of an organization when even their cast-offs are good players. So far, Oberto looks more like he did two years ago than last year. Let’s hope his solid play continues, because we certainly need him.
"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier
by cuppettcj on Oct 27, 2009 12:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Foye
I’ve been pushing him to be the starting two guard since they acquired him. I know that won’t happen, but I think the preseason has reinforced what we already know — he’s simply more effective playing shooting guard.
I’m wondering if Flip will resort to using Stevenson to run the point for 8-10 minutes a game. They’ve played around with that in the past, and it seems like you could pair him in the backcourt with Foye or Miller and get away with it.
by mfish on Oct 27, 2009 1:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It's a long season
and he is our most pure PG. He’ll learn to settle down and contain his game. Between Flip and Sam I Am, he’ll be tearing it up 30-40 games in.
2 more hours til Showtime Baby!!!!!!
by Le Bullet on Oct 27, 2009 6:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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