There are more L's in development than W's: Bucks 97, Wizards 91
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Highest Plus/Minus: Nick Young (+4)
Lowest Plus/Minus: Caron Butler (-11)
Best Five Man Unit: Mike James, Nick Young, Caron Butler, Antawn Jamison, Darius Songaila (+11 to end the 2nd Quarter)
Worst Five Man Unit: Mike James, Nick Young, Antawn Jamison, Darius Songaila, Andray Blatche (-4 in the 4th Quarter)
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(AP Photo/Lawrence Jackson)
Game Thread Comment of the Game: "Looks like the referees are going to even up foul calls QUICKLY." by Rook6980
Tough loss last night, but like the last game, there's some good that can be extracted from last night's tough loss. But we need to talk about the bad stuff as well. Let's start off with the negatives and try to end on a good note.
The Bad
- In a seven second span in the third quarter, Blatche picked up an offensive foul, a personal foul, and a technical foul. It really didn't have much of an impact on the game (one turnover and one point for the other team, which sounds a lot like the average Kwame Brown box score) but still, that's a terrible sequence.
- Caron Butler continues to struggle as he adjusts to playing shooting guard in this starting lineup. Since McGuire was inserted into the lineup, Butler has only gone over 20 points twice and he's had 4 games where he hasn't cracked double-digits, including last night. Understandably, some are clamoring for Nick Young to start so Caron can go back to playing small forward. Here's what Matt Watson had to say about a lineup change:
It's time for change in our nation's capital, and I'm not talking about the White House. Nick Young continues to light things up from the bench, scoring a career-high 30 points in just 32 minutes last night against the Bucks. Better yet, he's been the model of efficiency: he shot 12-for-19 from the field Monday and is shooting 59.5% from the field for the month of January.
How long will it take until Young moves into the starting lineup? Caron Butler has floundered while playing out of position at the two -- he scored just six points in 38 minutes against the Bucks, the fifth time in a month that he's played at least 30 minutes while failing to crack double-digits. Move Young into the lineup, Butler back to the three and Dominic McGuire to the bench and -- who knows? -- maybe the Wizards might actually win a game.I see the logic in the move and it might be beneficial in the short term, but you also have to keep in mind that Nick Young isn't going to keep this kind of hot streak going forever. Once he regresses back to the mean, you have to ask yourself if it's still a good move. My gut says no, but if Caron keeps struggling it's an option worth considering.
The Ugly
Ed Tapscott has harked on it a lot recently, but it's true: Settling for jumpshots is a good way to get real cold real quick. Here's a breakdown of the Wizards possessions for the first seven minutes of the 4th Quarter:
- 6 shots taken from between 15 and 20 feet. The Wizards only made one of those shots.
- 1 shot taken within 15 feet. It was made.
- 1 missed three point attempt.
- 1 trip to the foul line.
- 2 turnovers on traveling calls.
- 1 turnover on an offensive foul.
The Wizards took the least efficient shot you can take (long two point shot) on nearly half of their of their possessions during that seven minute stretch. The only thing efficient about the offense during that stretch was how quickly they lost the lead.
The Good
- I think it's only a matter of time before Javaris Crittenton is inserted into the starting the lineup. In only 18 minutes, Crittenton racked up 4 points, 4 assists, and 5 rebounds without committing a turnover.
- The three point defense was solid for the most part last night, holding the Bucks to 5-14 from beyond the arc.
- Nick Young is hotter than Rod Blagojevich's governor seat. He set a career high with 30 points hitting 12 of his 19 shots, including 3 of 6 from beyond the arc. When you consider that his last two shots were desperation heaves in the closing seconds, his line looks all the more impressive. Like I said before, we can't expect Nick to keep this up forever, but we can admire it while it lasts. He had a nice little duel with Michael Redd for the last few minutes of the game, he just couldn't hit that one three pointer with just under a minute to go that would've made it a one point game. It was a very good look, he just couldn't get it to fall. Still, he held up his own against one of the better scorers in the league.
Comments
a few scattered thoughts -
1 – Butler needs to not play the 2 – obvious.
2 – BUT – I actually like having McGuire in the starting lineup – to me, he’s played well, and it makes sense to have the guy who makes our defense better be in at the beginning against other teams starters. not sure how to resolve this.
3 – Nick Young has done everything to earn a starting position BUT – i know he’s been really hot, however a good deal of those shots are not really coming from good offense – lots of dribbling and tough fade-aways, which he is really good at. just pointing that out before we all get too carried away.
4 – it hit me last night, watching mcgee look kind of lost. what kind of player is he going to be, best case scenario? i think he should watch endless film of marcus camby – he can be the uber-camby, and should strive for that.
"a crab dribble is when you travel" - caron butler
by little stevie colter on
Jan 13, 2009 1:13 PM EST
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Correct me if I'm wrong ...
but many of Caron’s bad minutes last night came with Nick at the 2 and him at the 3. They had at least 22 minutes of overlap (based just on minutes played) and if I remember correctly there was always (or almost always) a PG in the game. This means Caron is not just playin bad at the 2, but just playing badly.
I love Caron and I am worried about him. He must be hurt right? If not, I am not sure what is to explain how lost he looks out there. He looks a step slow and is not finishing at the rim. I have no solution, just concern.
by GodWuzAWiz on
Jan 13, 2009 9:24 PM EST
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It still requires an adjustment
Because he’s starting as a 2, he has different responsibilities and it’s throwing him off. Because he’s struggling early, he’s having a harder time getting in to the flow of the game later on. Not everyone on the Wizards who plays poorly is injured, it only seems that way.
by Jon L on
Jan 13, 2009 9:46 PM EST
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Haha
Fair enough, maybe he’s not injured. I shouldn’t jump to worst case scenarios. I hope you are right and it’s just being out of the flow. If so he’ll be fine going forward, cuz our starting backcourt will be J. Critt and NY by mid Feb.
My question is who is our backcourt next year? Assuming the best and Arenas is BACK (assuming the best). Is he back in there with Stevenson? Or do we move him to 2 and throw Critt in there, which I would like to see, doubt it will happen though. I think Arenas and NY are both so shoot first it will be tough to start them both. They both need the ball in their hands. It may be stevenson.
by GodWuzAWiz on
Jan 13, 2009 10:03 PM EST
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I'm thinking Stevenson too
Even if he’s only out there so he won’t take away possessions from everyone else at the start of the game, kind of like how the Spurs start Michael Finley even though he’s not their best SG. Of course, that’s contingent on him returning to form once he heals up from his back injury. If that doesn’t happen all bets are off.
I doubt we’ll see Critt in the lineup once Arenas comes back because I think the team envisions Critt as the backup PG of the future. They’ll use him a lot with Arenas as well because he has some size, so he could work alongside him like he did with Larry Hughes back in the day, but I just don’t see them using it 30 minutes a game. I also just can’t see an Arenas/Young starting lineup working at this time. It might work for short spurts to break a slump, but like small ball, it’s something that loses effectiveness the more it’s used. But if Young makes a big leap forward next year, that could change things as well. I guess what I’m trying to say is that I have absolutely no clue how it’s all going to work next year, I just hope we have logjam of talent.
(Also, I was going to post a response similar to Jon L’s about your last question, but I lost what I was writing. There’s a chance something else could be going on, but I really think it’s just starting at the 2 is throwing off his rhythm for the rest of the game.)
Bullets Forever: A blog dedicated to the Washington Wizards with analysis, commentary, and more YouTube videos than your eyes can handle.
by JakeTheSnake on
Jan 13, 2009 11:28 PM EST
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gil & Young
I think that back court could work…
Several things have to happen:
1. Gil has to come back 100%
2. Gil has to come back as a facilitator (not a volume scorer)…. 20 ppg, 8-9 apg type player
3. Nick has to continue to improve his efficiency and lower his usage rate.
4. Nick has to continue to improve on defense. (He has improved this year, but he still needs to get better)
There have been indications that at least 3 of the 4 could happen (who knows about #1?)… We saw when Gil came back last year that he was more of a passer, and less of a jacker.
Nick’s improvements from his rookie year are substantial; and if he continues improving, he’ll be a very nice starting SG. I especially like the fact that he’s lowered his usage rate, and that his turn overs are down. He’s becoming more efficient on offense; and you can see the effort on the defensive side as well.
At some point, Nick Young WILL take over the Shooting Guard spot; he’s just more talented than Stevenson.
Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......
by Rook6980 on
Jan 14, 2009 9:06 AM EST
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Speaking of Gil
Wouldn’t it be great to hear him confidently proclaim next season will be Takeover 3.0? In the midst of a 7-30 season, it would be a morale boost to hear our star say hey don’t forget that while we are bad this year don’t doubt for a second that this October when me and Haywood are back the Wizards are going back to the top.
by morethesamewiz on
Jan 14, 2009 9:37 AM EST
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