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Just play already

Before we get into the obvious subject of the post, I realize one could substitute the word "play" for "blog" and apply it to me.  I disappeared on Thursday because I was traveling to report on Brandeis' D-III NCAA Tournament run for our student newspaper, for which I edit the sports section (all my bylines are here).  Brandeis' run ended last Saturday in Plattsburgh, New York with a 65-55 loss to Amherst in the Elite 8, but it was still an unbelievable season, because the team lost their star player to a seemingly minor injury that got worse (sound familiar) and still managed to advance further in the tournament than any other Brandeis squad.    

I probably should have told you I was gone, but truthfully, this place is just as good, if not better, with Jake and Truth doing all the posting.  So I left it be, did my reporting, and now can devote the type of time to BF that you all deserve.  

Ok, to the issue at hand, and that is the wavering Gilbert Arenas.

He originally targeted March 3 for a return date, but in typical Wizards fashion, that return was delayed.  Last Saturday (that's March 15), Gilbert said he was getting an MRI, and announced he could have played in tomorrow's game against the Magic (that's March 19).  He then had the MRI Monday (that's March 17), but didn't go through a full practice, instead insisting he was told to "ramp it up" in practice and play more of what he deemed an "assists game."  Now, according to Mike Jones (who!), Gilbert won't play tomorrow because practice was cancelled.

Gilbert, who as you know plans to opt out at the end of this season, said he still wants to come back and play this season, but is wrestling with himself over whether its worth it.

"That's what I keep trying to run through in my mind," he said. "If we weren't in the playoffs, it wouldn't even be a discussion. But we have a chance of being pretty good in the playoffs, so it's tough."

Of course, with Gilbert out, what better time to speculate as to his destination this summer, as Sam Amico of Pro Basketball News did Monday.

A high-ranking Western Conference executive with knowledge of the situation has told Pro Basketball News that both the Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Clippers plan to "strongly pursue" Washington Wizards guard Gilbert Arenas this summer.

Well jeez, why not throw in a few more qualifiers?  This quote by fellow SB Nation comrade Steve from Clips Nation definitely applies.

So whom could it be?  He has intimate knowledge of both the Lakers AND the Clippers off-season plans!  If it were a Clippers' executive, why would he know what the Lakers were planning?  If he works for the Lakers, how would he know about the Clippers?  Furthermore, if he worked for either one of them, would it really be in his interest to leak their plans?  So maybe he works for a third team.  But if that were the case, why would he know about either of them?

Then, of course, there's the killer statement of the Amico article that is probably getting everyone all concerned.  

While the Wizards would be able to sign him to a longer deal than any other team (seven years compared to five),  the source told PBN they may be hesitant to offer him the maximum contract--mostly because they've managed to stay in the playoff race without him.

"They value (Caron) Butler and Antawn Jamison at least as much, probably more at this point," the source said. "They want to build the team around them."

The source added, "That doesn't mean the Wizards will let Arenas walk for nothing. But if the Lakers and Clippers push for him as much as expected, it's likely to result in a sign-and-trade."

Wait, so he has an intimate knowledge of the Wizards too?  And since when is simply "staying in" the playoff race a reason to ditch Gilbert?  I don't think I need to say anymore, because Ivan covered it already, but this just strikes me as the first of several strange Arenas rumors to come.

But let's get back on point.  Separating all the rhetoric, Arenas' story seems pretty simple.  He just needs to go through a full practice, like Caron Butler did, and then he can play.  That right, Eddie?

"There is no timetable for Gilbert. He's showing improvement, we're going to pick up his workouts a little bit more. A little bit more intense and then we're going to take a reading of his reaction after each workout and see how that goes but, we like the fact that he's improving remarkably well."

So now, I guess we're back at square one, except with Gilbert, square one could lead to several different square twos, depending on what is going through his head at the time.  One minute, he'll assure Ivan Carter that he loves the game too much to not play, but a few hours later, when Mike Jones calls, Gilbert will open the question again.

"That's what I keep trying to run through in my mind," he said. "If we weren't in the playoffs, it wouldn't even be a discussion. But we have a chance of being pretty good in the playoffs, so it's tough."

So basically, I and most others probably don't know how to respond.  One approach would be to do what Gilbertology did and use a good news/bad news paradigm.  Another would be to take a stand, which I suppose I'll do right now.

If it were up to me, I'd have Gilbert go through one practice and then have him play, no matter the opponent.  He's scared about the injury, sure, but you can't play basketball scared, and somewhere in the back of his head, Gilbert knows this.  The only way to conquer that feat is to play.  Plus, what's the long-term risk, really?  Worse-case scenario, Gilbert re aggravates it, misses the rest of the season like he would have had he sat out, and is better with his rehab this summer.  Best-case scenario, he comes back, feels much better, returns to his Agent Zero ways, and leads the Wizards in an upset playoff victory.  The reality is probably somewhere in-between, but you have to think the best-case scenario stamps his financial future, and the worst-case scenario might do so anyway.  

This is the thing we always have to remember with Gilbert.  His transparency and little-kid sense of bravado have always been his two most endearing qualities, but it's times like these where it would be nice for him to just suck it up and make a decision.  We can't tell Gilbert not to be sensitive and worrying about his own career, because that same sense of insecurity has made him into the player he has become, but that sensitivity can be channeled more effectively so it only comes into play on the basketball court.

And what better way to eliminate his lingering mental fears than to give him a basketball, put him in a key game situation, and let Agent Zero take over.

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Welcome Back Prada
Jake has done a masterful job piloting BF but I originally landed on and stayed on this blog because of your valued insight. Nice to see you back and I agree with your assessment.

I just want him to come out and play well to shut up all these fans who wrongly think the Wizards are a better team without Gilbert.

What? They don't have TV in the D-League? Don't watch me, watch TV.

by Mac G on Mar 19, 2008 2:13 PM EDT   0 recs

Glad you posted on this
I was thinking about this a lot yesterday.  Dude needs to get back on the floor.  I understand the fear and hesitation, but the thing is, if he wants max money, he's got to prove he can still play.

If Gil doesn't play at all this season, I don't think the Wizards can reasonably offer him a max contract.  I'm thinking "Grant Hill" here.  He mentioned elsewhere that he's concerned that no team would invest in a player coming off three knee surgeries.  True, but what he's got to keep in mind is that we haven't seen Agent Zero (aka Gil when he's capable of dropping 30 a night and absolutely dominating a game) since last January or February.  Since his FIRST knee surgery, he's played in 8 games.  No team can lock a guy in to such a large percentage of their cap space for so many years when they haven't seen him really play since two surgeries ago.

If Gil has to shut it down for the year, he shouldn't opt out.  Simple as that.  He'd be asking for a major pay day based on what he did 1.5 years and 2 surgeries ago.  Ain't gonna happen.  And what has made Gil great is only a little bit his transparency and bravado.  The other thing has been his overwhelming work ethic.  That means not shutting it down for the year.  That isn't the Gil who rose from 2nd rounder to superstar.  That's a different dude.  

The guy needs a ball in his hands, Eddie Jordan needs to limit his minutes for a little while, and then he needs to be a force in the playoffs.  Do that, and we can be psyched about building the franchise around him.

And about those quotes... yeah, WTF?  It's going to be an annoying summer with those coming from all over the place.

by sierradave on Mar 19, 2008 5:38 PM EDT   0 recs

I pretty much agree-
I just don't see Grunfeld offering him max money if he doesn't play this season - he's too smart a GM. We have to see how he plays basketball coming off these two knee surgeries. I don't blame him for being reluctant but enough is enough. I wish he had never talked about opting out in the first place. Much as I love his frankness - his talking about this has caused so much drama. Its upsetting to me because I just feel with everyone back we are a very dangerous team come playoff time but that might not happen.

by ooba on Mar 19, 2008 9:04 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm not sure
My mood about Gilbert goes up and down depending on what he's said most recently.  Ivan's most recent post has me feeling up again.  I'm hesitant to comment on when he should come back for fear of jinxing it.  I'm not as enthusiastic as Prada about him coming back soon.  As Gil recently pointed out, he's been cleared by doctors about this knee already this year, only to reinjure it.

Gilbert says he's going to come back and be a shooter and a distributer.  If he can do those it well, it will be a huge asset, even without the attacking and slashing we're used to.  But I'm skeptical of how drastically Gilbert can change his playing style.

No matter what happens, the story of this season is going to be told through the lens of what Gilbert does when he comes back.  Make or break.

by Aldo on Mar 19, 2008 8:17 PM EDT   0 recs

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