We're not saying, we're just saying...

by Jake Whitacre on Mar 19, 2008 11:40 PM EDT in Recaps

With tonight's win putting the Wizards one game over .500 at 34-33, would it be rude to bring something like this to everyone's attention?

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I love Hollinger's statistical work, but when he tries to make the jump from historical statistical analysis to predictive opining about future events while contemporaneously incorporating non-numerical factors, he simply isn't very good. Or, at least, he is no better than anyone else with a bit of knowledge and an opinion.

"My swag [is] phenomenal."

by Icantfeelmyface on Mar 20, 2008 9:12 AM EDT reply actions

heh

I was thinkin' the same thing. It'd be nice to finish with, say, 10 more wins than he predicted.

"Now, obviously individual production does not unilaterally equal better team production, but there's a high level of causation."

by Vanilla Gorilla on Mar 20, 2008 9:14 AM EDT reply actions

Cut Him Some Slack

He was trying to predict how the Wizards would perform over an entire season. We can't even predict how they will perform each game!

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Mar 20, 2008 11:08 AM EDT reply actions

Yes, but...

He gets paid, and is presented as an 'expert' on all basketball matters. Not really his fault, the espn.com editors should know better, but we are talking about espn after all.

I can't knock the guy though, he values my opinion :)

07-08 Reg Season Stndgs(predicted 8/6/07) 1 Chi 52-30 2 Was 51-31 3 Cle 50-32 4 Bos/Det 48-34 6 Tor/Mia 47-35 8 NJ 42-40 9 NY/Orl 41-41

by kdp922 on Mar 20, 2008 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions