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Big words and scattered thoughts separated by line breaks: Pacers 118, Wizards 98

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Highest Plus/Minus: Oleksiy Pecherov and Javaris Crittenton (0)
Lowest Plus/Minus: Antawn Jamison (-19)
Best Five Man Unit: Juan Dixon, DeShawn Stevenson, Caron Butler, Antawn Jamison, Andray Blatche (+13 to start the 3rd Quarter)
Worst Five Man Unit: Juan Dixon, DeShawn Stevenson, Caron Butler, Antawn Jamison, Andray Blatche (-7 to start the game)

 

I've got a lot of thoughts running through my head on how I could recap last night's game, but none of them really seem substantial enough to constitute a whole post, so rather make one longer than it should be, I'm just going to combine them all of them together.


Remember those keys to winning that I talked about before the game?  Here's a refresher:

The Pacers are 23rd in offensive efficiency, so the worst thing that the Wizards can do is give them second chances off of missed shots.  If they can do that, and keep T.J. Ford from getting wherever he wants to on the court, I think that the Wizards will have a shot at winning tonight.

So how did they do in those two areas of the game?

Rebounds

IND - 55 (23 offensive)
WAS - 41 (11 offensive)

The point guard battle

Ford & Jarrett Jack - 32 points. (11-26 shooting), 8 assists, 7 rebounds, 4 steals and 3 turnovers.
Juan Dixon & Mike James - 6 points (2-13 shooting), 9 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 steals and 5 turnovers.

I think that's an overall grade of...

Roflbottrjgzz4_medium


Something that each player can work on for the next game

Andray Blatche: Reeeebounding.  If Tap is going to reward you with a starting spot, show your appreciation by grabbing more than 2 rebounds.  On the bright side, he seems to be aware of his faults.

Caron Butler: Keep your head up.  Times are tough, don't let them wear on you.

Javaris Crittenton: I know it's a byproduct of learning a new system, but 5 turnovers in 8 minutes as a Wizard isn't exactly the best way to start off on a new team.

Juan Dixon: If the only foul you can give is a tap on the back that will in no way, shape, or form affect the way the shooter's ability to make the layup that the shooter is attempting, don't commit the foul.

Mike James: That running jumper just isn't working.

Antawn Jamison: There's no way for me to prove this statistically, but anyone that's watched a Wizards game this season can tell you that Antawn's three poiint shot is much more effective when he just catches and shoots.  Whenever he tries to add in that jab step that no one ever bites on, the shot percentage goes way down.  Antawn does a lot of things well, but the jab step is not one of those things.

JaVale McGee: Do exactly what you did last night every game.  A little more rebounding probably wouldn't hurt either.

Dominic McGuire: I know it's a not a big deal since he doesn't get to the foul line much, but I'd like to see him hit more than 1/4th of his free throws.

Oleksiy Pecherov: You get in for the final 2:26 of the game and you only put up one garbage time shot?  Get your buckets, son.

Darius Songaila: I would say rebounding, but really, I mean it's not like he's not trying to rebound he's just not physically equipped to be a stellar rebounder.  I can't fault him for that.  Instead, I'll open up the floor to your opinions on this matter.

DeShawn Stevenson: Yeah.  (Though in fairness, is rebounding was good last night.)

Nick Young: Apparently there's more to the "Palace of Good Play" than we originally thought.  Here's the full quote from Tapscott:

I don’t have a doghouse. I have a Palace of Good Play and I am waiting for someone to emerge with some good play from that two guard spot.  When I see that, and when I see someone who is willing to play off our forwards, then I’ll play them.

I could translate that for you, but I think you all know what that means.

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About Songaila
Darius Songaila: I would say rebounding, but really, I mean it’s not like he’s not trying to rebound he’s just not physically equipped to be a stellar rebounder. I can’t fault him for that. Instead, I’ll open up the floor to your opinions on this matter.

Any pictures of him in a wife-beater? Seriously, though, I think he does a good job on defense, but just isn’t tall enough to secure the board after the miss. The Wizards need to send all of their bigs into the lane after Songaila’s man shoots so that the rebound can be secured, even if it means lessening the chance of a fast-break bucket on the other end.

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Dec 16, 2008 1:32 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Songaila's rebound rating, etc.

I wish there was a stat to show how many times D-Song blocks his man out, partially not allowing him to get it and partially allowing his teammates to secure the ball.

Sure his rebounding numbers are very paltry, but I refuse to believe his just a bad rebounder (ok, not good)…..but still, kid is too fundamental to get beaten by lack of effort.

Representing DC with Wizards & Stuff - Truth About It Dot Net

by Truth About It on Dec 17, 2008 9:52 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Dixon

Has been guilty of that for YEARS. Honestly, aside from his 35 (?) point playoff game, my dominating image of him as a pro is tapping a player as they score on a fast break layup and getting called for a foul.

by MR on Dec 16, 2008 2:37 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Hey, That Stuff Used to Work Back in the ACC

Guys would be like, “Hey! Who touched me?!”, and then miss the layup.

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Dec 16, 2008 2:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No no no

I have NO complaints about his ACC career. I said “pro”.

by MR on Dec 16, 2008 3:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Bad Joke

Nevermind.

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Dec 16, 2008 8:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

How talented are the Wizards? Do the numbers tell the story?

Avg. draft position 26.3
Minus Arenas and Haywood, avg is- 26.46
Minus Arenas Haywood Butler and Jamison, avg is 30
Minus A, H, B, J, and James (the "61st" pick)- avg is 27

Crittenton-19th
Songaila 50th
Dixon -17th
Thomas 12th
James
Undrafted (Well say 61st)
Butler 10th
Jamison -4th
Haywood -20th
Arenas -31st
Stevenson -23rd
Young-16th
Blatche-49th
Pech-18th
McGuire
47th
McGee-18th

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 2:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Very Interesting Stats

Letting Daniels (I believe he was fifth overall in his draft year) go and replacing him with James really skews these numbers a bit… but the overall impact certainly is one of mediocrity. But how does this compare with other teams, particularly those dwelling near the bottom? OKC has a roster average of fairly high picks, I would imagine.

Thanks for this, though!

by khrabb on Dec 16, 2008 3:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure how draft position is relevant

Like, I sort of see how it is, but bottom line is the production of the players once they enter the league.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 16, 2008 3:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

excellent

i view candy man as kwame’s only rival in worst 1st overall picks ever.
i hold that kwame showed more single game brilliance than olowokandi, but olowakandi was more ‘consistent’ for at least 1 season.

by little stevie colter on Dec 16, 2008 4:04 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Production is a Combination of Many Variables

If I had to speculate, I’d say that production = physical tools + talent + effort + training/coaching. Draft scouts are pretty good at assessing physical tools and talent, but not necessarily good at assessing the effort that player will put in to become great. And once that player is drafted, it is up to the team to properly train/coach him.

With that considered, average draft position may be a good indicator of a team’s talent + physical tools. A team like the Thunder may have many players with a lot of talent and physical tools, but they still stink because of poor effort and/or poor training/coaching. On the other hand, teams like the Wizards may have guys without as much talent and physical tools, but still used to be successful due to good training/coaching and a lot of effort devoted to learning the game and performing. In other words, they were “overachievers”. The problem with that is, when things start to go wrong with those two areas, this team may not have a lot of talent and physical tools to fall back on. Lack of confidence in your abilities could affect the effort area, which may explain why the Wizards have dropped off the map performance-wise. But this is probably just an insane theory.

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Dec 16, 2008 3:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The point guard situation

I understand it hasn’t been that long since the trade happened and all, but I’m really not OK with how things have gone at the 1 spot. If we give Javaris the Memphis treatment, this trade is going to be a complete bust. Any indication of how long it’ll be before we see a bump in minutes for him as he (hopefully) gets legitimately groomed for the future? This whole Dixon/James duo isn’t working for me.

by MikeMid on Dec 16, 2008 3:34 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I was thinking about that too

The team just went from okay on offense, bad on defense to awful on both ends. It isn’t as much the loss of AD as it is losing him and Dee Brown. Result is that we don’t have anyone healthy on the roster who knows our offense and can play the point (Dixon’s a tweener at best, really more of a two guard who can play spot duties at the 1).

this trade was about Javaris, and he can’t make many more mistakes than James is. So let the guy sink or swim a bit.

Also, FOR CHRISSAKES TAPSCOTT, KILL + MODE CAN’T = CHEESE IF THE KID DOESN’T PLAY.

by sierradave on Dec 16, 2008 4:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is kind of why I hoped we'd cut Juan

As decent as he’s been for us all year.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 16, 2008 4:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Me too.

Thinking about it further, it makes a lot more sense to keep Dee and cut Juan, because Mike James is essentially a poor man’s Dixon with a $6 million contract.

The Washington Wizards: providing career scoring nights for unknown opposing bench players since 2004.

by mamemimo on Dec 16, 2008 4:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thanks

I’m still unsure what’s going on with your SG’s. I’ve read your blog and Rashad’s game notes all season but I don’t get why the team doesn’t rest DS and give Young a chance to prove himself.

Also, I can’t wait to see Mike James earn some big minutes. The last time he played on a team similar to Washington he averaged close to 20 points per game in Toronto. With Butler and Jamison he won’t chuck up as many shots, but I still feel he’ll help you guys win some more games.

by McNeill on Dec 16, 2008 3:40 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Oh, he's been chucking

He’s partying like it’s 2006.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 16, 2008 3:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

James won't chuck up as many?

He’s only been here 3 games, but he’s putting up shots at a rate of 1 per every 2.3 minutes played.

He’s chuckin’ em up there faster than EVERYONE else on the team except Butler (1 for every 2.25 minutes)….

The problem is, he’s only hitting 26% of his shots – and he breaks the offensive flow.

Mike James needs fewer minutes, fewer shots….. His butt should be nailed to the end of the bench, inactive every game… I’d rather see Pecherov active than James.

Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......

by Rook6980 on Dec 16, 2008 6:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

JaVale's bad habits

JaVale has developed a bad habit of going after every shot on the court as if he’s going to block it. Last night there were at least four occasions when JaVale launched himself out towards a shooter instead of getting himself in rebounding position. Yeah, the blocks bring great energy, but when he leaves the post there’s nobody around to keep the opponent off of the glass.

by Unsilent on Dec 16, 2008 4:58 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

not new

Ive been seeing that since summer league. its really bad.

by joshp on Dec 16, 2008 6:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Definitely

That’s my one fear with JaVale but I’m thinking/hoping that it’s something that can be cured with more experience but his success with blocking shots so far probably isn’t giving him a lot of motivation to box out. Hopefully it’s something the new coach will address.

Bullets Forever: A blog dedicated to the Washington Wizards with analysis, commentary, and more YouTube videos than your eyes can handle.

by JakeTheSnake on Dec 16, 2008 6:09 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

But the numbers don't support the assertion

Or at least they don’t make it seem so cut and dry.

There’s basically no difference in the percentage of available rebounds the team grabs when McGee is on the court as when he’s off it. Plus, JaVale is third on the team in rebound rate, behind Antawn and Dominic McGuire (this doesn’t count Pech who has played too few minutes). Basically, he has the best rebound rate of any center on this roster right now.

Not saying you’re wrong, and not suggesting McGee doesn’t need better discipline, but it’s not the problem you think it is.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 16, 2008 6:14 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Draft picks

Yeah there are exceptions to the rule, but they are exceptions, and the champs follow the rules:
NBA Champions since 2000
Pistons- #3,#4,#7 picks
Spurs- #1, #11 picks
Heat- #2, #2, #5, #6, #1, #7
Lakers- #8,#4,#13,#1
Celtics- #10,#5,#5

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 5:44 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Not to give you way more work

But there’s huge selection bias in your sample right now. What’s the average pick number of, say, the starting 5 of each team in the NBA? How does that correlate with their win %? That would tell us a lot more than the numbers above.

Bottom line: building a championship squad is hard and there’s no one ideal path. You’ve got to either score a #1 pick in the right year (read: Kwame sucks, but it’s not like Lebron was waiting to be picked that year) and surround him with talent or you’ve got to pull off a total steal of a trade. The salary cap means teams can’t just load up all the way on talent (and good players will go to the dynasties for less so they can play for a championship, the same isn’t true for the Clippers, the Wizards, the Hawks, the Bobcats, the Nets, etc). So you’ve either got to get real lucky on young guys in the draft (who are auto-cheap) or land one or more total-steal trades.

by sierradave on Dec 16, 2008 6:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Draft picks

I wanted to believe in the Wizards system of projects and being the team that turned the rules on their head, but it hasn’t panned out, we’ve won one playoff series. We need some recognized talents, we are playing the lottery gambling on these projects and its going to have us in the lottery this year.

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 5:46 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Grunfeld's Knicks Draft Picks

I post in spurts, apologies.
While we are all waiting for Grunfeld’s picks of McGee, McGuire, Young, Blatche, and Pecherov to pan out and deliver us key contributors on the cheap that Abe Pollin is unwilling to pay for in free agency, its worth looking at how the draft picks EG made in the 1996,1997,and 1998 draft and President and GM of the Knick panned out.
1998
    Round 2 Pick 9 DeMarco Johnson Charlotte

    Round 2 Pick 15 Sean Marks California
1997
    Round 1 Pick 25 John Thomas Minnesota
1996
    Round 1 Pick 18 John Wallace Syracuse
    Round 1 Pick 19 Walter McCarty Kentucky
    Round 1 Pick 21 Dontae Jones Mississippi State

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 6:07 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Why is all this relevant?

Seriously? What do you propose? Do you propose sucking more so we can get more lottery picks? This is such a pointless diversion that I don’t even know where to start.

Ernie’s picks already do give us key contributors on the cheap. The key is turning them into more than that.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 16, 2008 6:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And I agree....

None of these draft stats are relevant.

Representing DC with Wizards & Stuff - Truth About It Dot Net

by Truth About It on Dec 17, 2008 9:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Last Post I promise

Heres how they panned out…
Demarco Johnson- 1.2 ppg, 1.4 rpg, 0 apg in 5 -games-
Sean Marks-3.1 ppg, 2.0 rpg, 0.2 apg in 8 seasons
John Wallace- 7.6 ppg, 2.8 rpg in 7 seasons
John Thomas- 2.7ppg, 2.1rpg, 0.3 apg in 7 seasons
Dontae Jones- 2.9 ppg, 0.6 rpg, 0.3 apg in 15 -games-
Walter McCarty- 5.2 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.1apg in 11 seasons

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 6:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Ep Tapscott's Pick

Frederick Weis.

Sure, everyone knows this, but just wanted to mention for the hell of it.

Representing DC with Wizards & Stuff - Truth About It Dot Net

by Truth About It on Dec 17, 2008 9:55 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The point is that we shouldn’t hope to become a contender through turning our projects, late firstrounders and secondrounders into the viable supporting cast that we need alongside our core of Gil, Butler, AJ, and BTH. Contenders find some of their talent through projects, but they also have to buy some of their talent in free agency. We have been unwilling to pay up.

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 6:18 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

This is a longwinded reply, I think I did the personal reply so I didnt clog up the forum. Its long because regrettably I spend this much time thinking about the team. I appreciate the feedback, happy holidays man.

These are the players that championship teams had drafted themselves:

Th 2005 Heat drafted Wade, Wayne Simien, and Dorell Wright

The Lakers dynasty drafted Kobe, Devean George, AC Green, Derek Fisher, John Celestand, Travis Knight, Stanislav Medvedenko, Mark Madsen

The 2008 Celtics they drafted Tony Allen, Glen Davis, Kendrick Perkins, Paul Pierce, Gabe Pruitt

The 2004 Pistons drafted Lindsey Hunter, Tayshaun Prince, Mehmet Okur, and Darko Milicic

The Spurs dynastys the exception having drafted Beno Udrih, Tim Duncan, Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, Fabricio Oberto, the latter four being the core of their championship teams. They have brilliant overseas scouting. Ernie Grunfeld’s picks seem to indicate he doesn’t have that knack for draft picks.

The draft yields franchise players ie Duncan, Wade, Pierce, and Kobe. However, with the exception of San Antonio, these teams have traded for and signed in free agency there core players. The Lakers acquired Shaq, Ron Harper, Rick Fox, Horry, Horace Grant, and Tyronn Lue. The Pistons acquired Sheed, Big Ben, Rip, and Chauncey. The Celtics acquired Garnett, Ray Allen, Posey, Eddie House, PJ Brown, and Cassell. The Heat acquired Shaq, Antoine Walker, Jason Williams, Gary Payton, Alonzo Mourning, and James Posey.

The Wizards are rushing to turn Blatche, McGee, and Young into their new core instead of making ballsy trades or paying up in free agency. Youngs not ready to start and in the meantime we shouldnt have relied on Deshawn Stevenson as our starting PG. Jamisons aging and needs somebody to take some of his minutes, but we shouldnt have relied on lazyboy Blatche or scrawny Pech to fill the slack. We need a second center (Thomas is brokendown and Haywoods a 25 mpg guy) but we shouldnt have spent the past three years waiting to strike gold in the draft with Ramos, Pech, and now McGee. Have you not spent the last several years shaking your head as tremendous talents are traded and signed in the league and the lone changes in the Wizards organization since we got AD and Caron in summer 2005 have been signing Deshawn Stevenson and Darius Songaila and signing five of our draft picks. The Stevenson and Songaila signings were not serious moves, these guys were not in demand in the league. Now that we are tanking we will probably get a good draft pick ie Steph Curry or Ricky Rubio, but we shouldnt have had to tank in order to acquire the talent we desperately need. We should have gotten it through trade and free agency.

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 8:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is really silly

For a few reasons

1. Our top three players were acquired by trade/free agency!!!

2. The following players have played key roles as rotation players for the final four teams remaining in the 2008 playoffs despite being drafted outside the lottery.

-Leon Powe
-Glen Davis
-Rajon Rondo
-Kendrick Perkins
-Tony Allen
-Sasha Vujacic
-Jordan Farmar
-Luke Walton
-Ronny Turiaf
-Jason Maxiell
-Rodney Stuckey
-Amir Johnson
-Tayshaun Prince
-Tony Parker
-Manu Ginobili
-Fabricio Oberto

How about the final four teams in 2007?
-Tony Parker
-Manu Ginobili
-Fabricio Oberto
-Anderson Varejao
-Daniel Gibson
-Zydrunas Ilgauskas
-Tayshaun Prince
-Carlos Delfino
-Jason Maxiell
-Paul Millsap
-Andrei Kirilenko
-Ronnie Brewer (cheating a bit, he was 14th)
-CJ Miles

If anything, it behooves you to search for rotation players in the latter stages and try to rely on them. Look how many top contending teams did in the last few rounds.

3. As the 2007/08 season closed, here is the breakdown of our roster in terms of drafted players and free agent/trades

Drafted guys
-Brendan Haywood
-Etan Thomas
-Andray Blatche
-Nick Young
-Dominic McGuire
-Oleksiy Pecherov

Trades
-Caron Butler
-Antawn Jamison

Free Agents
-Gilbert Arenas
-Darius Songaila
-Antonio Daniels
-DeShawn Stevenson
-Roger Mason

Of the 13 players on our roster, seven were guys we needed to proactively go out and get. Of our top eight players, one was one that we got simply by drafting. And that one (Brendan Haywood) was technically not drafted by us, as he was acquired on a draft-day trade.

We basically got all our talent on our team through trades and free agency.

4. The real issue you’re trying to argue is, why didn’t we draft our core and fill in with free agents later. Fair enough, I suppose. This organization hasn’t drafted well going all the way back to the 90s. Our franchise player, our Duncan/Kobe/Wade if you will, was supposed to be Kwame Brown. That didn’t work. We once had a top-five pick during this span, the easiest way to acquire that franchise guy. We traded that pick for Antawn Jamison.

The consequence of building through free agency with a team that can never go over the tax is that you have to rely on late-round picks to be cheap labor. That’s how Detroit built their teams. Instead of drafting guys, they signed/traded for them. When they needed to fill in cheap labor, they eventually drafted it. They made contributors out of Rodney Stuckey, Jason Maxiell and the like. That’s what we’re trying to do too. That’s what we have to do when so many of our picks have failed us in the years before we built this team.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 16, 2008 8:47 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm saying we shouldn't depend on the draft

The problem has been that EG’s and EJ’s philosophy has been to keep a tight budget, have little turnover in the team, and improve through draft picks. Its a bad strategy. Once you’re in the playoffs as we have been since 2004, you can’t draft your supporting cast. Unless you’re really wise and a little lucky, you can’t get talent through the non-lottery first rounders and the secondrounders that playoff teams get. You mostly have to spend and trade your way to acquire the talented finishing pieces of a solid rotation. We have not spent. We have been frugal in our signings with Mason, Storey, Billy Thomas, Mike Wilks, Ruffin, Booth, Songaila, Daniels, Donell Taylor, Dee Brown, Juan Dixon, and Deshawn Stevenson. Except for Daniels and Songaila who were 6 mill a yr, we didnt spend anything on the rest of those guys and out of the whole group only Daniels (for a year or two) and Mason (his last yr with us) provided any value to us.

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 9:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Again
The problem has been that EG’s and EJ’s philosophy has been to keep a tight budget, have little turnover in the team, and improve through draft picks.

Our top three players are free agents or guys acquired by trade. Seven of our top eight from last year were acquired through turnovers with the team. I’m not sure where you get this idea.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 16, 2008 9:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I Can See Your Point

The Wizards have not been as bold in free agency as the other contending teams have been. Boston completely remade their roster in order to make their championship run. The Lakers went out and filled their biggest need by making a deal for Gasol, despite being a decent playoff team without him. Orlando spent on Rashard Lewis and they went from a mediocre 40-win team and first round losers to a 50-win team that advanced to the second round. This year they’ve added Mickael Pietrus and appear to be even better. Cleveland keeps remaking the roster around LeBron, at one point trading away half of their starters, and they are now right behind Boston as the second-best team in the East. Denver has made a series of bold trades over the past couple of years and now they lead their division.

Yet the Wizards have been very conservative (relatively) these past four seasons. The Caron Butler trade was the boldest thing Grunfeld did, but only when his hand was forced after Larry Hughes bolted for Cleveland. It doesn’t always work out (see Elton Brand in Philadelphia as well as many others), but the good teams always make moves once they recognize a plateau. Granted, our plateau is mostly caused by injuries, but life isn’t fair and time is running out. I think it may be time for Ernie to roll the dice on something big. This slow march towards mediocrity is no longer appealing.

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Dec 16, 2008 9:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Lakers did not draft Kobe

He came from Chalotte for Vlade, flopping genius extraordinaire.

by NeverNervousPervis on Dec 18, 2008 7:24 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

I’d like to know that too….

Seems like the way to a Championship is to Draft young talent… then Trade some of it for a Kevin Garnett and a Ray Allen….. or trade some young talent for a dominant Center like Shaq….. or trade a terrible player with a big expiring contract for a 7ft All-Star Center/PF named Gasol……. or draft a guy named Tim Duncan…………

Bullets Forever - where "Dagger ! " happens......

by Rook6980 on Dec 16, 2008 6:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, we did great in acquiring Haywood, Arenas, Butler, and Jamison. We had that core group put together in 2005. I’m talking about our efforts in the three years since then to surround those four players with a solid team. Outside of those four players, three of our top eight have been acquired.

Stevenson, Mason- Pennypinching acquisitions.
Mason was an undrafted guy who hadn’t played NBA ball in three years before we signed him in 2006-2007. As soon as he became successful and got offers, we let him go to the Spurs for 3 mill a yr. Thats how serious we were.
We got Stevenson for less than a million a year. When he was an FA last yr, he got no serious offers because other teams don’t value him.
Antonio Daniels was the ONLY “in demand” player we have signed since 2005 who has been a top eight player for us. Signing him was legit, coming off a 6th man of the year season and we shelled out 30 mill over 5 yrs for him. Despite impressive fourth quarter performances and his great playoff performances in 06 and 07, overall his assists, pts, and rebounding have fallen since he’s been with the Wiz despite steady minutes through the seasons. He turned out to be a bad acquisition.

So of the non-core players we have acquired, one was legit and turned out to be a bad acquisition. Stevenson and Mason were not legit, and the second Mason surprised us and excelled we let him walk for 3 mill a yr.

Other than Daniels, what serious trades/acquisitions have the Wizards made since 2005 to surround the core with a good supporting cast? That is my point. There are none. We have spent little and tried to draft our supporting cast with the non-lottery draft picks a perennial playoff team gets. It’s gotten us nowhere.

by morethesamewiz on Dec 16, 2008 10:09 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Arenas and Jamison

Were “in demand” players that we signed since 2005. We REsigned them last year. And that took most of the team’s money. We aren’t the Knicks, Abe isn’t about to let us be the Knicks, and the Knicks suck anyway.

Moving from perennial playoff team to championship contender requires a crazy-lopsided trade (read: KG, Gasol) or a young prospect who blows up early. That’s the only way to get tons of extra talent under the collective bargaining agreement. Saying “how come we didn’t get Gasol” isn’t all that useful. That isn’t about daring or cunning skil from the GM, it’s about getting freakishly lucky.

by sierradave on Dec 16, 2008 11:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The other thing that isn't being mentioned

Which is just as important is how exactly Boston and LA made those trades. Be a cynic if you want and say it happened because of McHale/West, but let’s think about this again. Both teams spent years doing very little, drafting guys late in drafts over and over again, stockpiling assets before waiting for the right guy to have an expiring contract to make their move.

Think about it. Boston went from being a 44-win playoff team in 2003 to dropping completely out of it after one last gasp division title in 2005. They did nothing to really improve that 2004 team, but were never good enough to draft at the top of the lottery. They drafted guys like Delonte West, Tony Allen, Al Jefferson, Kendrick Perkins, Gerald Green, Ryan Gomes, Sebastian Telfair (okay, that was a trade), Rajon Rondo, etc. Everyone’s like “wtf, they have Paul Pierce and they’re wasting his career by surrounding him with draft picks and doing nothing else.” Well, if you all can remember, those guys were the ones that eventually netted Boston Garnett and Ray Allen. Sure, they needed expiring contracts (Theo Ratliff, even Wally) to get them done, but when those contracts were there, they used them. Boston’s supposed complacency with just drafting mid-level talent eventually got them a superstar.

Ditto for LA. Remember Kobe bitching and whining about how they were doing nothing? Since 2003, the Lakers have drafted Luke Walton, Ronny Turiaf, Sasha Vujacic, Jordan Farmar, Andrew Bynum, Javaris Crittenton and Marc Gasol. Well, whaddaya know, once Kwame Brown’s expiring deal comes around, they turned Crittenton and Gasol into Pau Gasol and went far. They kept drafting mid-level talent year after year and then used it to turn it into a stud.

This strategy doesn’t come without risks, of course. You could end up like Chicago, assembling all this young talent and doing nothing with it. But we’re different because we at least have our core of Arenas, Butler and (maybe) Jamison.

Let’s think about what we’ve done. In the past four years, we’ve drafted Andray Blatche, Nick Young, Oleksiy Pecherov, Dominic McGuire and JaVale McGee. We dumped a guy in Daniels that had no need long-term and turned him into Crittenton, another asset. We now have six young guys that can be used as sweetners in a trade. Now, we just have to wait for the right moment. And, whaddaya know, we have 20 million dollars in expiring money (James, Etan, Haywood) in 2010, only the most coveted free agent sweepstakes in league history. Don’t you think we can get someone good from a team looking to move toward 2010 by waiting a little? Any combination of those three expirings (really two because Brendan needs to stick around) and our six young guys (perhaps seven if we hold our pick next year) can net us anyone from Shane Battier to Emeka Okafor to Amare Stoudamire to Dirk Nowitzki, potentially. And then, we’re in business.

If Ernie doesn’t use 2010 to get us someone good, I’ll be right there annoyed with you. But you can’t just rush into rash moves. We’re setting ourselves up, and Ernie, traditionally a man of action, could easily get something done.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 17, 2008 1:28 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

OK, Now I See Your Point

I suppose we are simply fans of a team that are in the “bitching phase”, just like Boston fans were before last offseason, Lakers fans were before the Gasol trade, Orlando fans before the Lewis trade, and Chicago fans who are still in it. We can see that the team needs at least one more impact player before we can compete with the best in the league, and we are simply growing a little impatient with the process. Hopefully Ernie will make some more moves at some point either this season or next and we’ll all be satisfied.

I’m still holding out hope that Mike James can be dealt again before the trade deadline. He’ll become re-eligible to be traded on February 10th, 9 days before the trade deadline.

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Dec 17, 2008 8:19 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

just to clarify -

boston fans never leave the “bitching phase”

by little stevie colter on Dec 17, 2008 11:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wow

If that’s true, then they’re crazy. I would love to be able to “bitch” after an NBA championship.

"It's OK for the Bullets to trade baskets, as long as they can score on their end." -- Words of wisdom from Phil Chenier

by cuppettcj on Dec 17, 2008 1:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I mean, I totally understand where everyone is coming from

Morethesamewiz just went about proving his point in an odd way.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Dec 17, 2008 12:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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