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Around SBN: Knicks Beat Lakers With Familiar Strategy

How would you like to face this lineup?

Steve Nash, Allen Iverson, Andre Iguodala, Josh Smith, and Shaquile O'Neal.  

That's a solid B-list All-Star team, right?  Imagine if they all got together on one team.  No one would look forward to going up against that squad, regardless of who lines the bench on that team.

Now imagine going up against that lineup every game.  You're probably not going to win a lot of games facing a roster that loaded night in and night out.  Yet, according to 82games' opponents production by position, that's essentially what the Wizards are going up against every night.  When you take the opposing PER of each position and compare it with the player at each position with the closest PER, you get the lineup that I just mentioned.

PG: 17.2 - Steve Nash (17.0)

SG: 18.3 - Allen Iverson (18.4)

SF: 14.3 - Andre Iguodala (14.4)

PF: 16.6 - Josh Smith (16.6)

C: 22.6 - Shaquile O'Neal (22.7)

For comparison's sake, here's the lineup that the Lakers (currently have the top defense in the NBA) would have to face if they faced the player with the closest PER to their opponents average production.

PG: 19.4 - Jose Calderon (20.1)

SG: 8.8 - Raja Bell (8.7)

SF: 12.9 - Luol Deng (12.9)

PF: 11.7 - Ryan Gomes (11.4)

C: 13.1 - Tyson Chandler (13.0)

With all due respect to the five players just listed, that squad would have no chance against the team that the Wizards have to go up against every night.  When you have to match All-Star level numbers at nearly every position because of your inability to defend, you need to play nearly a perfect game every night to have a chance to win.  Whereas when you face that second lineup, you can survive an off shooting night because you're defense lets you play a weaker lineup on a nightly basis.  

If you're looking for a reason why the Lakers are 10-1 and the Wizards are 1-10, it all comes down to the lineups they play every night.

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Yea, but...

Isn’t the poor play of the Wizards making what could be otherwise normal players (with average PERs) into the All-Star lineup you have listed?

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by Kyle Weidie on Nov 23, 2008 10:04 PM EST reply actions  

That's what I was trying to convey

We’re turning average players into All-Stars which makes it really, really hard to keep up when you have a lineup with only two All-Stars and a bunch of role players.

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by Jake Whitacre on Nov 23, 2008 10:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Haha...

Isn’t this what we do best?

Hence 6 threes by Q-Rich.

by se7en on Nov 23, 2008 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I think that was the point

But yeah, it wasn’t explicitly stated.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Nov 23, 2008 10:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Nice post

Things that stood out to me from those stats:

1. Our entire defense is atricious
2. We get absolutely no production out of our PG position
3. We get abused down low
4. This really confuses me about our defense: did Brendan Haywood make THAT great of a difference last year? Were Randy Ayers’ defensive schemes just taken at shock value and are now completely ignored or watered down? What exactly makes us SO FREAKING BAD on defense?

Dear Diary, JACKPOT!!!!!!!!!!

by Evander holyfield on Nov 23, 2008 11:40 PM EST reply actions  

haywood

yes he is that good. he gives us the ability to cover guys like yao and dwight howard one on one. against houston, we had to double yao every time, and that meant yao could kick to the open man, leading to an open three. it doesnt exactly help that thomas, mcgee, blatche and songalia are all poor defenders in their own right too

by joshp on Nov 24, 2008 1:40 AM EST up reply actions  

If we're using last year's data

Here.

The lineup would be as follows:

PG: Jason Kidd
SG: Michael Redd
SF: Stephen Jackson
PF: Lamar Odom
  C: Dwight Howard

Yikes.

You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Mike Prada on Nov 24, 2008 2:39 AM EST reply actions  

Fun idea …. and interesting comparison

by NBR on Nov 24, 2008 1:28 PM EST reply actions  

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