Bullets Forever: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:





Caron Butler and the usage question

Regulars here know there are few NBA writers I admire more than Yahoo's Kelly Dwyer.  For someone writing as frequently as he does, his ability to get straight to the point with his analysis is a trait I really admire.  In today's wrap-up of last night's NBA action, he perfectly encapsulated the Caron Butler experience.

Few other NBA players (of any skill level) appear to be working harder while leading by example like Wizard Caron Butler.

This isn't a man relishing the scoring and ball-dominating opportunities afforded by the absence of Washington's best player, rather, Butler truly sees what is needed from his team from quarter to quarter (a rebound to start the break, an isolation jumper nailed, a pass to a baseline cutter), and follows through to the best of his ability. In his prime and with a young team learning from his every step, it's been a joy to watch.

Like Dwyer, I'm amazed by how much Butler is succeeding even while playing within the framework of the offense.  It's incredible to think about how many different ways Butler came up with big plays in the second half of yesterday's game.  Most will remember the big baseline jam on Matt Carroll late in the third quarter, but there were plenty of others.  Consider the baseline three-pointer he hit a few possessions before the dunk, when the Bobcats had a five-point lead and were threatening to run away with the game.  The ball swung around the perimeter, so Butler went from the paint to the corner to get that open look and knock it down.  Then, after the dunk, Butler grabbed Jeff McInnis' miss, and eventually made a nice little handoff that freed the red-hot Roger Mason for an open three to push the lead to four.  In the fourth quarter, Butler had two big steals -- one on Nazr Mohammed, and one helping out on Raymond Felton -- two big buckets when Charlotte cut the lead to five, and a block on Gerald Wallace in the final two minutes to effectively put the game away.  All that happened with him struggling on a bad ankle, which was evident when he was trying to elevate inside.

But what's so interesting about the Caron Butler experience is that, when I'm watching, I feel like I want him to shoot more and make more aggressive moves to the basket, even if it means freelancing a bit in the Princeton offense.  My guess is this feeling is not unique, and that several others who watch this team daily think the same way.  

Consider the following.  Butler currently ranks just 46th in the league in usage rate, which measures the percentage of possessions that end in that player attempting a shot (editor's note: it also covers possessions that end in a foul or a turnover).  Of those players behind him in that category, only Dwight Howard and Kevin Garnett have higher PERs, which is to be expected, since usage rates tend to favor guards who are controlling the ball more frequently.  Butler's also 42nd in the league in true shooting percentage, and among wing players ahead of him in true shooting percentage, only Steve Nash, Chris Paul, Deron Williams, Richard Jefferson, Kevin Martin, Josh Howard, Chauncey Billups, and Manu Ginobili have higher usage rates.  There is an intense debate in the stathead community over how to weigh usage rate against efficiency (e.g. is shooting 20 times and hitting 10 the same as shooting 10 times and hitting 5), but what's important about those numbers is that Butler is scoring efficiently without shooting too often, which falls in line with Dwyer's nice synopsis.

So the question is, what would happen if Butler did start becoming more assertive than he already is?  Certainly, I think it's fair to say his production would rise.  One of my biggest wishes is that Butler shoots more free throws, as he's only making 0.23 free throws per shot attempt this year.  One of Gilbert Arenas' greatest strengths offensively was his ability to get to the free throw line, which explains why, despite having a mediocre 48.4 effective field goal percentage last year, his true shooting percentage last year was only .7 percentage points behind Butler's this year. Since Arenas went out, the Wizards' offense has had some dry spells, and when that happens, I often pray in vain for Butler to somehow find his way to the line, because that's a consistent source of points.  It would also make him tougher to guard, because opponents would play him for the drive and give him more space to shoot that beautiful step-back jumper.

But to do that, Butler would have to freelance more in the Princeton, and that goes against what makes him so effective and so much fun to watch in the first place.  It's the classic dilemma with Butler, and it's one that probably has no solution.  

The real irony, therefore, is that I long for Gilbert Arenas to play more like Caron Butler, and I also long for Caron Butler to play more like Gilbert Arenas.  That bodes well for when Gilbert comes back, because based on the way Caron's game has developed this year, the two aren't going to step on each other's feet.

0 recs | Comment 7 comments

Story-email Email | Print |

Comments

Display:

Rock Solid Tuff Juice
I say let him play his game....of course, that being said...I would also like Caron to be more aggressive.

I wish he would take advantage of size mis-matches more by going into the post, or at least by developing a back to the basket game to where he can create space for a mid range J, or making the other team help, thus allowing him to use his dime-dropping skills, or a power move to the basket.

Another thing he did at the end of that Bobcats game was grab the monster rebound with just over a minute left.

But you know the reason for all of this? Maturity. Caron Butler has shown that not only can he be a mature leader, but he emits intelligence through his ability to adapt.

www.truthaboutit.net

by Truth About It on Dec 28, 2007 12:45 AM EST   0 recs

Yup
I read Prada's post thinking that it sounded right to me, although I don't examine stats nearly to the level of detail he obviously does. Then Truth's comment really pounded it home for me. I'd LOVE to see Caron at the line more (think of how much time Chauncey Billups spends at the stripe -- and Caron's game is similar in both his high FT percentage and his physical nature) -- and a post game would be a great way to get there. Just think about him locking some poor sucker in his torture chamber down low, bullying him and using a variety of moves to get off a high-percentage shot.

And as Truth says, Caron's size would also create opportunities for other Wizards. He's a great passer (as exhibited by his two triple-doubles this season) -- and more open threes and Haywood dunks would always be welcome.

Finally, I think Truth's recognition of Caron's maturity is absolutely right. There have been a number of occasions this season when I just thought to myself that Caron plays the game like a man. More than any other Wizard, Caron combines a fully realized and well-rounded game (he knows what he can do, and when he needs to do it) with a fully mature personality as a player (he knows what the team needs and does it, with little apparent regard to his own gratification). Don't get me wrong -- I really love the guys on this team, but there are many of them who could learn from Caron in either or both capacities.

"Now, obviously individual production does not unilaterally equal better team production, but there's a high level of causation."

by Vanilla Gorilla on Dec 28, 2007 5:34 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Great points, Prada
Like Dwyer, nice job getting right to the argument. Agreed that it feels like Butler should be doing more, but Caron's up around 19 FGA since Gilbert went out...a fig that would put him around the league leaders.  Ditto with usage rate; it would shoot to top 20, excusing games without Gil.  So frankly, how much more can a guy with a questionable outside shot--there's nothing to suggest he'll finish the year shooting over 40% from three--take on without starting to ballhog the offense?  Also agreed that a power game would be nice, though; the more FTs for a guy who shoots 88%, the better.

One asterisk--usage rate isn't just possessions ended in a shot, but possessions ended, period.  So a TO counts the same as if a player got to the line and drew a foul or missed a three.

by crucifictorious on Dec 28, 2007 2:56 AM EST   0 recs

Oh damn, I knew that
Good catch.
You know you'll get devoured by Cheaney, Wallace, and Juwan Howard.

by Pradamaster on Dec 28, 2007 3:48 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Too bad you don't know you're bedtime
Seriously, who's up at 3:50 a.m. these days?
Bullets Forever: Your place for the very latest in Wizards news and PhD-level analysis.

by JakeTheSnake on Dec 28, 2007 3:54 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Then again
At least you know the difference between "your" and "you're" at 3:50 in the morning.
Bullets Forever: Your place for the very latest in Wizards news and PhD-level analysis.

by JakeTheSnake on Dec 28, 2007 3:55 AM EST to parent up   0 recs

Gilbert's Ability
Keep in mind Gil is still a young man and a young player in the league. Now that he's on a team with a chance to contend, opportunities for him to lead and make sound decisions will become more apparent, and he will take full advantage.
svpstyle.com

by ScottVanPeltStyle on Dec 28, 2007 1:55 PM EST   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Washington Wizards.
Ad-medium-smq

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
The WENDYs (Wizards END of Year awards)

Recent FanPosts

Siggy2_copy_small
THE PERFECT SCENARIO... open for discussion
Small
Scouting the Wiz
Nick-young-dunks-nice_small
What do we trade the 18th pick for?
Gugliottawas_small
Another Reason to Dislike LeBron
Pech_small
Songaila Suspended
Spark_small
Are You Kidding? Songaila Suspended
Img_0150_small
MAKE HIM GO LEFT
Gugliottawas_small
Great Article From Wilbon
Small
Fire Eddie, Bring in Avery Johnson

Post New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Ad-banner-faketeams

Head honchos

Gheorghe_small Pradamaster

Mediaday6_small JakeTheSnake

Big_small Truth About It

ad

Site Meter